Lucky_Petey

A great reminder of how hard working and open-minded one has to be to become successful in anything. Thank you, Leszek.

Golden content. Thank you Diego! Looking fwd to future videos, and many more than just 3 preferably.

I generally run into AA with this line, despite the removal effects. The min5b is so fishy... So, vs reasonably tight players i will generally fold, vs aggro - shove, vs unknowns I will lean towards a fold...

Agree to Samu. Bet bigger to fold to a raise. As played, i think you have to fold, however i would feel more confident had i bet bigger on river thus making villain polarize himself more to be able to raise.

I think I would have played similar. he is sizing it for a river shove and on this board there are not many FH you can have and so you only have bluffcatchers basically unless you flopped a flush... so, if he has an overpair, u lose after u check down, if he has the Ac, he shoves river and u lose. i guess the only way you win is if a club comes and he checks behind, but to draw to that you have crappy odds...

i wonder what happens to this hand if we have like TT without a club...

and bet small as a rule, right?

that dry board - it is so polar it will mostly be a player read based fold or calldown. without reads, plays similar - call flop and fold turn, because when he bets big there he really doesn't have many bluffs as your call to his x/r is strong too I think.

as checks on flop, yes? interesting. so only betting trips and lowcard flushdraws? u cant really go for three streets of value with those, so I guess checking makes sense...

dude, just fold pre.
otherwise in a multiway pot i think u are unlikely going to fold out a lot with your raise. and most def very far behind when u get reraised, so x/c flop if u got there i think and reevaluate again, proceed with caution for all the reasons u yourself stated. they can have all the sets in the world here, while u really wont that often... maybe the nines.

it's a single raised pot, he can have a lot of crap and I can have a lot of crap in his eyes as well potentially. we dont have crap. you cant fold. 45/5 is a 45/5 even in 20 hands to me. that being said, a shove is soo soo polarizing..... I think I still call and then blame it on bad run vs station. it has cost me dearly in the past, and then again sometimes it just feels like they are handing u money.

insta-call and hate life if u are worse than flipping given action and price.

You rarely have better than Jx there though, right? And you might have TT, 99, that he tries to get you off on turn. So if thought is put into it, one can come up with a push off a split OTR as well, or am I dreaming here? He does 3b his overpairs pre with that 6%. He either hit 88 on turn or you are ahead or splitting. :) If you go for x/c for balance here, I think QJ is a call on the given river (not sure turn). Is he reg enough to turn flushes into bluffs here? Is it something that happens?

I agree to Bingo. Fold>4bet>call with a hand as weak as A9o.

As for reads justifying the call pre, I guess it is very important to check for how many opportunities the guy has had to actually squeeze. If it is 2/11 as in 18%, that is not much of a sample, although can ofc be indicative. Have to be very careful not to make too much out of single stats.

Nevertheless, for ranges, just for a theoretical exercise I have tried giving the guy some sort of an aggro range of A2s+, K5s-K7s, J9s+, 64s-75s, 54s+, 77+, 76o-98o, AJo+. Overpairs probably bet flop. Gutshots probably bet flop. So do OESD. Two overs+FD/BDFD would be decent candidates for x/c on flop for balance, weaker FD probably bet. Some sets could also check to balance the weaker checks on a board that hits your range as well, and in the case of a less aggro opponent - hit your range even better than the BB range itself. So let us say he arrives to the turn with one set of sevens and the lone set of 9s (top set on a board without broadways, why not), T9s,98s,87s,75s+,64s,54s,AsKs,AsQs,AsJs,AsTs,As8s,As7s,Kh7h,98o,87o,76o, against this range u have 44% equity. However, you are giving him decent odds to just draw with some of the overs+FD, so he might not play that part so aggro on a turn that as played, probably hits your range more than his. So,unless he is a proper maniac, I think you are facing a value range here, to which you are behind and the equity shrinks. Not sure that if he gives you a decent chance of JT, he would go for a check/raise/fold line, which means he is unlikely to fold the 87ish hands. Overall then, without reads I think you are behind here. Now I want the results :D

Sorry for the long rant.

One thing I didn't notice at first was your sizing on turn, which is smallish and could certainly induce a more aggressive player to raise combo draws to push fold equity. Are you betting your whole betting range to that sizing? You are probably right in saying 974tt is not a board many overpairs check OOP and give you free cards... Need to think more about the hand. Always amazes me, how deep even simple situations (not saying this one is) are when you apply thinking.

sick classic run-out. will just join in and agree to those saying that we dont beat much on river. and also agree to the statement of betting bigger as a cbet, because the flop hits ranges so hard that your opponent will often be inelastic to a bigger/smaller bet. in which case the shove on flop (my default without reads) would potentially also come more naturally...

Am I a total nit for thinking folding pre is the way forward? Fold>4bet>call for me sort of. We will have plenty of suited aces to call with.

As for villains range, I could easily imagine a hand like 87s there playing like that... Also some overpairs could still play flop like that. As well as 99/88 to my mind. In any case I would struggle to come up with a hand that we actually fold out or beat on the turn given action.

That said, I am just a beginner.