Bryan Gour

Is being perfectly balanced necessary in MTTs? I thought this was more a cash game concept applied to iterative play and not situation dependent as you find in MTTs. Phil doesn't need to bet x% bluffs or y% value hands, he just has to exploitively over bet when he thinks he can get called by worse or fold out better. Reducing this level of play to blockers and frequencies seems obtuse to me.

Don't like the 3bet, don't like not cbetting the flop. when you have AKcc you are betting the two diamond board a fair amount. If you check it I think you need to raise turn or just fold turn, don't really like calling turn and folding river.

donk, check raise line from a winning reg has me folding quite a bit in 3 bet pots.

I prefer to play back at SB squeezes with all my value hands in position for value always, save the flatting/fancy stuff for your lower pairs/SC you actually hit these boards with. You don't have to balance your AA, just your range.

Flop is ok I guess.
Turn is silly. I would rather min raise that turn with the range you are representing and have overpairs, especially AA for when he actuall has a hand (and he doesn't have anything here 80% of the time). You play turn like a fishy set miner.

I would expect Villain to open shove any boat that beats you, you have plenty of flushes and trip K's in your range as played so I'm pretty sure he has AK here a huge amount of the time and isn't folding when you bet 1/2 pot.

from experience you need to know what you don't know. A coach is going to help in 2 situations:

1. problems/leaks you don't realize you have
2. problems/leaks you know you have but don't know how to fix

The solution can be theory based, or action based. The fact is, if you work with someone better than you at poker you will get better. You have to be ready though, and you need the right coach. Finding a coach who is great and is above your skill level/ability to learn at the moment is a waste of time and money. Same with someone below your ability.

can you rerun this and compare calling allins pre EV and shoving pre EV?

he's on a treadmill

With a button raise I'm not sure I fold TP on that run out if I call Turn.   I think you should fold flop or Pre if you aren't comfortable calling that river bet.  I'm much happier check raising flop with your hand to 21 instead of calling 24 on the turn.  You would save 10 and you can just snap fold or check give up if he calls or comes over the top and that's the same line you are taking with sets.   

Well what do you beat AJ AT 99 KQ which you block?  You rep QQ-AA so it's a pretty sick raise.  With no reads it's a fold.

Turn sizing too small, river I would be checking all non A hands even KK so I would check to induce a bluff.

I would lead or check raise that flop.  I think I like leading better as you rep a pretty wide weak value range and you can get worse K's to raise and worse PP to call.

I dont like the turn sizing, are you barrelling 1/2 pot with overpairs and AK?  You are more likely checking to pot control or betting bigger.   Either is ok.   I want villain to have sets overpairs  and two pair here and either checking or betting bigger can help induce.  I'm betting so much bigger on that river,  BB has huge stacks and you don't have hardly any straights or flushes in you range so he is stacking off with worse here quite often.   The Q hits your range more often than his so again you should bet bigger and snap call his shove.   What backdoor spades does he have?  

Bet turn, I would even raise that flop 50%.  In a 3 bet pot you have shitty showdown potential don't let opponents breathe and pot control 99 here bring the pain

You got 2 people to go allin on the turn in position with the nuts.  So no. 

I don't see you 3 betting 67/89/9T out of the sb after a utg opens hardly ever.  

My impression was seiver was half in disbelief because he didn't think AA could possibly fold and he played his reaction off as if he had AA beat.  I haven't watched it in a while but he was projecting both disgust AA folded and disbelief he somehow survived that spot.

I don't hate shoving river

136 in the pot and you are thinking of folding AA for 34$??   What are you scared of 99ds?   Sets?   Why would a set min raise this board, he can't have a diamond.  I would call and check shove non diamond turns.

In a 3b pot I think you would be better off balancing your 99-KK by c betting flop and checking turn.  You can then check fold/raise/call rivers.   Especially with the hh board I would never expect you to check an A and give two players a free card.

There's 335 in the pot you have 160 effective behind snap call.   I'm never raise folding a board like that vs a recreational player who donks into me.  He is going to have a ton of draws and worse overpairs in his range.  This isn't a spot vs a fish I would think twice about.

His range for calling turn is mostly Qx, Ax, and hearts.    Your 3b range likely has 88-JJ, and you are probably barelling the A turn.  I would bet a bit outside my value betting range and fold to an unlikely shove.  Maybe 3/4 pot.  I think you can get called by Q's and worse A's which are checking behind.  You have to protect your barreling range on the turn with a river bet unless you are check folding AK/KQ here which I think is bad.   It's a good  board for your 3 betting range I would be surprised if he turns hearts into a bluff here.  If he has you beat he will let you know.   I guess it's exploitable in that our range is pretty capped but given the 3b flop turn line I doubt a reg will shove over our third barrel here.

flop KQ4r, PFR leads, lady to my right raises PFR snap shoves she calls.  She has AK, he rolls his AA over and scoops.  I ask her 'what did you think he had when he raised pre, and snap shoved over your raise on the flop, just curious?'  Her: I thought he had KQ.  

Great stuff Phil.  On hand 2 TT,

If you are folding out his marginal range/gutters you want to call, you probably induce the same range to bet when checked to and given stack sizes they probably have to fold to your shove. 

So it seems like with the range breakdown you should really only be check shoving this spot and nothing else.  It seems so simple.  He bets his full range on the turn, and value calls your shove with only over pairs (which include 99), 7x, his very few 9T which you block, and value owns himself on 99 and TP.  He has to fold out all the gutter and flush equity even the backdoor club equity he picks up on the turn he floated flop with.  His calling range to the x/shove is just extremely narrow.  So narrow in fact that it seems like a huge mistake to have so many draws in his range and still bet the turn.  

I don't really like his turn bet if he knows you are capable of check shoving turn.  He should do pretty well on almost any river as he can bet/raise his value hands on brick rivers to rep missed draws, check behind with whiffs, call hands like 55/66/ and good Ax bluff catchers, and also bet/raise misses and when his draws do come in making it very hard for you to get value.