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200z I chose a weird bluff line and somehow gets there..but....

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

200z I chose a weird bluff line and somehow gets there..but....

BN: $240.35
SB: $64.59
BB: $271.58 (Hero)
UTG: $397.20
HJ: $391.96
CO: $348.46
Preflop ($3.00) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt 7 K
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO folds, BN raises to $4.50, SB folds, Hero calls $2.50
Flop ($10.00) 8 2 3 (2 Players)
Hero checks, BN bets $7.50, Hero raises to $23.83, BN calls $16.33
Turn ($57.66) 8 2 3 8 (2 Players)
Hero bets $37, BN calls $37
River ($131.66) 8 2 3 8 J (2 Players)
Hero bets $2, BN raises to $175.02, and is all in

I only have 150 hands on the villain but I know he is a reg and after seeing some zoom highlights/replays  and I think he is kind of meh,  (flatting 5bet with 34s 150bb deep and stuff like that) and from my short sample, he likes to bet a lot post..

55% cbet  60% turn bet.  

Pre I think it's a okay 3bet since reg now days open wayyy too much otb, his btn steal was 70% but his fold to 3bet was 40 so I chose to flat.  

Flop I was kind of lazy and chose a sizing that is to small, should have made >28.  His c-bet was quite big which usually look like strong draw/sets overpair seeking for protection.  usually flat my Kd/Ad here but this guy just seems full of it and just felt like raising him(not really a good point for raising tbh) and he quickly flats..


Turn I have trouble picking a sizing which resulted from my small flop raise,   so I tanked for about 25s and he snap calls.  I think I should have 2 sizing here villain dependent, that is a big sizing for both bluffing and valuing and the other smaller inducing sizing for both bluffing and valuing. 

River is bit meh, not good at those spots.  I can't really bet 80/90 and fold because I don't really expect he is turning his 45 type of hands into bluff(which I'm sure this villain is flatting the turn with)  



6 Comments

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Memo999 10 years, 7 months ago

"Pre I think it's a okay 3bet since reg now days open wayyy too"

I think its a clear cut call. If you chose to 3bet K7o oop, you move it to from a range (SRP) to a range, where it dont belong and doing poorly (3BP).

As played, I dont see why I wanna CR flop. I dont fold many better hands out and I feel comfortable calling K-high and a flush draw.

OTR I dont know what you are doing. I dont play any hands like this, but if I should imagine, where Im at in a range of CR flop, bet turn and check (=bet $2) river, I think Im too high up in my range to justify a fold.

Knoxox 10 years, 7 months ago

Just call OTF. Raising makes no sense. He only cbets 55% so I assume he's quite strong.Then x/f the turn.
As played river makes no sense and I would just x/f. His range is mostly full houses or Adx.


Tyler Forrester 10 years, 7 months ago

I don't like inflating the pot with this hand. This hand is a lot like 3-betting A8o against a cutoff range. It has plenty of equity against his wide 70% range and very lousy equity against the much narrower range after we check/raise and barrel the paired board.

Erik 10 years, 7 months ago

I'm not min betting this river...If you are precived as a fish making this bet it can induce him to bomb huge with everything he has and the only way to make sure you fold is an allin in most circumstances. Make a proper blocker bet or check.

jaguar 10 years, 7 months ago

You are drawing conclusions from a hand sample that is hardly relevant.

The fact that you have 150 hands and are even mentioning turn cb% numbers is an error.

In those 150 hands villain has only been OTB ~25 times. They have only had the option to RFI ~10-15 times. How can you have any confidence in his high opening % and low F3% with that sample?


I strongly dislike inflating the pot pre-flop with your values. 


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