ThinkingQuest

Nice hand and well played.

It really depends on your opponent, and how he thinks you play.

But at NL2, against the population, fold on the turn. So many people 3bet AQ type hands and fire once then give up. Then he fires the turn, he usually has a pair.

This is a mental problem.

Don't play stakes which you do not have plenty bankroll.
Focus on making correct decisions, not the result.

You block draws, which means villain's range is more value hands weighted. Why do you think blocking his draws is a good thing to raise all in?
When you do this, you wish he has some sort of draw imo.

This river is not a good one for bluff.
All your two pair combos were beat by his overpair. What do you think he calls flop and turn with? He check calls only because he don't want to face a raise on such a web board.

Your hand is basically a bluff catcher. Fold if you think he is not bluffing frequently in this spot.

KK without a club would be a better candidate to bet/fold imo.

He don't have AJ and AK either.

This is QT most of the time. I don't think people make huge bluffs like this.

EV is about the whole hand.
When you face a decision, like defending or folding, is definitely possible that the two options are both negative in EV. For example, folding might be -2bb, but defending is -5bb, if so, your decision is pretty clear, fold.

So based on this, your "Hero should defend 63% at least" is wrong.
If you don't defend 63% or higher, villain shows a profit, but this does not means that you should defend 63%.

If villain's 3betting range is exactly AA (this is where his 3bet range matters, you said 5%, let's change it to AA only)， what do you do ? Do you think you still should defend 63% in order to prevent his from showing a instant profit? Clearly versus AA, your folding is -EV, but your defending is also -EV, and even worse. So you choose the better one, fold.

My English sucks. I'd be excited if you guys can catch me.

What your coach means, is that if you fold a over pair on the flop when get raised, then you are folding almost everything. This is exploitable. If villain notice this, he can raise you all day.

Based on your discussion, what would you do if you have AQ in this hand?

Why not fold pre? This is EP vs CO 3bet, not a bvb situation. KJ often hard to play postflop oop. Hero will in a tough spot too often I think.

If UTG have AJ, QQ+, his play all make sense. I don't think he can value bet these type of hands unless he thinks hero is a calling station.

I won't try to bluff him off top pair and over pairs. If I do, I would throw a over bet here.
1.2x to 1.5x probably.

I hope you accept Chinese players.

I can't fold with this stack size.

Obv raising the turn is a better play. Why not.

Good fold imo.
He don't have air, and problably not turnning anything to bluff.

99 make sense. And many slow played monsters, or AsTs type hands.

Donk turn is fine imo, fish call with many worse hands so hero exact some value.
I would call the river. Fish do all kinds of weird things.
With 100+bb effective stack I consider fold river.

I prefer cbetting the flop. Don't be afraid of getting raised.
When you get raised, mix up reraising and folding , depend on the specific opponent and situation.

I think we should fold. This is a cold 4bet, not a 4bet from the initial opener.
QQ has only 40% equity against this range : [QQ+, AK].

I don't think villain 4bet jam anything worse. AQ? JJ?

Without any specific examples, generally speaking, this game is all about frequency and adjusting.
Your opponents all play very loose, then you'd better value bet thin. Your variance will be high, unless you play a weak tight style which will cost you equity.

Bluffing with a busted draw.

His value range is AA/KK/AK, you block both.
A very small chance he thinks you are squeezing with trash too often, so he 4bet preflop with a hand like 78s/89s as a rebluff.

Can he do this with a weak hand like AQ, I don't think so.
Can he have a bluff range , I don't think so, unless he has no clue what he is doing.

I think most of the time we lose, sometimes we chop, rarely we win.

After you check/call the turn ( not bet the turn , not check/raise the turn), your range is pretty clear, heavily towards one pair hands, mostly AA/KK/QQ/AJ, problably no club(with a over pair and a big club, people are more likely bet the turn again at lease some frequency).

A river all in is a half pot sized bet, I don't see people try doing this to bluff a clear top pair/over pair hand that ofen .

So I don't hate folding the river, although I think is somewhat close.

Against a nitty opponent, you might consider fold it, because it's reasonably close.
This opponent, how ever, he is pretty loose preflop, and his cb % is relatively high.
Against this type of player, I would never consider folding 100bb stack with a hand like this.

I assume he is not a player who plays straightforward postflop. He steals a lot, maybe thinks a lot. That's the difference with a nitty player.

I think the default play is to cbet on this flop. Your preflop 4bet size is kinda small so villain could have a wide range. By check down , you give him free card to catch up, and potentially make your self hard to play on later streets if villain shows aggression. You can argue that you may have a balanced check back range. But overall, I think bet something like 1/3 to 1/2 pot is good here. Villain always put you on aces or kings, and I see people fold small pocket pairs in this situation because they were just set mining and playing a fit or fold strategy.

From your opponent's perspective, when you bet on the flop or turn , if he holds something like TT or JT that he decided to 3bet preflop, and called your 4bet just because the odds you give him, now he is hard to play. Maybe he can peel once, but he is not happy about it, because maybe he will face another bet, or an Ace or king maybe fall down.

People often have a binary thinking in 3bet/4bet pots, hit or not. They put you on big pairs, and hope to stack you when they hit two pair plus. Otherwise they just fold.

at 23:00， why you think you can defend A7s against a 3bet profitably?
I think too often we will face a cbet and have to fold. And any Axx board would be hard to play.

I am a microstakes player, so I am not sure what's the best play . My opinion is 4bet bluff or fold A7s, even when we are in position. Am I wrong ?

I think is easy raise.  We have 3rd nuts and villain could have a bunch of worse hands playing like this.

Hey Hudson, I just come to say that I like your video.  I enjoy this live video, your thought process helps a lot. Thanks.

Hey TheLove, you don't have to say sorry,  I welcome any discussion.   My thought is that , this type of player won't 3bet AJ that often, so he could have AJ, KJ in his preflop flatting range.  But he don't have AA/KK/QQ in his  preflop flatting range.  With pocket pairs lower thant TT, I doubt he would lead/3bet/call on the flop.   

I don't consider protecting my hand that much in this situation.  Although this is a two-tone board, I doubt this type of player would raise his FD on a paired board.  From my experience, this type of loose passive player mostly call with draws, occasionally they lead, they would just call your raise instead of 3betting.