fritzlm's avatar

fritzlm

56 points

Sure, my concern is not that much in terms of best combos to bluff according to sizing but rather in terms of bluff frequencies. Of course one could use a randomiser but it is way less complicated to select the sizing based on one's holding. I guess i'll stick to bet big with my lowest bluffs when feeling the need to be balanced.

Jan. 31, 2018 | 4:12 p.m.

Ok to say that using a larger bet size allows to throw in more bluffs. The problem I have, considering a 70% and say 200% size allowed on river, is what bluff combos do we put in the large/small bucket ?

Jan. 31, 2018 | 11:59 a.m.

Very interesting. Just a question: how do you assess that a given success percentage is a good one ? For example considering your first point, what would be the level of success below which you would consider you went to far with RFI in SB ?

Sept. 28, 2017 | 2:48 p.m.

Slight hijacked of thread but is it possible to buy only the first part of piounlocked ? Can't find a way to ...

May 4, 2017 | 11:27 a.m.

Comment | fritzlm commented on Fishtastic

Loosing 30bb/100 from BB doesn't look like a leak to me, at least far from a big one.

Jan. 31, 2017 | 2:50 p.m.

You mean the most part of defending versus a squeeze should be done by the open raiser, not the cold caller ? I guess that makes sense.

Dec. 17, 2016 | 4:15 p.m.

Hi guys,

You're open raising 3x from the CO, BTN calls and BB squeezes 12x. If I'm right, if both CO and BTN fold more than 2/3 of the time BB is making a profit. Which means CO has to defend somewhere near 1/6 of the time as BTN. Let's say CO open raises 25% of his hands, taking one sixth would translate into something like 4%. Then a decent strategy could be to 4b/call shove with QQ+/AK (2.5%) and add the proper combos of bluff to hit 4%.

I never did the maths for those spots and would naturally call with lots of suited connectors as I would versus a 3b. Am I missing something or one can be pretty nitty versus a squeeze without fearing to be exploited ?

Dec. 17, 2016 | 2:54 p.m.

Comment | fritzlm commented on Nl200 flush draw

That's what I meant, I don't think MP has a strong enough range to build a raising range here. At the very least it seems simplier not to build one but I could be wrong ofc.

Sept. 30, 2016 | 10:09 p.m.

Having the As pleads for you but still seems really weak to fold at that point.

Sept. 22, 2016 | 12:45 p.m.

Comment | fritzlm commented on Nl200 flush draw

Why do you want to raise your sets OTF ?

Sept. 21, 2016 | 11:38 a.m.

Comment | fritzlm commented on JJ 3bet OOP - 5NL Zoom

You probably have a range advantage OTF (you have all sets in your range, he doesn't and I guess the only ovp you can't have are KK/AA). Hence it seems to be a good idea to build a donking range here.

That being said with your actual hand the main reason to bet here would be to protect and I am not sure that's enough to go for it.

As played, I mean he's just a random 5 NL guy who could be doing something unexpected from playing an ovp that odd way to bluffing with AK so given the odds I call.

Sept. 21, 2016 | 11:33 a.m.

Several times you bet small for thin value, I guess you do have bluff too in those spots. How do you choose which sizings using when bluffing ?

Aug. 22, 2016 | 9:57 p.m.

Comment | fritzlm commented on Is that an easy Shove?

Without any read just fold.

June 10, 2016 | 3 p.m.

First step filtering the database to find general spots where it seems leaky (based on wr), let's say defending vs a bb 3b by calling pf.

When found, work about pf ranges in that spot: create an alias of regs for finding à general 3b/f4b stat in my example which gives a realistic range for bb then find which hands i'm supposed to call with being btn and realistic hypothesis (realising x% of my equity postflop, raking y bb/100 on that spots, ...). At the end of that step you have defined relastic ranges for both players and could actually have fixed some pf leaks.

Last step, run your favorite solver on kuba flops given those ranges and realistic hypothesis about sizings and encountered lines and look what you have been doing wrong so far.

There are 29 kuba flops if you take the smallest sample available so if you run one different flop each day you will be a way better player in those spots than you were a month before.

June 9, 2016 | 1 p.m.

Comment | fritzlm commented on 50z facing river shove

Blocking FD sucks for us imo, further more MP is cbetting a dynamic board 3 way oop, if he is not totally out of line I guess you can fold pretty quickly here.

June 4, 2016 | 7:17 a.m.

