DedoMassivo
0 points
Blinds: $0.02/$0.05 (6 Players)
BN: $5.00
SB: $5.48
BB: $6.30 (Hero)
UTG: $6.98
MP: $5.10
CO: $7.50
SB: $5.48
BB: $6.30 (Hero)
UTG: $6.98
MP: $5.10
CO: $7.50
Preflop
($0.07)
Hero is BB with
3
K
, , ,
I don't have any particular reads on this opponent, I have only 14 samples in my HUD with a VPIP and PFR of 29 so I'm assuming a +/- standard range from a raise from the CO, meaning:
[22+, A2s+, K9s+, QTs+, J9s+, T9s, 98s, 87s, 76s, A9o+, KTo+, QJo] - 21%
[22+, A2s+, K9s+, QTs+, J9s+, T9s, 98s, 87s, 76s, A9o+, KTo+, QJo] - 21%
Flop
($0.32)
9
9
8
, ,
On this flop, as I'm analyzing this off table now I think a better line could have been check-raising. This is because villain should be betting here with a somewhat polarized range since, although the connectedness is not enormous, it does hit my range better as I have many more 9xs, 8xs, Txs, 67s, 88 as well as any suited holding that might have called PF. By just calling I am capping my range quite a lot because I would probably be raising 9x, TT, 88 and I would be 3betting JJ+ and big broadways PF (KQs, AQo, AJs+).
I think at the time my reasoning was to try to have a cheap turn (which I realize is not that cheap by its bet sizing). The Villain as its range uncapped because he bets his Acx (although we block the clubs), he can have any overpair, 9x, JTs(o), QTs, KJ, QJ. He checks back most of his medium/low showdown value hands such as 22-77, A8.
I think at the time my reasoning was to try to have a cheap turn (which I realize is not that cheap by its bet sizing). The Villain as its range uncapped because he bets his Acx (although we block the clubs), he can have any overpair, 9x, JTs(o), QTs, KJ, QJ. He checks back most of his medium/low showdown value hands such as 22-77, A8.
Turn
($0.72)
9
9
8
6
, , ,
The turn here is a card that hits my range better than his, I get there with my 66, 96, T7s, 75s and it misses most of his range. I check with the intent of check-raising (as I should probably have done on the flop), trying to kick basically every over card he has. The problem with this line VS check raising the flop is that it is much more expensive, It's much harder to bet again in the river, and I'm already with my range capped, meaning that my bets on the river, on most runouts won't be as credible. My bet sizing is probably a bit too little here as well
River
($3.42)
9
9
8
6
Q
,
The overbet here was with the intent of applying maximum pressure, representing trips, a boat that I was slowplaying, or JT that completed the straight there. I won't be putting the result here because I want you guys not to be influenced by the runout.
Jan. 23, 2021 | 10:25 p.m.
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Thanks everybody for the comments! I think, as some of you pointed, Kxs is a call but it only becomes profitable if you actually play it well post-flop. The main takeaways I get from you guys is, in summary, to play these draws a bit more carefully, for instance:
OTF - as RunItTw1ce mentioned, although GTO may state that a call and a raise are mostly 50/50, I think most of the players at this pool deal quite badly with aggression, especially when they haven't any made hand, which is usually the case on a flop like this, so I still think that a XR on the flop would gain better EV than a call;
OTT - the XR is one of those that I feel like when I'm not able to kick Villain away the SPR on the river will be so low that I will feel compelled to shove OTR with basically everything I XR OTT, K3s being one of those cards. Uncomfortable but with that amount of dead money I felt I had to go all the way, I am definitely blocking some of the hands Villain could fold there but I didn't feel that was enough to leave so much dead money uncontested. As played I would raise to perhaps a bit more, but on the other hand leaves me even with a worse SPR on OTR;
OTR - As I stated before, I felt committed to the pot and that the hand had already been played out until then, meaning that if there were losses to be mitigated, they should have been so on earlier streets. I went for the shove in the hope that Villain didn't show a strong hand.
This is one of those lines that are -EV on the short and on the long run.
I'll be posting more hands here for sure, the feedback is super useful!
Jan. 24, 2021 | 2:05 p.m.