Kevin Gu
1 points
Definitely a value bet here. Worse Queens, AJ/KJ, mid pairs may call you. A bet of 33% to 50% pot would suffice. Any value is better than not getting it.
May 21, 2013 | 1:36 a.m.
Villain's stats put him on a tighter range than most. The question I'd ask myself on the flop when contemplating his check raise, is how you plan on playing out the rest of the hand? Are you prepared to call both the turn and river as well? His stats suggest that he's not the type to triple barrel. Which means in the long run, calling all three streets is a -EV play.
May 21, 2013 | 1:32 a.m.
I'd fold the river. We are just never good here. The only viable draw, 78, got there, as did backdoor flush draws. His line looks like trip sixes or JdXd.
I don't mind the 5X pre-flop here. You're in position and you want to maximize your value on all 3 streets.
May 21, 2013 | 1:27 a.m.
Play is fine pre-flop and on the flop. The turn line is unorthodox, but you only need 21% equity to continue, which essentially you have. And I'm sure villain will pay off a small, to medium value bet if you hit. So flat away!!
May 17, 2013 | 5:56 a.m.
A flat is fine pre-flop. You're in position, very deep, and have a hand that plays super well post flop. The flop raise is puzzling. A float is much better, as stated above. Even if you do raise as a semi-bluff, a 5.1x raise is risking too much.
May 17, 2013 | 5:51 a.m.
So it's definitely been a while since I've played online, but unless things have drastically changed, 25NL is still soft right? If so, "balancing" should not even be a concern. Players are not good enough to even notice, and you're losing out on a lot of value on that flop.
Any pair is calling, an overpair will probably call all three streets, given safe cards come, and even broadways may float the flop. We are just losing way too much value with a check, these are dream flops, and we definitely want to valuetown them.
May 17, 2013 | 5:47 a.m.
Hey Adam, thanks for the support! And I absolutely agree... playing poker solo is definitely no fun.
May 17, 2013 | 1:35 a.m.
So strangely enough... your turn check is not as bad as you think imo. The reason being that there are not a lot of worse hands in villain's range that you get a call from given his line so far. Unless you've seen him get super tricky with AA or a set (indicated from his check on the flop), his range consists mostly of broadways and small pairs. A check on the turn either induces a bluff on the river, or another value bet from you. Either way... villain is never calling the turn and river with a small pair, but one street is guaranteed, and a check on the turn from you also introduces the possibly of bluff-catching his air hands. I hope he did not turn a set of 8s on you. :(
May 12, 2013 | 7:41 a.m.
I agree here. A nutted range rarely donks on the turn here. The fish would want to check/call (prepping for a river donk) or check/raise here. I think most fish would think... "if I donk now, I might scare away my customer". Oftentimes, fish don't want to deal with any tough decisions, so they want to take things into their own hands, hence the donk on the turn. His range is weighted heavily towards Qx, flush draw, and possibly even mid pairs. This is a fist-pump shove. He's never folding anything besides his mid pairs and air hands.
May 12, 2013 | 7:34 a.m.
I just moved to the Bay Area and have been primarily playing at the Bay 101. If anyone also plays in the area, and would like to get together to play poker, talk poker, or just to hang out, let me know.
May 11, 2013 | 7:29 a.m.
I think your flop call is fine since you stated villain is super LAG. What is the purpose of your raise on the turn? I don't know if you're getting better hands to fold, or worse hands to continue (possibly KJ or TT?). If you think his range has mostly hands that beat you, I'd fold. If he has more trash hands in his range, I'd call to induce a river bluff.
Also... this is my first time and post on this site. I'm looking forward to all of the poker discussions!
You should definitely bet turn. The 6 essentially doesn't change the board, and you were way ahead villain's range on the flop, and the same on the turn. The line is definitely bet, bet, bet pretty much most of the time on the river. I apologize for not seeing your call equity on the river. With 11.9%, it's a call.
May 21, 2013 | 3:56 a.m.