wilsonyeung813
11 points
Any comments of using Signal Detection Theory in interpretation of info?
June 25, 2018 | 6:09 a.m.
+61 452099928
May 11, 2017 | 1:49 p.m.
one of da best videos i hv watched on RIO. thank you
Dec. 3, 2016 | 4:02 p.m.
19:30 66 hand: what bluffs are u leading river with? rly hard to rep bluffs on that runout. but a jack seems like a better card for ur range.
Also, why are u choosing 25% pot sizings on multi-way pots?
Oct. 6, 2016 | 4:42 a.m.
i actually don hate this call.
Blocking AhXh isn't rly that relevant, even though AhXh are being bluffed OTT a decent % of the time, a lot of ppl (at a 1k online mtt level) would give up riv w AhXh coz those hands block your auto-folding hands, but bluff with stuffs like 89 85 T8 without heart. so bluff catching w stuffs like 88 99 55 just sucks. u probably cbet most of ur jack, u probably never hv a 7. AK blocks A7 K7 that may lead turn for thin value n bombs river, and also blocks KJ AJ. i sigh call. but ya i don think u should theoretically call with this hand all the time. maybe piosolve this spot
Sept. 30, 2016 | 2:59 p.m.
can even consider r/f vs BTN coz FU ICM
Sept. 30, 2016 | 3:03 a.m.
think this is an exaggeration. but yes NL25 is tougher than most 109-215 mtts (only big field ones, not small field). I play up to 320 with 7bb/100 win rate i agree NL100 is much tougher than 109-320 MTTs, NL50 slightly tougher than 109-320 MTTs
Sept. 29, 2016 | 2:21 p.m.
hey man do u think its better to shove WIDER than ICmizer ranges (NOT icmizer nash ranges, but ranges against certain opening ranges/calling ranges) in FTs? coz i don wanna fold 77 12.5bbs UTG 6 handed, or even 22 on the btn 12bbs.. or not jam KQo from SB w 19bbs vs CO 45% raise first in.. just a few examples haha
This is a HH from today party 109:
Hand History for Game 15555790983
NL Texas Hold'em $109 USD Buy-in Trny:129158855 Level:17 Blinds-Antes(4,000/8,000 -1,000) - Thursday,September 29, 20:34:40 CT 2016
Table Heavyweight: Kangaroo - $5,000 Gtd (129158855) Table #8 (Real Money)
Seat 4 is the button
Total number of players : 5/9
Seat 4: mateee ( 89,725 )
Seat 6: nanlangstyle99 ( 158,916 )
Seat 7: hamdervinder ( 714,662 )
Seat 8: s0mnAmnA ( 156,688 )
Seat 9: MaxBCG ( 412,809 )
Trny:129158855 Level:17
Blinds-Antes(4,000/8,000 -1,000)
mateee posts ante [1,000 ]
nanlangstyle99 posts ante [1,000 ]
hamdervinder posts ante [1,000 ]
s0mnAmnA posts ante [1,000 ]
MaxBCG posts ante [1,000 ]
nanlangstyle99 posts small blind [4,000 ].
hamdervinder posts big blind [8,000 ].
* Dealing down cards *
Dealt to nanlangstyle99 [ Qs, Kh ]
s0mnAmnA folds
MaxBCG raises [ 16,000 ]
mateee folds
nanlangstyle99 is all-In [ 153,916 ]
So the CO has a raise first in from CO of roughly 45%.. ok. so shoving is print roughly 15k chips on avg (which represents close to 10% of our stack). but then ICmizer says this is -$8....
i feel like in reality to maximise $EV its better to push wider than ICMizer ranges, anyone agree?
Sept. 29, 2016 | 2:01 p.m.
Thank you for the responses. I don think "zoom games are very hard with close with no fish" in my timezone. But yes, zoom NL100 is def MUCH tougher than higher stake mtts i play regularly. Good point regarding regular tables being more suitable for mtt regs/and softer. My major problem is I tilt a ton when i play regular cash tables, but rarely tilt when i play zoom though.
Sept. 23, 2016 | 1:52 p.m.
im a MTT reg with 7.6bb/100 (allin adjusted) at high stake mtts this year (in reality maybe lower like 5-6bb/100 coz i run above EV this year). anyone heard of mtt regs with similar MTT bb/100 win rate, who transit to zoom NL50/100, and be able to breakeven or even hv >2bb/100 win rate? I have some GTO fundamentals but obv not good comparing to cash regs.
