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AQcc approaching bubble in Big 55

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

AQcc approaching bubble in Big 55

UTG1: dawhiteninja: 28080
UTG2: misspeps: 15454
LJ: dzambur: 47145
HJ: sbek1503: 6290
CO: Drk Confdant: 15876
BN: Spacedman13: 14245
SB: Stunts25: 33697
BB: bparis: 22029
UTG: Armand2011: 12808
Preflop (1050) (9 Players)
dawhiteninja was dealt A Q
Armand2011 raises to 1589, dawhiteninja calls 1589, misspeps folds, dzambur folds, sbek1503 folds, Drk Confdant folds, Spacedman13 calls 1589, Stunts25 folds, bparis folds
Flop (5817) 6 4 J (3 Players)
Armand2011 bets 3750, dawhiteninja calls 3750, Spacedman13 folds
Turn (13317) 6 4 J 6 (2 Players)
Armand2011 bets 7384, and is all in, dawhiteninja folds
V JJ+ and AK I have 25% equity and getting 2.9:1 on a call, meaning it's a break even call V this range.
Final Pot
Armand2011 wins 14082

Villian has 11% (27trials) open from EP. 0% fold to 3bet in 3 trials.

AQcc is bottom of my range here. Thought about 3 betting getting it in V villain, decided to call... I'm on a nice stack approaching bubble, and not that happy getting 18bigs in these positions V this villian. So I call. My standard on this flop is to get it in, likely 1 over and flush draw plus FE. But I thought his range is so strong here cbetting 50% into 2 people, he should never be cbetting or double barrel 88-TT here and that means I can't think of a hand I beat. Also his cbet % was 0% through 3 trials at the time. But I think it's way to strong a hand to fold to one bet.

My plan was to use my position and take a low variance style V an opponent who has a super strong range with a super strong hand on this flop and peel one and continue on a club A or Q turn. I missed so I stuck to my plan and folded. But thinking if get it in pre or on the flop would show more of a profit. Thinking about it more clearly now I think I like how I played it, 2nd choice would be raise, get in flop which I think is pretty good as I get to see both cards. Still not a fan of getting in pre.

Thoughts?


3 Comments

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John Shamwoww 11 years, 1 month ago

Pre is whatever. I'm probably all in pre.

I'm all in on the flop, though. You have FE on his flop cbet and around 45% vs JJ-AA, all AJ combos and a KcTc combo in there and thats as tight a range as i think you can get it in with. 


You're guaranteed to have around 20bb left if you brick off and lose, or you have just under 40bb to run deep in the b55. Pretty good spot to me. 

MrSneeze 11 years, 1 month ago

You can't really make mistakes in this hand :). If your strategy is to play low variance as you said, then your line is fine.

Flop sizing from vilain is very big. I don't think you have fold equity (you do have big equity though, obv).


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