10NL Fast-Fold: 3-bet from BB vs. BTN open, monotone flop w/ gutshot

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10NL Fast-Fold: 3-bet from BB vs. BTN open, monotone flop w/ gutshot

Note: My software does not support HUD in FF, so villain stats were unknown prior to HH review.

I have 2 main questions here:

  1. At what point should I shut down the aggression, and what are the main factors to consider in this spot? I don't hate my flop c-bet (though I can be convinced it was bad), but any advice around sizing (I think I went too small here?) I figured that villain's 3-bet calling range from the BTN would include a lot of Ax combos, KJs+, 22-88, some SCs, etc. I expect my c-bet to get through any high-card combos that don't contain a diamond, PPs below 77 (blocking 99 here helps), and may even fold out a fair amount of equity on SC combos that hit the board. I think the turn is where I should have shut down - villain's continues vs. flop c-bet are very strong vs. my range here, and if river filled in my gutshot I would have a bluffcatcher, given the board on the turn.

  2. Knowing now that villain is a nit, would a better line in this situation simply be to flat, and fold to flop aggression on this unfavorable board?

NL Holdem $0.1(BB)
CO ($23.16) [VPIP: 10.2% | PFR: 5.3% | AGG: 37.5% | 3-Bet: 2.3% | Hands: 244]
BTN ($8.22) [VPIP: 11% | PFR: 4.4% | AGG: 32.4% | 3-Bet: 2.3% | Hands: 182]
SB ($6.72) [VPIP: 0% | PFR: 0% | AGG: 0% | 3-Bet: 0% | Hands: 12]
BB HERO ($11.8) [VPIP: 24.4% | PFR: 16.5% | AGG: 31.9% | 3-Bet: 9% | Hands: 2603]
UTG ($24.3) [VPIP: 0% | PFR: 0% | AGG: 0% | 3-Bet: 0% | Hands: 10]
HJ ($9.49) [VPIP: 13.3% | PFR: 1.2% | AGG: 23.1% | 3-Bet: 7.7% | Hands: 83]

Dealt to Hero: Ah 9h

UTG Folds, HJ Folds, CO Folds, BTN Raises To $0.30, SB Folds, HERO Raises To $1, BTN Calls $0.70

Hero SPR on Flop: [3.52 effective]
Flop ($2.05): Td Jd 7d
HERO Bets $0.80 (Rem. Stack: 10.0), BTN Calls $0.80 (Rem. Stack: 6.42)

Turn ($3.65): Td Jd 7d Tc
HERO Bets $2.15 (Rem. Stack: 7.85), BTN Calls $2.15 (Rem. Stack: 4.27)

River ($7.95): Td Jd 7d Tc 4s
HERO Bets $7.85 (all in)

5 Comments

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Bingo 123 6 years, 5 months ago

Preflop would not even 3bet vs 4%! pfr , what is the point ?
Flop this is one the textures that is good for IP id check big part of range.
Turn totally unnecessary river as well, we have hands with way better blockers and equity to barrel off there. Entire hand looks quite spewy

EffenRiver 6 years, 5 months ago

I agree that knowing villain's frequencies this was spew all day, but the situation at the time was readless, so I assumed field tendencies were at play (i.e. super wide Btn ranges). Should have been a bit more clear on that point for Q1.

Bingo 123 6 years, 5 months ago

Ah sure, disregard my comments on adjusting to villain then.

Given the player pool giving unkown btn wide range is fine , do note villain stacksize could mean weaker player.

Still not the combo id go off 3 streets with vs unkowns

Jbarez 6 years, 5 months ago

cbet flop should be fine with gutshot equity, but turn is clear give up - you realized most of fold equity on flop and you have hand with very marginal equity against villain range

Samu Patronen 6 years, 5 months ago

I'm not sure if I like betting at any street. The board hits villain pretty well and I don't think villain has a very hard time defending at any street. And our hand is pretty bad.

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