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QJs flop dilemma 10NL

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Posted by posted in High Stakes

QJs flop dilemma 10NL

BN: $11.04
SB: $9.32
BB: $10
UTG: $10.43 (Hero)
HJ: $10.80
CO: $4.40
BN: 38/22/5,9 TotColdcall: 26 (154 hands)
SB: 37/18/0 TotColdcall: 29 (79 hands)
Preflop ($0.15) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt J Q
Hero raises to $0.30, HJ folds, CO folds, BN calls $0.30, SB calls $0.25, BB folds
Flop ($1.00) 8 T 3 (3 Players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.70, BN calls $0.70, SB folds
BB's and SB's preflop calling range against UTG raiser weighted towards pp-s and suited connectors, some AJ+ and KJs+ combos.

BB won't flat with 2 overs because SB is behind him. SB won't flat with 2overs because He's OOP. However T8x is a good board for SC type hands.

Please explain me why should I cbet this fop OR why shouldn't

Worst situation: both player calls. I don't feel comfortable even in a Qx turn. Jx could be terrible because there are a whole lot pair+draw combos and 2pair combos

Better situation: just BB flats.
Unfortunately I'm OOP
I probably barrel all Jx+ turn cards and diamonds.

Best situation: just SB flats.
I'm IP
I can realise my potential equity
I can bet/fold turns and rivers comfortable
Turn ($2.40) 9 (2 Players)
Hero bets $1.50, BN calls $1.50
River ($5.40) 7 (2 Players)
Hero bets $7.93, BN folds
I think He has an inelastic calling range here. He definitely checks back 2pairs and trips, and I hope him call with Jx and 6x. [I timed a lot before ship]
Final Pot
Hero wins $5.13


3 Comments

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whysoeasy 11 years, 5 months ago

Bet more turn. 

River I think we can play it 2 different ways:

-We overbet push to be sure we take everything from a J and hope (like a lot of hope here) he level himself and call a 6 or 2pairs+ or,

- We bet very small hope he calls with 2 pairs+ / a 6 and push his J himself.

I think the second option look better because I don't really expect a weaker player to just call a small bet with a J since he may thinks he is nuts. But I would be really sick if he does call.

Anyway I completely understand how you play the hand and I think in game I would probably do the same. 

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