asl21fcali
1 points
The Qh blocks draws he can have.
March 10, 2015 | 5:41 p.m.
Just getting back to this thread. I guess I don't know the syntax of propokertools as well as you, Spassewr. Would you mind explaining some of the syntax? When I plugged in a range, which included a lot of semi-bluffs/hands we are head of, I still couldn't get us anything close to the 43% that your range has. I did it like a week ago, and the best I found us at was like 33% as you wrote in the latter part of your post.
If you find the time to do this, thank you.
March 9, 2015 | 8:02 p.m.
I think folding flop is best. We have around 20% (I excluded naked kj from his range) vs his range and on brick turns our equity decreases vs said range. Way too deep to call down here, or to get it in on the flop.
I strongly dislike the 3b pre. I'd prolly flat here and play fit or fold unless a nut blocker comes into play. I think squeezing to less than pot is also a mistake.
March 2, 2015 | 12:12 a.m.
Is the button not jamming his KT combos OTF? He really shouldn't have any naked KT combos so any KT hand button has is probably almost always KT98ds at worse, and likely a KTQJ type hand that is going to be a +EV jam OTF, no? KTJJ, KTQQ, KTAJ, KTT9+ etc
Reason I'm asking is because I believe in the simulation you assumed that buttons calling range OTF including the nut straight, but I don't think button is flatting here OTF facing a bet and call with the nuts (and some sort of redraw likely) given he'll be able to get in 8.1k or so OTF, with the opportunity to push one of you off equity or make use of his freeroll. I think your leading range will be slightly ahead of his range but I haven't been able to compute the equity of the jam, I'm just intuitively assuming he would and that it is +EV. It's also not a HU pot where the times he would flat KT would strictly be done to bluff you off the same hand if the board changed. In these HU situations where villain does call the lead with KT, I would also assume his redraw is weak (or he has say KxTxAcXx and use the nut flush blocker) and thus playing position to get you off a chop and/or wait for a brick turn where you can make an equity mistake is a more viable option.
I guess I'd be interested to see some analysis of the turn spot excluding the KT combos from buttons range, unless there is strong reason to believe he would flat his KT range OTF.
Thanks, enjoyed the video!
Jan. 29, 2015 | 4:18 a.m.
Is this spot that uninteresting that no discussion is necessary ?
:/
Maybe I just pick poor hands to post.
Also it's vpossible no one wants to educate the fish (me).
Sept. 6, 2014 | 11:45 a.m.
I'm playing 15k and have the SB. BB is the recreational player and is currently up around 25k. I'm stuck 10, the other two are stuck as well. I should have a good image despite being down a few BI.
I open A5ccK3xx to 200$ which is prolly a function of who the Button is. BB hasn't been three betting often, nor wide enough for me to peel when he 3bets (not that I should be peeling this hand anyways), which he does. Others fold and I call 400 more.
9c 8d 3c (1250)
I check, villain bets 1.1k, I xr to 4k
--
With PSR as is (11.5) I'm pretty sure I am putting in too much money OTF. However, when constructing his stack off range I never really have less than 45%. Obviously with lower PSR my play is super straight forward but I'm questioning the best line here with this stack size.
I think the main issue at this depth when CR the flop becomes how to play the turn on the straight cards. This becomes quite a problem for my range (and actual hand) since I have no blockers to any possible straight draw hands he can have (5 is marginally relevant given it blocks the 76 draw, but he doesn't have any naked 76 hands unless it's exactly AA76ds/KK76ds imo). I end up potentially putting in a lot of money OTT vs a heavily weighted straight hand which I'm confident he'd rather three bet preflop than marginal one pair hands for obvious reasons (AAxx, KKxx, QQxx). His strong preflop 3b range also include a multitude hands that can call the flop and play turns very well when clubs come (fold), and never fold on bricks (especially if he is paired), or when he has like JJTx, QQJT, JT9x, JT8x, JT7x, etc. And then obviously when he improves his hand to 2P+ on non club cards he has a strong equity adv. and the street plays itself.
Anyways, I am confident I fucked this hand up on multiple streets (mainly my poor pf hand selection/positional play leading to a rushed flop judgement). Looking for any comments or other thoughts I may have missed.
I guess the main question I have is how much FE do I need to have OTF to justify going for a xr. Regardless, I don't think this opponent is betting flop here at a frequency in which my play is great. Obviously if he is betting hands like QQJA here my play becomes better since in these live games I have a lot of FE vs hands like that, however it's questionable if he even bets a hand as "weak" as that in this spot w PSR as is.
When constructing my flop XR range how does this hand rank within that grouping? At first glance I thought it was ok, albeit marginal (mainly cause my lack of blockers combined with PSR and position). But it could actually be pretty poor (Obviously 2nd pair, or TP, + NFD are better and probably hands I should start with, and leave this one in my xc range)
Thanks for reading wall of text. Hope my thought process was a clear enough even if misguided.
Aug. 26, 2014 | 1:38 a.m.
Oops, I forgot to mention I don't have any stats on villain.
May 22, 2014 | 2:34 a.m.
5 handed.
Hero: Qs Tc Qc 6s
Effective stack $180 (90bb)
utg folds, CO opens to $5, Button calls $5, SB folds, Hero raises to $21, CO calls $16, Button folds.
Kh 9h 6c ($48)
Hero ...?
So, with this PSR (3.3) I am trying to figure what our best line is. I don't think pot/folding is an option given the number of pair + draw hands he can push...but I also am not a huge fan of pot/GII since we are crushed by just the King.
I'd like some help in constructing his range and what equity we need to have when pot/gii.
Is check/deciding an option we can take on the flop? I think it will more often lead to check/folding, but I feel kind of gross betting 35/folding.
Thanks.
What's your evidence?
July 25, 2016 | 7:06 p.m.