xxmmarioxx

How many full Houses are in your Range? I woulf guess close to zero because it is ugly to bet as big as you did on the turn with anything else than a bluff or a J. So you either have the J or nothing. And his range is also very very thin, what hand is he repping? I guess just Q10 and K10 maybe A10 and thats about it because all other full houses are either 3-bet pre or raised flop. And be honest, do you know anyone who would take this line with KK or QQ? ;-) So he is left with offsuit combos of Q10-A10, suited he would prob 3-bet pre, and A10o maybe as well. The there are a few. 

With the FD on the Turn, it makes it possible that he pickes up the Backfoor FD and decided to shove-pray you dont have the J. So there are maybe some bluffs, as well as some Jacks who he didnt want to raise turn because it looks so obv. And snap jams the River with it without thinking.

All in all i would say the snap shove within the other factors it makes it extremly unlikely, that he got us beat and we will most of the time chop. 

I wouöd give him to 5% the full house, than 15% the busted FD and 80% a jack. In my opinion its a clear call.

xxmmarioxx

Hey Nick!

I have another please to you! I love your "hellmuth" style of play and find it amazinh how you find spots where other people just dont see anything. I also understand your reasoning  for example folding 88 with an 8BB stack vs an UTG open. Its curious but the your sucess says everything. :-)

But now to my please, i also really like Paul Senters approce on the game but it completely different. Like 3-bet shoving A4s 18BB vs an EP open. And well, it just works out sick as well. It would be amazing if you review one of his sessions and he one of yours. Just would be extremly interesting what you guys think you the other style of play, and why you prefer the other style of play.

Greets xxmmarioxx

Hey Tom,

There is a problem with your River bet line: What do you want to rep? 3-bet an UTG open with 20BB. Check twice on J 9 x x and value bet river. What hand can rep, that gets called by A-high (and not even AK or AQ, he would ship it pre, prob). So it just look likes a failed trap postflop. But with the check you rep exatly AK, and thats what it makes it huge +EV

Because even a bluff would not make a lot of sense in his spot, i have often times seen players think like: "well he has like 120% of pot left, i am 90% sure he has AK and on a board of J9xx9 i could have hit a good hand in his eyes, so with 36 left of a tourney with 144K for first, his is probably not willing to make a huge call with A-high" and with that he just ships it or bets really big.

Sowe know Nick is thinking differnt and plays like that are deadly against him but, even many players know him as a highstakes shark, but maybe the opponent is just a someday-player and doesnt know that things. He would possibly run it our Check on the River. 

greets xxmmarioxx

in my opinion: 3-bet getting in 99 in perfectly fine, becausr there are a hole lot of players, how are 4-bet shoving small pairs and A5s typ of hands. I didnt have a read on player but on the average 100$ tournament player, its a profitable play. And 30x deep OOP wothout the betting lead, 99 plays really tough