PLO 50 HU faced 3 barrels OOP in SRP on a dry flop
Posted by oboltys88
Posted by
oboltys88
posted in
Low Stakes
PLO 50 HU faced 3 barrels OOP in SRP on a dry flop
SB: $73.05
BB: $178.08 (Hero)
BB: $178.08 (Hero)
Preflop
($0.75)
(2 Players)
Hero was dealt
7
T
J
3
SB raises to $1.25, Hero calls $1
SB raises to $1.25, Hero calls $1
sb raise 1st is 90%
Flop
($3.00)
3
J
7
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
SB bets $3,
Hero calls $3
flop cbet is 70%. somewhat around:
GD>, TP>, PR+2BFD, PR+2OC (73%)
GD>, TP>, PR+2BFD, PR+2OC (73%)
Turn
($9.00)
6
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
SB bets $9,
Hero calls $9
TP>+GD>, OE>, T2P> (52%)
River
($27.00)
K
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
SB bets $21,
Hero folds
T2P> (value), BP<< (air)
value - 77%, air - 23%
if he bets all air my equity is 29%.
ev = 0.29*($48)+0.71*(-$21) = $14 - $15 = -$1 = -2bb
Looks like a slightly losing call.
From theory standpoint he has 3.3-to-1 nuts:air ratio.
He bets 21 into 27 giving me 2.29-to-1. So i need to win 30% when calling to breakeven. Assuming all of my hands are bluffcatchers he should bluff 30% and value bet 70% to make me indifferent to calling or folding my bluffcatcher. But since he has 3.3-to-1 nut:air ratio and he always bets the nuts (2PR>) he can only bluff 23% at most and i should have intention to fold all the time.
value - 77%, air - 23%
if he bets all air my equity is 29%.
ev = 0.29*($48)+0.71*(-$21) = $14 - $15 = -$1 = -2bb
Looks like a slightly losing call.
From theory standpoint he has 3.3-to-1 nuts:air ratio.
He bets 21 into 27 giving me 2.29-to-1. So i need to win 30% when calling to breakeven. Assuming all of my hands are bluffcatchers he should bluff 30% and value bet 70% to make me indifferent to calling or folding my bluffcatcher. But since he has 3.3-to-1 nut:air ratio and he always bets the nuts (2PR>) he can only bluff 23% at most and i should have intention to fold all the time.
Final Pot
SB
wins $47
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