NL600 River value bet?
Posted by Likeclockwork
Posted by
Likeclockwork
posted in
Mid Stakes
NL600 River value bet?
CO: 1293.26
BN: 1624.03 (Hero)
SB: 632.16
BB: 772.63
UTG: 600
HJ: 716.12
BN: 1624.03 (Hero)
SB: 632.16
BB: 772.63
UTG: 600
HJ: 716.12
CO is a reg with something like 28/20/12 stats. He seems to be newer to these stakes might be taking a shot.
HJ is very weak passive
HJ is very weak passive
Preflop
(9)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
7
9
UTG folds, HJ calls 6, CO raises to 24, Hero calls 24, SB folds, BB folds, HJ calls 18
UTG folds, HJ calls 6, CO raises to 24, Hero calls 24, SB folds, BB folds, HJ calls 18
Flop
(81)
K
7
9
(3 Players)
HJ checks,
CO bets 48,
Hero calls 48,
HJ folds
Turn
(177)
3
(2 Players)
CO checks,
Hero bets 126,
CO calls 126
River
(429)
J
(2 Players)
CO checks,
Hero bets 258
I think that he probably doesn't have too much of a river check calling range on this exact card. I end up betting smaller as a result with my range, but I'm not sure if there are that many worse hands that he'll still call with. Thoughts?
Loading 13 Comments...
Preflop is spew, your losing a lot of money here.
On river, we got hands that are higher up in our valuerange. You rarely get called by worse + you are sometimes beat, ie KhXh.
Villain range after river check
KJ+, KTs, 77, 99, JTs
AK(12) KQ(12) KJ(9) 77(1) 99(1) approsimative
u can seee that he have more combos with Kx than set's or another points
(i don't understand why with QQ JJ TT he must bet flop turn) i don't want to consider this cards
i think that river he haven't a X push range because when u call on a blank at turn and river hit your range
if villain never xpush 2pairs or sets or draws... with showdown value u check back and i think that u bet only two pairs+
that river i bet 1/3 pot with nuts,set or 2pair....
i don't know who villain missed cbet that value bet 1/3 pot in any case i think that is not possible to balance with bluff...
i balance with nuts- medium value
this imho :)
Well,I think a small bet,maybe 1/3 pot will be better, the river bet is too thin no worse hands will call you. V have JJ,QQ,KX and Some FD combos, just wonder if V check-raise the river , hero fold,right?
I would check back this river. There is not as much value as it seems on a scary card like that + vilain can easily go for a check-raise.
I could raise the flop, depends on many things actually. I could also bet the turn bigger, with the intention of shutting down on this kind of river.
Agree that preflop is fine with these stacks. River... well, we just ran out of perceived bluffs when this card falls, so we can't value bet what is now close to the bottom of our flop turn value range.
Yeah without squeezy blinds I'm literally flatting 79s on the button 100% vs co open. What do you guys think about raising flop here?
I chose not to raise the flop in order to keep in the HJ. If he had not been in the pot, or was a more normal opponent, I think I'd raise the flop. Not sure how good/bad that is?
I was wondering why you didn't raise the flop but I like the reasoning. With the fish still left to act and being IP vs both I think its better to flat flop. If it was HU vs reg I raise flop here
No way he calls you with one pair, even if he has great blockers.
i think if he overfolds a ton on bad rivers youre better off raising this turn . unless you think he bluffs aggro or xcs overbets to bricks
He x/c'd this turn?
jh is a really dangerous card actually, some strong draw hands have complete as well in river,almost no bluff from hero here,so maybe a thin bet will be better if no raise at turn.
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