Kick-Ass

same here, dont recognize nobodey, maybe the player pool is super huge ^^

Good content, def worth watching.

I think if your strategy is to bet TT on this flop then your sizing is too big. On the turn, it may seem obvious but you're not getting value from anything and your blockers are pretty ineffective, along with the fact that if you're turning TT into a bluff here you're going to be bluffing too much.

Depending on your flop strategy, it is likely that the A is a better card for villains range. Even if it's not, it's definitely a pretty good card. With this in mind I think it makes more sense to develop a more "polarised" betting range ott consisting of some AK/AQ/AJ combos and then fd's as well as some gutshots etc. It'd also be quite important to check back some stronger hands on the turn if you implement this strategy because if you don't you'll be left with TT-QQ and Kx allowing villain to just jam all of his Ax and air otr which would be very effective.

Once you take this line, I think the river is just a jam tbh - rep it man :D

just thought I'd say I love your enthusiasm and honesty - makes it better to watch :-)

I think AKhh is definitely a x/c at 10:32 getting almost 4/1.

14mins I think you've probably constructed your range poorly if KT is close to the bottom of your range on the Qs turn

Thoughts?

I think if we're peeling this light on the turn with AJo then we probably need to shove with it at some frequency on this river. I have no idea how much, probably not often. 

I don't think the 8 improves our range enough to justify a lead, especially that size. Maybe 1/5th pot would work ok because we have a lot of hands that are 1pair + oesd so it gives us a little protection, but ultimately I'd say it's probably better to check

I think x/r is better otf

pre is prob spewy

flop our hand needs protection and we can get a little value so bet

depending on his flop strategy I'd imagine the J pairing improves him equally as much (or more) as it improves you, so I don't particularly like leading. I also don't think other parts of our range benefit that much from a river lead. As played I think we should call

Betting this combo for anything over 1/2 pot would probably be bad. Checking is good. I'd imagine we should probably x/c with most of our AA combos if he's capable of bluffing his AJ/AQ combos, but it depends how you play your range. Maybe if you don't 5bet QQ/JJ, they'd be better x/calls than AA because we're not blocking any of his A high bluffs, but I assume you get those in pre

I don't see how villain is even going to fold some AK combos to this sizing given all the draws brick and you should have a relatively polarised river betting range which is why I wouldn't be betting. I mean maybe he would, but the point is he has so many bluff catchers that I think have a relatively easy call vs your bet sizing.

I don't know exactly what your range is, but I'd say going all in with most JJ combos and some AQ combos is going to be good for a ~1.5x pot overbet, and I'd say ATs is the ideal bluffing hand to balance. That leaves you with AA, KK, KQs and some combos of AQs in your checking range, as well as all AK combos and maybe some ATs combos if you decide not to shove all of them, so you can have some kind of x/shove range if he's betting too wide, as well as having some hands that are capable of x/snapping vs a shove. If villain isn't particularly tricky on turns you can just shove all combos of KQs too, or develop a smaller bet sizing but I don't think it'll be as effective.

I'm no 1knl pro, but I'd imagine on the river we'd want to develop an overbetting strategy with our Qx + and missed draws. I'd check AK for showdown not expecting to win very often, but viewing our hand as showdownable and too strong to bluff with at this point.

Maybe valuebetting our Jx and therefore bluffing with AK too is an ok strategy, but I can't see how it's going to be more +ev than bombing vs his bluffcatchers since he's got so many here. 

still rofling

Legit rofl @ 88 hand @ 38:46. Holy shit I have a gutter!!

te4tet

his bet vs missed cb ott would be important here imo. If he's firing his entire range ott here then c/r is without doubt the best option

I don't really like turn because we're never ahead of anything when we c/c, so we can expect to lose at showdown 100% unless we improve. 

I'd suggest two better lines are either bet or c/r. I'm leaning towards betting mainly because when he checks behind we aren't going to win at showdown unless we improve. This isn't horrendous for our particular hand because it means we get to realise our equity, but I prefer betting turn with the intention of firing most rivers. We block the nuts and we block KQ

I'm not 100%, but potentially AKdd here could be a turn bet and then a c/f otr when we don't improve. We could then bluff with the rest of our AK combos that don't block hands that we can make fold otr. 

I also don't think AKdd would be a bad hand to c/r gii ott. I think c/c is one of our worst options. 

I think he's saying he's hoping for a shove from one of the two players. 

