Ryan Wu

Isildurshair

i think it shows the EV of the node.
so the EV(turn,call) = sum of the EV(all the strategic option after that call) * each freq%
like in this simple case
EV(BB, river call) = (1/3)(+4.5) + (2/3)(-1.5) = 0.5
EV(BB, river check through) = (3)(1/3) = 1
--> EV(BB, turn call) = (60%)(0.5) + (40%)(1) - 1 = -0.3
here we had a +EV river call but -EV turn call

Hi Mark, nice video
at around 9:29, table 2. you said that its a board that doesn't hit villain's range too well. but given the calling range I post, I found its not v bad for villain's range even he needs to fold almost all of his broadway hands(guess he wouldnt defend too many offsuited broadway though). and he could defend even wider if he construct a raising range on the flop. so I doubt that AK without a heart is a +EV cbet on the flop? Also whats your plan on the turn/river? i guess as played we have to XF almost all the turn.

so busy recently! will update tomorrow!

Congrats Phil!

is the study group still running, im interested in joining it.
play 200 to 500z on Stars, skpye ID "zethfion"
thanks!

Day 5 (18th Nov.)

Monthly Goals
[ ] Watch 32 videos (1/32)
[ ] Post 16 hands (0/16)
[ ] Don't check result til the end of this month ...FAIL
[x] Don't play more than 6 tables

Fail the "Don't check result" goal cuz i feel I lost so much so I need to check to see if I should move down...

Down ~8k since the journal start. The downswing makes me dont have the motivation to anything else but just grinding grinding and grinding... I don't feel its a good cycle and its def makes me even harder to get out of the downswing. So I need to add some new rules/goals.
(Keep adding new goals maybe looks a bit stupid, but I think its important for me, esp at this point.)

Monthly Goals
[ ] Watch 32 videos (1/32)
[ ] Post 16 hands at PLO forum (0/16)
[ ] Don't check the result until the end of this month
[ ] Play 1/2 zoom exclusively until +10k (now -8k)
[ ] Spend at least 1 hour to study/review/post BEFORE the first session of the day everyday

I believe things will pick up soon! Good luck everybody!

Day 1 (14th Nov.)

[x] Wattch 2 videos

Not a very bad start for the journal. Lost 1.5k but its +340 in BB. I think I'm doing OK at 200z(graph) and 400(graph) if Im really focus and playing my A-game. However there is some issue that cause me deviate from my A-game frequently.

1) Play too many tables.
I should know that putting lots of volume is not my main goal for now. 1k hands with A-game is better than 3k hands with B/C-game. Esp my goal is to improve and move up to HSPLO asap, so its def meaningless to autopilot lots of hands and try to become a RB player.

2) Having a unrealistic expectation of my short-term result
I found my mental game is becoming worse and worse since I back to the PLO world. I don't know why. I know the variance, I had the exp of running below EV 300bi in the past, I've read some mental game books. But everything happened in PLO tilted me so much recently. I guess thats b/c of that I have too many unrealistic expectation. EX. I expect I can just jump into this game and start crushing, I think I should running better today cuz I already running below EV a lot... These thoughts are meaningless and hurts my game.

For fix these, I need some new goals. (and update some goals I made previously)

Short-term Goals (15th-30th Nov.)
[ ] Don't play more than 6 tables.
(The only condition that I can play 8 tables is all the game is running on Stars and non of them are zoom.)
[ ] Don't check result til the end of his month
[ ] Watch 32 videos
[ ] Post 16 hands at forum, and use PokerJuice to analyze them.

That's all. Will post some hands later. Good luck at tables!

Excellent thread! These thoughts are interesting and really helpful for me! Subbed!

Subbed, great blog!
I'm also on my road to HSPLO, hope can meet you at 5/10 table pretty soon. glgl