Can an awkward turn fold be justified here?
Posted by Scott Evans
Posted by
Scott Evans
posted in
Low Stakes
Can an awkward turn fold be justified here?
Blinds: $0.02/$0.05 (5 Players)
UTG: $6.80
CO: $5.80
BN: $2.42
SB: $3.79
BB: $5.00 (Hero)
CO: $5.80
BN: $2.42
SB: $3.79
BB: $5.00 (Hero)
Preflop
($0.07)
Hero is BB with
8
9
, ,
Villain is 23/23 over 13 hands, assumed reg.
Flop
($0.32)
J
Q
8
, ,
Calling range on flop...
QJo-QTo (21), JTo (12), A8s-98s (minus Q8s/J8s raises, 12), 87s-85s (9), QJs-Q4s (minus Q8s raise, 20), JTs-J5s (minus J8s raise, 15)... 89 combos.
Does it make sense to just call with QJ here since it blocks most of their B/C hands?
QJo-QTo (21), JTo (12), A8s-98s (minus Q8s/J8s raises, 12), 87s-85s (9), QJs-Q4s (minus Q8s raise, 20), JTs-J5s (minus J8s raise, 15)... 89 combos.
Does it make sense to just call with QJ here since it blocks most of their B/C hands?
Turn
($0.72)
J
Q
8
8
, ,
Need to call 1.80 to win 2.52, need ~71% equity... but against what they're representing (QQ-JJ, A8s, T9s), I have ~10%.
Given that a reg is unlikely to overbet bluff a relative unknown... could an exploitative fold be justified here? Or should I still be calling 8x and folding everything else?
Given that a reg is unlikely to overbet bluff a relative unknown... could an exploitative fold be justified here? Or should I still be calling 8x and folding everything else?
River
($4.32)
J
Q
8
8
5
, ,
Seems like the only hand I could call this with would be 85s? After calling flop, my range is so capped and crushed by theirs, and they're unlikely to be bluffing at this level...
I don't know what I'm talking about. Enlighten me pls. 8)
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