NL600 River value bet?

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

NL600 River value bet?

CO: 1293.26
BN: 1624.03 (Hero)
SB: 632.16
BB: 772.63
UTG: 600
HJ: 716.12
CO is a reg with something like 28/20/12 stats. He seems to be newer to these stakes might be taking a shot.
HJ is very weak passive
Preflop (9) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt 7 9
UTG folds, HJ calls 6, CO raises to 24, Hero calls 24, SB folds, BB folds, HJ calls 18
Flop (81) K 7 9 (3 Players)
HJ checks, CO bets 48, Hero calls 48, HJ folds
Turn (177) 3 (2 Players)
CO checks, Hero bets 126, CO calls 126
River (429) J (2 Players)
CO checks, Hero bets 258
I think that he probably doesn't have too much of a river check calling range on this exact card. I end up betting smaller as a result with my range, but I'm not sure if there are that many worse hands that he'll still call with. Thoughts?


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