River decision w/ middle set - sh nlh t mtt

Posted 9 years, 10 months ago

Blinds: t150/t300 (5 Players) SB: 11,190
BB: 4,230
UTG: 9,360
CO: 11,720 (Hero)
BN: 2,349

Preflop (450) Hero is CO with Q Q

UTG folds, Hero raises to 630, BN folds, SB calls 480, BB folds

Flop (1,760) A 2 Q

SB checks, Hero bets 600, SB calls 600

Turn (2,960) A 2 Q 8

SB checks, Hero bets 1,200, SB calls 1,200

River (5,360) A 2 Q 8 3

SB checks, Hero bets 2,400, SB raises to 4,800

~30 left, 18 itm, avg stack ~11K.

It initially seems ridiculous to not shove. Two conflicting signals: he's doing it for value, but why not shove AA?