River decision w/ middle set - sh nlh t mtt
Posted by Nital J
Posted by
Nital J
posted in
Mid Stakes
River decision w/ middle set - sh nlh t mtt
Blinds: t150/t300 (5 Players)
SB: 11,190
BB: 4,230
UTG: 9,360
CO: 11,720 (Hero)
BN: 2,349
BB: 4,230
UTG: 9,360
CO: 11,720 (Hero)
BN: 2,349
Preflop
(450)
Hero is CO with
Q
Q
, , , ,
Flop
(1,760)
A
2
Q
, ,
Turn
(2,960)
A
2
Q
8
, ,
River
(5,360)
A
2
Q
8
3
, ,
~30 left, 18 itm, avg stack ~11K.
It initially seems ridiculous to not shove. Two conflicting signals: he's doing it for value, but why not shove AA?
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I can't answer those questions but I am already jamming when he reachs for more chips.
Right? If he has AA, so be it. My game has softened too much if I have to post these types of hhs.
If the guy is the nittiest man on earth you can call but against most players that barely have 54s on this spot and a lot of worse for value you are not exploiting the majority of his range.
He will have aces up and a smaller set here way more often then aces and 54. Get the stack in and take a note if he just called with AA from SB 40BB deep.
The only hand that worries me in this spot is 54 of spades and that hand makes sense but thats only one combo.
I would go a little bigger on the turn since there are two flushdraws on the board and he has both in his range so maybe 1700-1900 on the turn so we can go for more value on the river against one pair aces hands that wants to hero call.
lol i just try to bet as many chips as possible here on this river and lol if i lose (much less tilting than the variety of other retarded beats you take playing mtts)
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