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Scott Evans

0 points

Blinds: $0.02/$0.05 (5 Players) UTG: $6.80
CO: $5.80
BN: $2.42
SB: $3.79
BB: $5.00 (Hero)
Preflop ($0.07) Hero is BB with 8 9
UTG raises to $0.15, 3 folds, Hero calls $0.10
Villain is 23/23 over 13 hands, assumed reg.
Flop ($0.32) J Q 8
Hero checks, UTG bets $0.20, Hero calls $0.20
Calling range on flop...
QJo-QTo (21), JTo (12), A8s-98s (minus Q8s/J8s raises, 12), 87s-85s (9), QJs-Q4s (minus Q8s raise, 20), JTs-J5s (minus J8s raise, 15)... 89 combos.
Does it make sense to just call with QJ here since it blocks most of their B/C hands?
Turn ($0.72) J Q 8 8
Hero checks, UTG bets $1.80, Hero calls $1.80
Need to call 1.80 to win 2.52, need ~71% equity... but against what they're representing (QQ-JJ, A8s, T9s), I have ~10%.
Given that a reg is unlikely to overbet bluff a relative unknown... could an exploitative fold be justified here? Or should I still be calling 8x and folding everything else?
River ($4.32) J Q 8 8 5
Hero checks, UTG bets $4.65 and is all in, Hero calls $2.85 and is all in
Seems like the only hand I could call this with would be 85s? After calling flop, my range is so capped and crushed by theirs, and they're unlikely to be bluffing at this level...

Nov. 14, 2016 | 8:48 p.m.

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