lindstroehm
6 points
Hey Nick, very nice live session again. Thanks for sharing your thoughts!
Just from the top of my head:
1. 37:00 When choosing this river size with AQ are you always calling off a shove? There aren't any value combos that villain would not bet himself but depending on the player he might recognize that you are going for thin value. Just wondering if that ever happens at all at these stakes and if you were aware of that when sizing so small.
2. 49:00 I think his range is heavily weighted towards Ax and Kx floats as you already mentioned. Kind of looks like an Ax float trying to get value from Kx hands. He might not be aware that there aren't really any Kx type of hands in your range.
The problem I see regarding your line is that you are pretty much eliminating any Ax and Kx floats from your range since it doesn't make much sense to check/raise them. Which makes it a lot easier for villain to represent any broadway. So depending on his holding he either improves or has an easy life turning his worse combos into a credible bluff.
If you x/raise, imo you have to continue firing the K on the turn to get value from his smaller PPs and Ax, because you can't represent Kx hands.
What don't you like about calling the flop? I don't think it is that easy for him to represent any overcards if you just x/call, because you keep those combos in your range too + you protect your hand from being blown off by his weaker hands.
(I'm kind of having a hard time expressing my thoughts, hope you see my points anyway)
March 17, 2014 | 3:22 a.m.
Rad series Nick! Thanks a lot. I really appreciate your work!
March 15, 2014 | 3:54 p.m.
I guess you thought villain's steal range might be too narrow to profitably resteal there because of the BB. Based on his stats I would still reshove to exploit icm. There is still a whole lot of hands he can profitably steal(/call) against the BB. Especially if the BB is a weak player and tends to fold too much because he is moneyscared or simply has no clue. On the other hand his calling range against a 25bb reshove should be quite narrow icmwise. So if you think he is capable of making good icm-based decisions 66 is definitely strong enough to get it in just because you have decent fold equity. Otherwise I tend to fold regarding the possible scenarios after you call.
Feb. 24, 2014 | 7:47 p.m.
CO: 31112 (Hero)
BN: 16930
SB: 30800
BB: 48313
UTG: 20752
when the hand occured only thing I knew about villain was that he is a reg.
UTG folds, HJ folds, Hero raises to 1744, BN folds, SB folds, BB raises to 4000, Hero calls 2256
Feb. 24, 2014 | 4:56 p.m.
CO: 6361
BN: 2620
SB: 11060
BB: 26480
UTG: 21979
UTG1: 9901
UTG2: 7446
UTG3: 5933
LJ: 18547 (Hero)
Villain is frequently openraising in UTG and seems reggish
UTG raises to 1000, HJ folds, UTG2 folds, UTG3 folds, Hero raises to 2244, CO folds, BN folds, SB folds, BB folds, UTG calls 1244
The buy-in is 100$ + 100$ KO + Rake so 1 KO is worth 1 buy-in = 10k in chips
April 6, 2014 | 1:54 p.m.