NL50 88 vs flop check+raise
Posted by Deactivated User
Posted by Deactivated User posted in Low Stakes
NL50 88 vs flop check+raise
CO: $68.38 (Hero)
BN: $31.22
SB: $69.79
BB: $50
HJ folds, Hero raises to $1.50, BN folds, SB calls $1.25, BB folds
villain is 23/16/3.
we dont have a history.
when i get check+raised on the flop, his value range [or at least the range he never folds] is probably something like 33-TT. given the size of his check+raise, im getting 11.5:4 on a call, which means i need just better than 25% equity. against a range of 33-TT, i have 33.6% equity, and thats not even including air hands.
i feel like 3betting here is overplaying my hand, but i suspect 3b+folding might make the hand easier to play; if i get called, i can just check down in position? thoughts?
anyway, as played ... when villain leads turn for under half pot, his bet size simply isnt very convincing. if he had a set, he would most certainly have bet bigger, and honestly, a hand like KQ is just such a small part of his range. but is calling the turn a leak? its the sort of ambiguous spot where i feel like i may be calling too often with marginal hands.
the rivered set makes life easy for me, and given how quickly he folded, it seems likely villain had air all the way. but if river had been say .. the 9c instead ... do i call again? according to pokerstove, 88 has 33.8% equity vs {TT-33,AKs,KQs} on a 6h3s5dKc9c board, and given the half pot bet size, i only need 25% equity to call.
honestly, these sorts of spots always leave me feeling uneasy.
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