Daniel Weinman
0 points
hand 2: AJJ94 vs fantasy
JJ9 / A4 will play slightly better, giving us more FH / FH combos and FH / straight possibility.
Ex: JJ4 / A9 , (44x) we make FH in the back, but the middle is now capped at trips. JJ9 / A4 , (99x) we can still make 4's full in the middle as well as a wheel. These runouts are obviously rare, but it's a small freeroll over the JJ4 / A9 set.
I don't have the math to back it up, but i'd imagine it give us a bit more equity then the 66-88 potential in the top, especially vs FL.
Should the Ace be a K/Q, I shift to a JJ / 94 / K set and feel pretty comfortable about that being the highest equity set.
****
I'd also love to see the math on the decision to put an additional kicker in the back with the JJ4 with 1 street to go, or leave 2 spots open for a pair or (perfect,perfect,x) FH.
It's a situation that comes up a ton and I've seen top players go both ways.
Jan. 31, 2014 | 7:31 p.m.
That was my feeling in game as well. It seems like when we're right, we're going to be a small favorite to a flip if V1 comes along, but obviously it's a disaster vs the bigger sets. Without doing the math, it looks like we need V2 to not have a bigger set way more than will actually be the case to make this a call/shove.
Dec. 15, 2013 | 7:50 a.m.
Game is 5/10/25 10 handed
******
V1: 5k
V2: 11k
Hero: Covers
Hero opens 2277dd to $100 from EP, V1 calls HJ, V2 raises to $300 from CO, Hero calls, V1 calls.
Flop: 2h 6c Kc
Hero checks, V1 checks, V2 bets $800, Hero calls, V1 tanks and calls.
Turn: 2h 6c Kc 9h
Hero checks, V1 checks, V2 bets $3300, Hero???
******
Both V1 and V2 play fairly loose/passive pre, and very passive postflop. V2 3bets pretty infrequently, and usually a range of good QQxx, KKxx, AAxx, and some good DS rundowns.
I don't love getting in this much potentially dead to 1 out vs V2, and V1's flop overcall takes away a decent amount of V2's nfd combos.
Both V1/V2 are stuck and opening it up a bit, but neither tilt hard.
I see some merits to all 3 actions here, but felt pretty lost in-game. Whatcha think?
Dec. 12, 2013 | 7:42 p.m.
Villain looks about 40 but seems pretty competent, was playing fairly nitty on a $1k stack in the must move but is now ~$8k deep in the main game, not sure if he ran in up or bought in deep.
Hero dealt Kd Qc 9c 5d in HJ
Hero opens to $70, CO calls, BB calls, Villain in straddle makes it $360, I call, others fold.
Flop: ($860) 9h 7c 5h
Villain checks, Hero bets $450, Villain calls quickly.
Turn: ($1760) 9h 7c 5h 3s
Villain checks, Hero bets $1130, Villain cuts out chips to call, eventually raises to $2500 with ~5k back.
Hero???
*****
Seemed strange sizing from villain at the time, but it sets up a nice size river shove. Not sure if he'd hit it from the straddle with good middle rundowns, but the fact he's willing to x/r turn when the board favors my range much more than his has me worried. Also seemed a bit strange that he wouldn't just x/pot the turn with 68xx as he can get most of his stack in and most of his 68xx will have redraws.
Really felt like all 3 options had some merit here, but felt quite lost on the turn.
June 19, 2013 | 3 a.m.
ICM numbers had payouts at:
Me: 172k
Him: 232k
We had all but agreed on:
Me: 190k
Him: 212k
However, in the heat of the moment, I couldn't figure out how to deal with the taxes and this was the only sticking point. Since WSOP doesn't sanction chops, someone must sign for the $250k 1st and someone for the $155k 2nd. Being a professional, it's easy for me to change the numbers in my own records to reflect the chop, but my opponent was an amateur and would not be filing as a pro poker player.
Anyone been in this situation before, or know what the best way of dealing with it is? I know very little about tax law, especially from the amateur side, but hoping someone could chime in with the best solution for the next time this happens.
