deadgambino

Tbh, I don't think that O.R. will have that much of an edge on P.J. If it has any I'll be surprised. At the end of the day though, even if it does - is it really worth 1900$? Vs. the 59$ per month that Poker juice charges for the professional package? Imo I'd rather have PJ for 32 months (59/m / 1900$) and be able to potentially stop payments part way through if another better program comes out or something of that nature and still have money in my pocket. In all honesty - even on the off-chance that O.R. is better I won't buy it simply because I think that the price is outrageous.

yw!

^ which is kind of the opposite of what you said in your first post.

Have you tried listening to any of Jared Tendler's TMGOP podcast?

I hear what you're saying and variance is definitely a factor; but its not the deciding factor because its your attitude that determines your altitude. One man once posed a question which we should all ask ourselves - who is the happier man, he who has braved the storm of life and lived or he who has stayed securely on shore and merely existed?

This is one of the best motivational speeches I've heard and I think that it might help you put things into focus. I felt as though it was speaking to me when I was on a downswing some time ago and it really gave me a perception realignment.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kt1ZFqHmSwA

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I don't agree but thanks for you input (8

..Well are you going to show us the rest of the HH?

I think you should be raising the turn most of the time given that you have top overpair / potential trips / nuts flush draw. You shouldn't even be seeing monsters under the bed at this point but rather you should be betting your hand while its still live. If you consider his range you're the favorite. You have 65% equity preflop and 63% on the flop and turn so that said I think you should be more aggressive here as it will pay you out long term imo.

If we don't hit on the river and he flats all the way (assuming you made a bet big enough on the turn that isn't giving him the right price) then I might be inclined to believe that hes trying to let you hang yourself at this point and is free rolling with 10J or possibly a weirdly played set of Ks or 9s. However, if he did have the set though I doubt he would let more cards peel after the flop and would be clicking back for protection. Two pair is also a possibility too..

Either way I think if you check the turn villain is going to play the river much differently than if you bet it. But lets say you check the turn and we get to the river - I think it all depends on his bet sizing. Does he want a call or not? Is it a value bet? Thin value? Over bet ? In all honesty this is why I bet the turn, because if I brick off on the river and hes still lingering behind me I'm almost certain that he either has 2 junky pair that hes just in love with and holding on tightly to or actually has the goods. So at this point I think its time to check / fold because its best not to go broke with one pair.

I think it comes with experience tbh. You need to be comfortable with your sizing as it will determine how the rest of the hand will play out. Sure its good to keep balance and raise the same size unilaterally; however sometimes its better to thin the field with a big raise when you have a pre-monster so that it doesn't become post-prey.

Over all I would suggest that there is no set rule of how much you should be betting every time. That being said, given that there are a galaxy of factors / variables in every single session you're in there is no best strategy for you to go with.. you have to be raising according to the levels of your opponents otherwise you'll be exploitable. In my opinion aggressive poker is winning poker and being able to the predator by effectively reading your opponents and exploiting spots where you see weakness is paramount.

Further, you have to take table image into account. Say for instance you make a bluff every once in awhile and you get caught on one on show down; this will have tremendous equity for you in the future because at this point people will tend to call you down more and you will be able to make bigger value bets and will get called more frequently when you jam with the nuts. So this is all more or less to say that the more we become multi-level thinkers with experience the more optimal our bet sizing becomes the better our win rate increases

Full house vs. full house vs. a loose fish is definitely a cooler. That said, if he was a better player would you have played the hand differently and laid down the boat?

Yea; I was praying that he didn't have a wrap. Just reading his stats though my gut told me otherwise. Turns out he was barreling with a gut shot and a nuts flush draw. Even then though I still have 61% EV on the flop and 72% on the turn. Also, why would I fold pre? I made a nice size pot with this hand.

http://weaktight.com/7109040

I would lead. The villain slowed down a lot on 4th.. seems like he wanted to try to get you out of the pot with a blocking bet but didn't work. It's possible hes holding 89 and wants to trap but I honestly doubt it given the PFR. Given that we don't have the nuts here I think leading with thin value might be the best move at this point otherwise you'll probably just see a check if you check again. How did it play out?

Personally I call and then see what he does on the turn/ hopefully you improve. You have two pairs / blockers and you have an open ended straight giving you a lot of showdown value. Even though you haven't given us any info regarding the villain we can still go through the possibilities. If he has trips in this spot (which seems like the story hes trying to tell us here because he can't have an over pair and reraising with Kings would be dumb obviously :b). So that said it must be trips because you block the higher straight quite nice and it would be ridiculous for him to be going crazy with 34 or 23. Seeing as you block the A and the 6 he could have a set of 5s possibly. That said if he does have the set its a race at this point. So really it comes down to your read I think. Is he a LAG or TAG? If hes a lag and I've seen him try to make plays like this then I'd probably call if hes a tag then i might have to think it over for awhile before I make the fold. There is also the possibility that he saw a lot of chips in the middle along with an untextured board and went for it. All that I know is that if he does have the trips its a gamble on the flop because your EV is only ahead by a fraction of a percent.

If we knew what kind of player he was and had some stats I think it would be easier to say with more certainty. Also, an HH is very helpful too :D

Thats what I'm wondering as I'm very interested ^

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Thats a very pretentious statement for your third post on here. Not for nothing, but in my experience its usually the ones that have the most boastful and abrasive egos that suffer from the POW complex.

ROFL ! now thats monochromatic :D

I just thought it would be a nice shirt idea. wasn't suggesting for it to be the new logo. As for monochromatic.. I see more than one color on this site as well as the logo so I dont understand that point tbh

Thank-you both vm. You're a wizard in your own right Ben (8

P.s. I was genuinely curious about the walking shtick ..just saying.

Hey Ben, great video as always, nice finish too (y). Was just curious about two things - firstly, are you walking on a treadmill as you're reviewing / do you do that while playing too? Second, I've spanned cyberspace looking for a tutorial on holdem resources with no result (unless i learn how to speak French or Russian first that is); would you be willing to possibly make a brief one for us on here ? It really does seem like its a monumental tool to have for a tournament player and would be great to have a wizard such as yourself to teach us how to use it :D

Why dont you want to just play stars??

I think the operative word in your statement is "most". Trying to learn and become great at poker is like trying to learn and become great at a language. Can it be done without reading? Well sure it can but its going to take much longer and there are going to be fundamental flaws in your grammar, syntax, pronunciation, inflection, etc. That being said, you can go onto a language forum and read every article and post questions until you're black and blue in the face but without the added synergy of also reading books on the various key elements as well as the subtleties and permutations of said language then you're really going to be at a stagnant level of development.

However, if all (or even some for that matter) of the questions and analysis on this forum were critiqued by the pros then it would be a little bit different and there would be more validity to your statement but thats not actually the case. As it stands, its mostly just players at the same levels helping other players at the same levels. Which, going back to the language comparison, would be just like trying to learn from your classmates that are at the same level as you instead of your professors. Yes there is a benefit of learning from your peers but the true value of an education and knowledge is invaluable.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6ertXn56SDE

Me after watching that ^.

Hadn't considered this factor. Which site are you playing in? Are you submitting that this is the case for all sites?