QQ, 180BB deep, weird river spot
Posted by simonwins
Posted by
simonwins
posted in
Low Stakes
QQ, 180BB deep, weird river spot
Blinds: $0.10/$0.20 (6 Players)
BB: $21.06
UTG: $36.14
MP: $86.98 (Hero)
CO: $20.00
BN: $12.50
SB: $23.78
UTG: $36.14
MP: $86.98 (Hero)
CO: $20.00
BN: $12.50
SB: $23.78
Villain is a 23/18/6 player (2k+ hands). His flop cbet/turn 2nd barrel are quite high with 65% and 70%. Besides that, I don't have any reads.
Preflop
($0.30)
Hero is MP with
Q
Q
, , , ,
I just called preflop to induce a squeeze from the loose shortstacked BTN.
Flop
($2.10)
5
8
3
, ,
Do you think raising the flop is better?
Turn
($5.30)
5
8
3
J
, ,
I raised to get value from AJ, the Ace of spades/X, the King of spades/X, worse PP's, straight draws like 76, T9. My plan is to bet safe rivers or otherwise check behind . I don't think he will bluff shove/semi-bluff shove here very often.
River
($20.84)
5
8
3
J
4
Now that donk polarizes his range to the Ace of spades/X or bluffs. We only need to be good here around 25% of the time, but are we ever good here? I mean our HR after the turn raise is AJ,JJ, Overpairs,Flushes,Ace of spades,X. So I think he is valuebetting here and almost never bluffs?
What do you think guys? Thank you.
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