Thanks,
- Daniel
April 16, 2013 | 12:07 p.m.
board: Ks Tc 3c 6h
Hand Equity Wins Ties
Ac Ts Th 8h 24.49% 146,937 0
AQJx 25.14% 148,893 3,885
KKxx, KTxx 24.81% 147,831 2,047
Kc6cxx 25.56% 152,355 2,046
board: Ks Tc 3c 6h
Hand Equity Wins Ties
Ac Ts Th 8h 31.04% 186,265 0
AQJx 25.12% 148,793 3,881
KKxx, KTxx, 33xx 13.17% 77,966 2,066
Kc6cxx 30.67% 182,929 2,158
April 2, 2013 | 5:14 p.m.
Hero is dealt Ac Ts Th 8h
SB: $15k
BB: $12k
Hero: $40k
BTN: $30k
Button straddles for $200, SB calls $200, BB calls $200, Hero (HJ) calls $200, BTN raises to $500, everyone calls $300 more.
(Pot $2,000)
Flop: Ks Tc 3c
SB leads $2000, BB calls $2000, Hero calls $2000, BTN calls $2000.
*SB has been very passive thus far. given that we have the Ac, I'd guess his leading range 4 ways is exclusively KKxx, KTxx, 33xx, although I'd discount a fair amount of the 33xx hands although he's probably playing 70% vpip*
(Pot $10,000)
Turn: Ks Tc 3c 6s
SB bets $5000, BB calls $5000, Hero???
All options seemed pretty viable at this point. I do think that SB's bet of 5k instead of pot weights him away from KKxx, but I'm not sure about this as it's my first time playing w/ him.
CALLING:
Combo-wise it seems we'll have the best hand on the turn > 50% if SB leads 33xx twice. However in a 4 way pot, we're going to be up against a wrap+FD almost always. My only concern with calling and bluffing clubs is that I thought it would be pretty unlikely for SB or BB to fold Kxcc on the river getting what would be close to 6:1 odds. They were both stuck large amounts as well, which I think would greatly reduce my fold equity on the river.
JAMMING:
Can fold out BTN's weak draws, and will likely get it in vs SB's value heavy range and BB's draw. At the same time, we're looking to avoid playing huge pots that could completely change the tilty dynamic of the game. Hero is a bit under-rolled for the game, and would prefer to avoid taking 50-60k flips when there are tons of spots looking to give it away.
FOLDING:
Reduces variance a bit, keeps a few of the players stuck who we want stuck. But can we give up this much equity with 2nd nuts?
After writing all this down it seems to be a pretty clear jam, but interested in some other opinions.
April 2, 2013 | 5:02 p.m.
SB: 10k
BB: Villain: 7k
HJ: 4k
CO: 4k
Hero: BTN (50 straddle): 10k
Hero is dealt Jd Tc 9d 7h
SB folds, BB raises to $150, 2 folds, Hero raises to $500, BB calls $350
Flop: 8c 5s 2c Pot ($1010)
BB checks, Hero bets $675, BB calls
Turn: 8c 5s 2c Qd Pot ($2360)
BB checks, Hero???
*******
While we're never going to get c/r on the flop, I think he'll c/r this turn with any 2pr+ (maybe needs FD or OESD as well), and we won't be able to call it off. However, barrelling seems a pretty nice option as we'll be able to jam river and win on most board pairing non clubs, AKJT97.
Feb. 12, 2013 | 9:05 p.m.
If it's really so close that both check-back turn/jam river and firing through are EV-equivalent, then I'd prefer to have the pot bigger going into the river when it comes and A or a 2 and Viktor either c/r bluffs or leads.
Seems hard to believe you've played enough live with this lineup to know as much as you do about each player, but haven't ever seen this guy check raise the field on super wet flop.
I don't think you have a to worry a ton about getting it in 3-ways, as you say SB doesn't have a super strong draw, and is winning and tightening up. If you go with it, it's super likely (close to 100% given your assumptions) that SB will fold and it'll get HU with the straddle.
I've run a bunch of simulations (some with the 66** QJ/Q6 with clubs combos, and some with only QQ and nutted draws) and it seems that we need to go with this.
I think around 15-20k effective stacks here the hand becomes much more interesting and all 3 options begin to have some merit.
May 6, 2014 | 2:12 p.m.