EV of 2 barreling AAxxss as 3bettor on dynamic board OOP, math check
Posted by Zuzupet
Posted by Zuzupet posted in Low Stakes
EV of 2 barreling AAxxss as 3bettor on dynamic board OOP, math check
SB: $0 (Hero)
BB: $10.15
UTG: $16.50
HJ: $18.03
CO: $20.39
BN: $10
BB: $10.15
UTG: $16.50
HJ: $18.03
CO: $20.39
BN: $10
Idk why the converter show me as having 0$, but I 10$ starting the hand. And I'am the Hero who 3bets OOP.
Hero IP who is Villian is(preflop): http://scr.hu/0raf/9c8hb over 77 hands
And(flop): http://scr.hu/0raf/6wifs
The hand is analyzed in Pokerjuice, and could not find how to make the names anomonous sorry for that guys.
Here is the hand: http://hh.pokerjuice.com/report_93e7fcd6-8b89-4232-93b9-a5e01c5d308f
Hero IP who is Villian is(preflop): http://scr.hu/0raf/9c8hb over 77 hands
And(flop): http://scr.hu/0raf/6wifs
The hand is analyzed in Pokerjuice, and could not find how to make the names anomonous sorry for that guys.
Here is the hand: http://hh.pokerjuice.com/report_93e7fcd6-8b89-4232-93b9-a5e01c5d308f
Preflop
($0.15)
(5 Players)
Hero was dealt
K
A
A
7
Hero raises to $0.35, Hero folds, Hero calls $0.35, Hero raises to $1.45, Hero folds, Hero calls $1.15, Hero calls $1.15
Hero raises to $0.35, Hero folds, Hero calls $0.35, Hero raises to $1.45, Hero folds, Hero calls $1.15, Hero calls $1.15
Pretty standard 3b OOP for value/protection.
In Pokerjuice:
I put Villain on $FI12 - $4b2 when he calls my 3b IP.
In Pokerjuice:
I put Villain on $FI12 - $4b2 when he calls my 3b IP.
Flop
($4.60)
T
5
Q
(3 Players)
Hero bets $2.20,
Hero calls $2.20,
Hero folds
I think Villian calls my cbet with: Q5+,J9+:hh,KQJ:hh and fold all other hands:
eg: Villiain folds according to PJ: 41% of the time(BTM range) = EV(cbet): 0.41*4.6 = 1.9$
Conclusion: cbet OTF is 1.9$ +EV
eg: Villiain folds according to PJ: 41% of the time(BTM range) = EV(cbet): 0.41*4.6 = 1.9$
Conclusion: cbet OTF is 1.9$ +EV
Turn
($9.00)
Q
(2 Players)
Hero bets $6.30
Now the question is: what range will Villian call my 2br cbet shove with?
http://hh.pokerjuice.com/report_9543e4d2-8a43-4541-9bb0-fda7e0d14fa6
Imo it's: only Q+ on the turn.
eg: Villian folds 71%(btm range)
Villian calls 29%(top range)
EV(turn shove): 6.39$-1.85$ = 4.54$
EV(time Villians folds) (0.71*9$) = 6.39$
EV(time Villian calls) (0.29*6.3$) = 1.85$
note: I have 5% when V. calls so it adds a little bit of EV+ to the calculation, but how to write it in the calculation?
Conclusion it's little more than 4.54$ to 2br for my whole stack here
thoughs??
Thx in advance
http://hh.pokerjuice.com/report_9543e4d2-8a43-4541-9bb0-fda7e0d14fa6
Imo it's: only Q+ on the turn.
eg: Villian folds 71%(btm range)
Villian calls 29%(top range)
EV(turn shove): 6.39$-1.85$ = 4.54$
EV(time Villians folds) (0.71*9$) = 6.39$
EV(time Villian calls) (0.29*6.3$) = 1.85$
note: I have 5% when V. calls so it adds a little bit of EV+ to the calculation, but how to write it in the calculation?
Conclusion it's little more than 4.54$ to 2br for my whole stack here
thoughs??
Thx in advance
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