simonwins

Hmm, even if he check/calls KQ/AQ/AJs only 50% of the time on the flop and then bluff shoves on the river only 50% of the time he has > 5 combos in his range. Furthermore OTF when villain check/calls he is heads-up and not MW anymore. This further increases the probability of him c/c overcards there, imo.

If you shove turn on K/Q/J of spades, you will almost never get called by worse hands.
I would go for a c/f on these turns, especially with the SPR (if you call a 50% PS bet turn, you are basically committed). If it goes c/c, I'd probably jam the river.

I'd bet/fold turn and check behind most rivers.

As played I'd consider calling here (I dont think he has many pairs in his range.
AA he likely just ships preflop, KK even more likely. He might have QQ, but if he plays QQ like that, he might also shove TT).
I feel like his potsize shove river polarizes his range to either fh's (33,55,66,77 = 10 combos) or air (AQ,KQ, etc.) which are a lot of combos.

If you go for the c/r, you should shove over his 4bet because most turn/river cards are bad for you.

Depends on a lot of different things such as:
-Villain (nitty? spewy?)
-Position/preflop action: did he call your 3bet on the Button? Or from UTG?
-Board texture
etc. etc.

V only min cbets the flop - I was assuming he got PPs/Air which he would fold to a raise of this size (55-60% potsize, like a standard flop bet). After he min4bet me, I called because of my flushouts ;)

Clear bet turn, cb/vbet river depending on actual card imo

C/r Flop would be fine as well...Flop is perfect for a cbet and V will fold often and if he calls, our equity is good.
As played: c/r Turn, shove river is the most +EV here - there are plenty of set/AA/Kx type of hands to get value from. Also there are some worse flushes, which could pay you off (56dd,67dd). Sometimes you might shove into a better flush, but that's just a cooler then.