2k nl, thoughts on a river bluff

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2k nl, thoughts on a river bluff

3rd hand at the table and no reads except CO is prob weaker bc he has a 1.3k stack. I'm 2k deep with utg opener.


UTG 60, CO calls, I call BTN 65dd, blinds fold.

UTG cbets 140 into 210ish on Ts 4d 3h, CO fold, I call.

Turn Qdd and UTG checks after 5s. I bet 280 and he calls semi quick.

River is Qh and UTG checks to us. ~1.1k in middle, ~1.4k.


My thoughts are we have (3)44, (3)33, (2)QTs, and I'd have (3)TT, but I don't know if villain perceives me to have TT in pf range. I don't think villain thinks I'd have many AQ/KQ floats on the flop, although I'd have AQ often. 8 for sure value combos.

For bluffs, I have (4)65s; (3)A5s and (3) A2s that have bdfds.

It looks like Villian has AT/KT/some JJ here a lot, and I think any broadway combo is ggoing to be barreled on the turn. I don't think A9dd would chc either.

vs psb river bluff, villain will perceive 8 value hands for sure, and will need me to only be bluffing with 4 combos.

Thoughts on bluffing the river here? It seems like we are at the very bottom of our range and dont have an overwhelming amount of bluff hands, which is good, but we don't have many value hands which is :(


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