200z I chose a weird bluff line and somehow gets there..but....

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

200z I chose a weird bluff line and somehow gets there..but....

BN: $240.35
SB: $64.59
BB: $271.58 (Hero)
UTG: $397.20
HJ: $391.96
CO: $348.46
Preflop ($3.00) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt 7 K
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO folds, BN raises to $4.50, SB folds, Hero calls $2.50
Flop ($10.00) 8 2 3 (2 Players)
Hero checks, BN bets $7.50, Hero raises to $23.83, BN calls $16.33
Turn ($57.66) 8 2 3 8 (2 Players)
Hero bets $37, BN calls $37
River ($131.66) 8 2 3 8 J (2 Players)
Hero bets $2, BN raises to $175.02, and is all in

I only have 150 hands on the villain but I know he is a reg and after seeing some zoom highlights/replays  and I think he is kind of meh,  (flatting 5bet with 34s 150bb deep and stuff like that) and from my short sample, he likes to bet a lot post..

55% cbet  60% turn bet.  

Pre I think it's a okay 3bet since reg now days open wayyy too much otb, his btn steal was 70% but his fold to 3bet was 40 so I chose to flat.  

Flop I was kind of lazy and chose a sizing that is to small, should have made >28.  His c-bet was quite big which usually look like strong draw/sets overpair seeking for protection.  usually flat my Kd/Ad here but this guy just seems full of it and just felt like raising him(not really a good point for raising tbh) and he quickly flats..


Turn I have trouble picking a sizing which resulted from my small flop raise,   so I tanked for about 25s and he snap calls.  I think I should have 2 sizing here villain dependent, that is a big sizing for both bluffing and valuing and the other smaller inducing sizing for both bluffing and valuing. 

River is bit meh, not good at those spots.  I can't really bet 80/90 and fold because I don't really expect he is turning his 45 type of hands into bluff(which I'm sure this villain is flatting the turn with)  



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