nutinsider

Hey guys whats up?  This seems standard to me but I think my confidence is a little low right now so looking for some insight....maybe I should have played this different?

I start the hand with about 1k.  I have the button.  The game is filled with station fishes and no good players....I mean, multiple AIPF with Ax hands and 4 bet shoves with k high and stuff.  I mean, one hand I lead 90 into a pot of 125, and a dude just open ships for like 1300-1500ish....so yea, pretty loose game.

Ok so a dude raises and we get 4-5 callers. The raises in this game are a little bigger than normal.  He opened to 50, I call on button with Kc7c.  Flop comes out j84 with two clubs.  Everyone checks to me.  I think this is an auto bet.  My hand has a good bit of equity, and its reasonable that I can fire and everyone folds.  I bet 225 and the pot is like 250 (maybe this is too large?)

I get check raised by the initial raiser to like 600 or so.  I don't have much left so I get it in hoping he has a hand like aj jq, 9c10c, 5c6c, etc etc.  It's hard to put the inital raiser on anything super strong because it makes no sense for him to check a big PP on a flush draw board multi way....yea if he has JJ, that sucks but we still have decent equity against the tippy top of his range......Anywayssss, we run the board out and he turns over 99 like a boss....the range of hands that im leading with there are all two pairs, all sets, j9+, 5c6c, 7c8c, broadways with with clubs, 9c10c.  his hand has about 25% equity vs the hands that I will bet with in that spot....Is my play pretty standard and I am overthinking this because Im in like a 500 hour breakeven stretch, or is there a way I could have played it that would have been more ev?

Maybe I should let this go preflop because everyone is just so bad and there will be better spots in the future?  

How many hours would you need to have a comfortable sample size playing live PLO?

Assume most all ins are ran twice. 3000 hours?

Hey guys, looking for some advice once again.  Just ended a 17.5 hour session.  I am in the middle of my biggest drawdown over a statistically significant sample size.  I'm wondering what all you would do in this spot?  Play lower volatility games, only hold em and no omaha, take a break, or grind thru?

I don't have tilt issues really so I'm a firm believer that taking breaks is sort of overrated.  Although I feel the last 2 weeks I have made some speweyish calls/raises that are leading me to believe that perhaps I am not playing my A game 100% of the time.

Any of you math guys want to chime in and look at these numbers and see if they fall under the normal volatility curve or whatever?

I have a logged sample of 1000+ hours. I would say 75-80% of the time spent playing is NLHE, and 20-25% is PLO high only. I play 115 hours per month. Of those 1000 hours, I'd say 10% of them are in a casino setting, and 90% are at home games. The home game rake is 15 dollar max. (I know, crazy...I live in Georgia) The blinds are 1-3. but I would say it plays more like a 2-5 (or sometimes bigger) based on the frequent straddles and money on the table .My observed hourly is $45/hour over the 1000 hours. Within those 1k hours I had a 300 hour break even block where my hourly was -$3.72.=(

Now it gets nasty....In the last 69 hours I have lost 13k (previous biggest drawdown was 6-7k.)  

I would say 30% of those hours were playing PLO high only with a 5 and sometimes 10 dollar bring in.  I would say 8% of those hours were playing shorthanded PLO with a min 10 straddle max 25 button straddle.

Is this volatility due to the slightly higher PLO stakes I have been playing?  I'm not sure, I feel it's a combination of both variance, and poor decision making.  Your thoughts on standard deviations?

(Note: I am sufficiently rolled to be playing these games, even after the 13k hit.)

thanks!

Hey guys, sort of an interesting spot on the river.

To begin, I am in position against a few droolers.  The game is built around one of them, player A.  Player B is fishy, but not as bad, he values hands after the flop reasonably well but makes huge errors preflop.  Player C is the best player of the bunch...his A game is spot on, however he is very tilty and spews if he loses a pot.

We are playing 6 handed and I begin the hand with 1200ish.  I raise in position with AJ hearts.  I make it 30 (we are playing 2-5) And I get 3 callers.  The flop is A55 with 2 clubs and a heart.  It checks to me, and 95% of the time I bet, but for some reason I elected to check.  The turn brings the 7 of hearts.  I have top pair and nut flush draw and it checks to me once more.  I bet 85.  Player A calls, player B calls, and player C makes it 200 more. Yikes.  I elect to call because I have a reasonably disguised backdoor nut flush draw and I feel we are deep enough that I will get paid if I hit since player c is a little tilty and will likely pay me off with trips.  Even tho player c is tilty, he just check raised 3 people on a paired board so I am giving him credit for a random 5.

The river is the 9 of hearts which gives me the nut flush.  There is roughly 1kish in the pot.  Player A leads for 275.  He has 350 left.  Player B flats the 275 with about 800 left.  Player C, the player who check raised the turn, folds his hand.  Action is to us.  Jam river, or flat?

Hi, so I play many local games, and it's a constant struggle finding the right combination of action and "reasonable rake"

The lowest rake around town is 10 dollars cap. 10%.  The highest raked game I play is 15 in hold em, and 20 in omaha.  In your opinion, how much money would need to be on the table to justify the rake?  Also, assume the games are very good, not nitfest.  The games are normally 2 rounds hold em, and one round omaha.

Any comments and feedback and personal experience with home games are welcome.

Thanks!

Hey guys, I'm going down there for a week or so and would like some opinions on the cash games.  I have played in florida a good bit (north, central, and panhandle) but I have never played in south florida (where I hear most of the dead money is?)

I think they just added a 100k buy in tourney, pretty gross.

Hey guys, just started playing PLO recently, (9 months or so) and many of the local games are spreading 8 or better.  I've never played 8 or better or any split pot game for that matter and I was looking for some advice on some good material to start off with.

When I started PLO high only I read Hwangs books and found them pretty helpful.

thanks!

WPO starts friday and main event buy in is 2500 I believe.  Tunica is about as interesting as Allen Kessler, but still, decent PLO action.

Hey guys...just got home from a live game and I was put in an interesting spot tonight, a spot that normally doesnt occur in relatively shallow PLO home games.

Villain begins hand with 2k.  I begin hand with 3500.

We have AcTcKh5h on the  button. We see a flop 7 ways and there is 80 dollars in the middle.

(The villain is in the small blind)

The flop comes out  kc 5c 3d.  (Non nut gutter, nut flush draw, and top pair)  the villain checks and another player bets pot, 80.  We decide to pot to make it 320 total, perhaps raising full pot isn't as good as raising smaller, but thats of lesser importance....

The small blind COLD calls my pot bet.  The small blind is not a fish.  He is an adequate player.  The original better folds and we see a turn.

6hearts.  villain checks. what do you do?  He has around 1500ish or so left and the pot now sits at around 800ish.

Do you continue to bet on all turns that dont pair board, or do you slow down and take equity since his cold call is so strong?  We have a king for top set blocker so his hand is looking like 555.  Thoughts?