imfromsweden

I would call tbh, this really looks like a sizing that wants to put max pressure on a capped range.

Standard really? With 32bbs? Seems slightly on the loose end imo

I feel like this is one of those plays that look really bad on paper but works out more often than not anyway in practise

I don't like pre, would be a lot better if fish was SB.

River; if you think that's his range then I think a shove is horrible. A shove is only good if we believe he has a good amount of Ax that we can fold out. I don't ever expect him to fold a flush or even AQ.

I personally don't think people bet too many Ax on the river, which kind of polarizes his range. I would probably end up calling since it seems we can have a decent amount of PPs or Qx that he thinks he can fold out. Also sizing is too good for us.

Hey guys, imfromsweden here from the 2p2 thread! Really nice discussion here, and thought I'd give my input on what I think of ranges here at least. I think me calling Q8/AT etc on the turn seems very very unlikely. My range is mostly going to be Jx/FDs/turned 2pairs/perhaps a hand such as AQ that has a good pair + the nut gutshot, but it's not going to be wider than that. I also don't think he's going to bet top pair or the better on the turn (a lot of 2pairs and top pairs will reason that they are rarely getting called by worse on the turn and have a better chance of extracting value by check/calling turn), so I think his range is mostly polarized with air, Jx/AJ, and maybe a few hands such as TTT or similar. Given those assumptions, mr GameTheory seems correct in his calculations that we should bet small. I'm not sure about the assumption that he's going to check/shove Jx a relatively high % of the time though, I think he check/calls Jx a vast majority of the time. So not sure how many combos of Jx we should be calling to a CRAI tbh. 

I would definitly bluff the river here. If you don't bluff 56, what are you bluffing? It's not like we're floating extremely wide on this flop (and if we do float, it's often with hands such as AQ and KQs with two overs and some backdoor flushes/straights etc), so I think this is one of the very very few bluffs you can have (unless you mean to go berzerk with 77 on the turn and turn it into a bluff, which well, never happens). I would also make it very big, since your range is polarizede between a very strong hand and bluffs, and he has mostly bluffcatchers. I don't see how this is really close tbh, but maybe im just a monkey :p

I also wouldn't call pre "standard". It's OK/fine, but it's not like we're just printing money by calling all low scs here.