rwpeene

This topic doesn't get enough attention. It is very difficult to teach.
A good reference: BLINK: The Power of Thinking Without Thinking by Malcolm Gladwell.
Also in the book ZURICH AXIOMS, Max Gunther writes: "Your intuition can be trusted if it can be explained. First determine if you have a rich enough experience base to have formed a viable hunch. Don’t confuse a hunch with a hope: put more trust in hunches about negative outcomes."

This matches Daniel Kahneman’s advice to think about a problem as a member of a category instead of unique. If you don’t see the category or have not faced situations that “rhymed” then be careful of trusting your intuition.

Thanks. Good point on the turn raise - I did think of that at the table - my thought process there was the table was quite aggressive and I didn't want to give villain a chance to 4-bet me out. Reasonable equity at that point was 30% (15 outs x 2) - not good enough for stacks.
Now if I though villain had a reasonable chance of folding....
Thanks for the last point. (although I am also thinking about mistakes my opponents make as a learning op when I get to see their cards )