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50PLO: HU 3Bet Pot, Tough Turn OOP

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50PLO: HU 3Bet Pot, Tough Turn OOP

SB: $90.70
BB: $58.45 (Hero)
SB is basically unknown. Never seen him. This is maybe like 40 hands in. He stacked me once in a pot with top set vs. wrap+FD.

SB Stats: 99/97, 1.6 AF, Fold to CBet in 3Bet+ Pot- 77%
Hero Stats: 22% 3Bet, AF 4.1, CBet in 3Bet+ Pot- 87%
Preflop ($0.75) (2 Players)
Hero was dealt 2 Q A T
SB raises to $1.50, Hero raises to $4.50, SB calls $3
Flop ($9.75) Q T 6 (2 Players)
Hero bets $6.50, SB calls $6.50
Obvious flop CBet. Probably should've bet bigger.
Turn ($22.75) 9 (2 Players)
What do you guys do OTT? I have 33% against the nuts. I think once he calls flop he can have any of the flop straight/FDs, but not a combo draw (KJ:cc, etc). If I bet, I'm B/C, but if I X/C I think my hand gets turned face up. X/C may give me the ability to bluff clubs, but SPR is so low OTR he'll probably call most straights considering he only has to be right 26.5%. LMK what you would do. Thanks!

6 Comments

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Aleksandra ZenFish 12 years, 3 months ago
Since he is folding to cbet in 3bet pot 77 procent id rather put his call flop on flush drw then on straight draw and i would c bet the turn~ and represent the str8~ pot bet for not giving him suffitient odds to fish flush and it is very unlikely that you are going to get a checkraise even if he does have KJ because he can concider u pot commited and would like to save another 20-30 usd if you hit backdoor flush on river, which may give you 2 good possibilities~ one~ he folds because he was fishing clubs and isnt getting a good proce to get it or you see the river and hit one of your outs. If he calls and river is blank you know u re beat zzz which happens, but i think pot raise there is folding him.
Phil Galfond 12 years, 3 months ago
I would go ahead and bet. Like you said, your hand gets turned somewhat face up if you c/c, and I'm not all that comfortable bluffing clubs when he can very easily have clubs himself.

Yes, it sucks when he raises turn, but your equity is okay. I think it's more important to either get value from or fold out his combo draws (which there are plenty of on this board) than to try and minimize losses when behind.
Loki7 12 years, 2 months ago
I don't think there's much reason to bet too large. You are not folding out anything better, and you don't need to bet large to price out the draws. I'd bet around $15, or whatever sizing you think is best to entice him to call or jam with worse without giving him the odds considering that we are not paying off his flush draw if it hits OTR. Going for a check/jam is also cool if you think he'll stab with most of his range here.

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