RE post, start by checking

This may sound like generic advice, but it is a fairly generic question and this really worked for me when playing the micros. Just think a little more about your opponents range, what he can and can't have etc...when you know/feel his range is weak, have the guts to fire all 3 streets, or ch/ship as bluff on the river. I'm not saying you should do this mindlessly, but pick the right spots and just totally commit to it. The better you get at hand reading the more you will recognise good spots to really put pressure on your opponents. 

Good luck mate!

Definitely agree with Raoul here, in that the river is a fold. Without any reads or other information on this unknown (likely decent) player, I would say the vast majority of his range here consists of Ax hands, weighted towards AQ-ATs. I would estimate villain plays his Ax hands this way about 80% of the time, he certainly doesn't need to bet the turn when checked to, as he probably knows that he is only likely to get 1 street of value out of his hand, and in general people will call the river more than the turn in your spot with TT-KK, because they know it's the only bet they will have to face. For this reason, I would imagine villain would be betting turn with his flush draws (not really many of them anyway, considering Ad and Kd are accounted for) and would almost certainly check back the river with smaller pocket pairs. So, even though you were getting a decent price to call the river bet, I would estimate you are going to be wrong too much of the time to call here. So good laydown sir!

As for the flop bet, I personally ch/c vs most players here. (especially if I know he stabs at a high frequency, and gives up later on) My main reason for ch/calling this flop is that it's basically the only way I get all his very low equity hands to put money in the pot. When I bet flop he auto folds them (or raises and makes our life hell) My plan on future streets would probably be to ch/f if he applies too much heat, I just wouldn't have enough reads vs an unknown. 

If we had TT-JJ it is definitely much more of a bet, because some of his "low equity" hands now can have up to 6 outs vs us. (KQs-QJs)

Hope this was helpful mate :)

Hi mate, very interesting hand. Let's assume villains river range is (JJ+ QTs, QJs, KQs, KQ, JdTd)

We need to divide this range into 3 categories:

Hands that call and you win- AQs (2 combos) KQs (2 combos) KQo (6 combos) = 10 combos (33.3%)

Hands that you are beating but fold- JdTd (1 combo) AA,KK (12 combos) QTs (2 combos) = 15 combos (50%)

Hands that call/ship that are beating you- QQ (1 combo) QJs (1 combo) JJ (3 combos) = 5 Combos (16.7%)

So, half the time, you get folds. Of the other 50% of the time you get called or shipped on, 5 combos are beating you and 10 combos you are getting value from. Assuming you don't call the ship (which might seem tempting but villain is honestly never doing that without JJ,QQ,QJ) then you definetly had a value bet there, so IMO you played it perfectly :) 

Sizing? Betting more might fold out more of his q's, so the sizing I like too. I elected to put QTs into his folding range, though it is possible he calls there, which makes it even more of a value bet.

It's worth noting how much these combos can change depending on your hand reading skills. For example, we could remove 16 out of 30 combos if we assumed Villain always raised  the CO w/ JJ+, which changes things dramatically.

It's also worth noting how important combo counting is. We are worried mostly about QJ but because of the board suits, there is only one combo of QJs! And villain is not calling there preflop with QJo, so in conclusion, QJs is just as unlikely as Quad Queens. This is a very important concept that, once you practice doing combo counting in game, dramatically improves your hand reading skills and makes you a much better player.

But like I said, your Value bet was spot on IMO :)

Hope this helps! 

To be honest I think you played the hand absolutely fine. If Villain is unknown, there is of course a chance that he is a fish, and getting in AK on a K3s5s board after 3betting can never be bad at NL10. You flop bet sizing is good imo. You want to encourage 66-TT to call, so betting pot might scare them away. Don't stress to much about hands like this, you got the money in good and got outdrawn. That's a win for you. Obviously if we were playing higher stakes there are certainly options to just flat the raise or even ch/call-ch/r the flop. But at NL10 where plenty of players are going to stack off with their flush draws, you just want to get the money in in situations like this. :)

You certainly have the option of 5bet clicking back (lets say we got 4bet to 25bb, and we click back to 40bb) at 120bb effective, however, this would force you to call opponents shove with almost any hand; We'd have to call another 80bb to win 240bb, which means we'd only need 30% equity to be breaking even. So with 120bb, i'd recommend the only time you should do it is with QQ+ vs fish who do not understand equity or pot odds, and maybe vs spewy players who you may induce to shove worse. If stacks were bigger, or if villains 4bet is smaller, then we can certainly 5bet and leave ourselves with enough room to fold. 

Thank you both very much, and especially you BigFiszh, I really appreciate the time and effort you put into that explanation :) Any idea if there is a program that can do these calculations for you on the fly?