Concerning BB, keep in mind that when you fold you're loosing 1 bb. Therefore you have to not fold hands that earn you more than -1 bb. Considering position, just use a R factor that you feel legit and take it into account for building your ranges. You should watch Steve Paul video on that matter, probably the best one I watched so far.

April 5, 2016 | 1:45 p.m.

Comment | fritzlm commented on Bluff river?

You're not supposed to have a ton of bluffs here unless you're getting crazy with c/ring. I mean given pf you actually only have FD, 4 GS at most, some A high but not that much because I guess you're c/cing for the most part. That is enough to justify firing the third for me.

March 10, 2016 | 3:46 p.m.

How do you play AK yourself ? I guess you're not stacking it pf if vilain is not agressive so your calling range seems quite defined for me. On the other hand you don't block his Diamond draws but thé point is that I dont expect a non agressive vilain to 4b bluff that often pf.

March 10, 2016 | 3:39 p.m.

Comment | fritzlm commented on KTs 3b pot

Pf is bad without further explaination other than "I don't like"

March 9, 2016 | 3:22 p.m.

Looks ok to me. Maybe cheaper OTF but it's more to find something wrong than not.

March 9, 2016 | 3:12 p.m.

Steve Paul video is a great starting point. In a nutshell, consider you will realise R% of your postflop equity and call with hands whose EV is greater than 0. Something between 60 to 75% seems reasonable.

Concerning post flop play, you will have to c/f a lot but nothing weird about that because the point is to defend hands that loose less than 100bb/100. If you don't display it I would strongly suggest that you add the cbet/f stat, some regs are doing that a ton making a high bluffing c/r frequency very relevant.

March 9, 2016 | 3:04 p.m.

I prefer 3beting OTF if you don't want to fold. As played I think your river play is fine.

Feb. 25, 2016 | 1:49 p.m.

I guess OTR you have something like 8 busted FD and 8 busted GS. Let's assume those are your unique bluffing combos. You are value betting KJ or better which makes something like 25 value combos. Seems like a good spot to bet pot for me. That being said i don't why vilain should be capped here and a SB calling range pf should countain plenty of broadways. The good news is that you don't block his FD and you block his good top pairs.

In a word, I would pot river.

Feb. 19, 2016 | 3:42 p.m.

Well, give us his value range and his bluff range. I would be suprised you find enough hands he is bluffing with to justify a call.

Feb. 12, 2016 | 2:26 p.m.

I guess it's kind of close but without any read I don't mind folding here.

Feb. 12, 2016 | 2:11 p.m.

I would say pretty narrow value range for BTN here, maybe some 88 to TT if he ever flats with them and that doesn't mean hé would play them this way OTF. Apart from that he has all the sets ofc, he may have some slowplayed premiums.

As for bluffs I doubt he would go crazy with total airs here so combo draws and FD mainly which sucks because he will often have one or two overs with it.

Given all those I would fold but I would have cbet in the first place readless.

Feb. 11, 2016 | 3:05 p.m.

Comment | fritzlm commented on 25NL - weak flush

How are we likely to have any opinion when you don't give us any piece of info ? I guess versus a "standard" 25NL reg you shouldn't get to the river here, he is not supposed to have that many bluffs here and I would assume regs are underbluffing those spots more often than not.

Feb. 11, 2016 | 2:56 p.m.

If he is always calling facing a cbet and never betting when checked to I see no point in checking here given the fact he's loose pf which makes your hand ahead of his range. When called I guess we just have to c/f later streets unimproved.

Feb. 11, 2016 | 2:51 p.m.

5'45, you c/c KQ no diamond twice on AdQ83d and c/f river 5 bb vs co. Could your hand be part of a c/ring range here, specificaly given that you don't block his turned BDFD ? More generaly what range would you c/r the river with ?

6'45, as you say you have a ton of draws that want to bet turn here, I therefore was expecting a large bet but you only bet half pot, could you elaborate on your sizing ?

30'10, isn't it a nice spot to try to construct a river ovb range ? Betting something like AK/DP and FD for 3/4 pot and jamming sets 87s/75s ?

Feb. 4, 2016 | 9:42 p.m.

Comment | fritzlm commented on 4bpot. BUvBB AKs

I wouldn't mind to bet the turn here, you're not blocking draws and blocking his likely top pairs. Any clue on vilain's reaction towards 4b ?

Dec. 15, 2015 | 2:46 p.m.

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