Jason Ring
7 points
The problem with credibly check-raising the river with the blocker is the way you played the turn in the eyes of villain. After c-betting the flop there aren't many A+NFD hands that you are going to just check-call the turn. Most players with A+NFD will either barrel the turn or go for check-jam on turn. As villain in this hand I couldn't give you credit for NF as played so if Im betting river for value calling off is necessary.
Does my thinking here make sense?
Oct. 17, 2014 | 12:33 p.m.
After you check the flop I would consider a turn 3bet jam. This player could fold which is a great result but when he calls we can have the best hand at times and should have good enough equity the times he has 2 pair
March 10, 2014 | 2:41 p.m.
Raise pre flop. Raise the flop
May 24, 2013 | 4 a.m.
I think its a pretty easy fold. He has the nut flush almost always.
May 19, 2013 | 10:17 p.m.
Fold. Its unlikely villain is doing to donk bluff here
May 18, 2013 | 4:59 p.m.
I would raise it to about 28 or so. You're IP which will be huge for the river
May 18, 2013 | 4:57 p.m.
Fold to his flop cbet. Like Aleksandra said you only have 3 clean outs. With him willing to call down lightly it doesn't seem like a good spot to float and take pot away on potential scare cards.
As played I would not bet the river.
May 17, 2013 | 7:24 p.m.
You should be potting this turn 100% of the time the way this hand was played prior. A 2 is a great card for you and with 1PSB left its an easy jam. Don't give villain a free card. Too many rivers will put you in tough spot where you might fold incorrectly or not get value from hands you would have on turn or lose to some weak 2 pair he might fold on turn.
May 17, 2013 | 7:17 p.m.
Easy call pre flop and easy shove on the flop
May 16, 2013 | 8:08 p.m.
The iso pre is way too spewy. There is no way you will get all the players to fold and you'll be playing OOP for the hand. I would donk the turn and hope he folds. Though this will rarely happen you're going to call his bet anyway so if he ever folds its a huge plus
May 15, 2013 | 3:03 a.m.
I would bet around 18-20 here and call it off if he raises. Betting only 18-20 leaves us about 1/3pot on river for 3rd barrel in case we miss. Villain could have a similar type hand that is ahead on brick river but will fold to bet.
May 14, 2013 | 10:56 p.m.
I would call it off and be somewhat happy about it. He very rarely has KK and though 99 is reasonable he probably bets many of those combos on the flop. The rare occasions he has either hand you have outs with the 2 gutshots and 3.
May 10, 2013 | 5:05 p.m.
Fold on the turn. Don't think he's ever folding after this bet and your hand is way behind. I would most likely fold on the flop even though it might seem weak. If he's aggressive he will barrel most turns and there isn't much you can do about it
May 10, 2013 | 4:59 p.m.
Agree with Tom pretty much 100%
May 10, 2013 | 4:49 p.m.
I think stacking off is easily the best play here and wouldn't think twice about it. Your hand is way to strong to consider folding obviously and don't see much merit in flatting his raise. If you run into AA w/NFD then so be it.
May 10, 2013 | 4:46 p.m.
April 8, 2013 | 4:16 a.m.
April 4, 2013 | 1:16 p.m.
As played I think x/jamming the flop is easily best play.
March 5, 2013 | 9:52 p.m.
Feb. 16, 2013 | 6:13 p.m.
As for the river, I could be convinced that any of the 3 options are best. Depends a lot on his bluffing frequency and how thin he will value bet. Also, how often he is just flatting a set on flop or nuts on turn matters. Given only 150 hands and that fact that he is NLHE reg who plays high-stakes he can certainly be bluffing here so I'd probably lean towards a call.
Feb. 15, 2013 | 7:13 p.m.
I think its an easy bet/get it in after you decide to raise pre. You also have a gutshot and at least 1 bdfd in the cases somebody has higher set
Feb. 15, 2013 | 7:07 p.m.
Feb. 15, 2013 | 4:31 p.m.
CO: $362.50
BN: $199.10
SB: $367.50
BB: $382 (Hero)
Should I just be calling with this hand or did I correctly 3bet?
Feb. 6, 2013 | 5:14 p.m.
Feb. 6, 2013 | 12:14 p.m.
UTG: $378.12
HJ: $231.83
CO: $220 (Hero)
BN: $199.29
SB: $477.31
Feb. 5, 2013 | 5:36 p.m.
Feb. 2, 2013 | 9:25 p.m.
Feb. 2, 2013 | 7:51 p.m.
As played I think betting the flop is mandatory. Giving up on the turn is probably correct as well. As for the river I don't think you will get enough folds to make x/raising profitable. His range contains too many value hands. The fact that you just got caught bluffing last hand could make villain think you are tilting as well.
I would bet bigger on every street. flop(25-30), turn(75-85) as nobody with a jack is folding, river(150+) as fish probably won't fold his trips plus 8 is a good card as it will give him full house often
Oct. 17, 2014 | 1:06 p.m.