Sept. 23, 2016 | 11:13 a.m.
- Is defending at frequency tighter than MDF good in zoom Nl100? If yes how much tighter? 2. What is a good fold to cbet% at NL100? 3. I'm primarily a mtt reg, with 7bb/100 win rate at stake over $80. How likely can I at least breakeven at NL100? how about NL50? NL100 seems tougher than high stake mtts (>100) lol.
Sept. 16, 2016 | 3:06 p.m.
So in MTTs, +cEV calls =/= +$EV calls. Very often, slightly +cEV calls are -$EV since tournament survival is key, even in early stage. In ICM spots (FTs or bubble), this effect is even more significant when many of our +cEV calls become -$EV. Like there are some more extreme spots that we need 33.3% equity cEV wise to call off profitably, but with ICM we may need 50% or something.
So lets say we are playing against someone who play a balanced strategy, vs a pot sized shove, it is very likely we would be folding top even top 40% of our range (cEV wise we have to defend around 50% of range, varies between different boards and different range distribution obviously, MDF =/= actual GTO defending frequency). Let’s say on some boards there are limited blocker effects, it is hard to pick superior bluff catchers. The EV of bluff catching x hand and y hand is the same (or in mathematical terms the EV of bluff catching 70% percentile hand is very similar to bluff catching 30% percentile hand). If we play strict ICM we may have to fold 70% of our range and our opponent can print monies, and perhaps switch to a more exploitative strategy (overbluffing, it is hard for us to do much about it though) if similar situations come up again. I want to ask a few questions:
(a) Is there any GTO solvers that deal with tough ICM spots? How does ICM discount our optimal defending frequency comparing to non ICM situations? Should we make some slightly -$EV (but +cEV) call downs at low frequency (like calling with 70% percentile of our range but fold 60% percentile even tho EV of calling both combos is same) theoretically and in practice?
(b) Is it possible to solve how many bluff combos relative to value combos (value to bluff ratio) is villain allowed to have vs GTO defending ranges in ICM spots?
(c) How to deal with those situations? Or any ways to avoid those situations by playing differently on earlier streets?
Sept. 9, 2016 | 7:59 a.m.
Very good video. love the simple postflop+flopzilla comparison.
23:00: should we continue with some Ac ott? coz on club rivers we can c/r n balance with our Axcc, but maybe A9 at some freq. if we can call turn with some Ac, what frequency should we do so at according to the solver?
Aug. 15, 2016 | 1:43 p.m.
or we also bluff some stuffs like Ah, and Kh blocker OTT?
Aug. 2, 2016 | 11:34 a.m.
the 97o straight hand: do we hv enough bluffs to go that size? if we 2x overbet with all our 7x. if we play the hand w all our FD without pair thats like 15 combos only? i think we hv way more than 30 value combos
Aug. 2, 2016 | 11:33 a.m.
I am mainly a MTT reg (can beat 50 ABI MTTs with meh ROI% over 20k games). I am currently learning NL50 6max as a way to improve my MTT game and not get crushed when i play 300+ BI MTTs or EPTs in the future.
I am playing non-zoom NL50 on stars. I wanna know how GTO the 50nl regs have become. Are they close to perfectly balanced preflop vs regs in opening n 3betting?
Also, is the below range construction fine?
Vs UTG 16%:
CO/BTN: Value: QQ+,AKs,AJo; Bluff: A3s-A5s,KJs,87s,76s
SB: ?
BB: ?
Vs UTG 20%:
CO/BTN: Value: JJ+,AK; Bluff: A9s,A3s-A5s,KTs,98s,87s,76s,KQo
SB: ?
BB: ?
Vs MP 20%
CO/BTN: Value: JJ+,AK; Bluff: A9s,A3s-A5s,KTs,98s,87s,76s,KQo
SB: ?
BB: ?
Vs MP 24%
CO/BTN: Value: JJ+,AK; Bluff: A9s,A3s-A5s,98s,87s,76s,33-55
SB: ?
BB: ?
Vs CO 25%
BTN: Value: TT+,AK,AQs; Bluff: 33-55,A9s,A3s-A5s,T8s,97s+,87s,76s
SB: ?
BB: ?
Vs CO 30%
BTN: Value: 99+,AQs+,AQo+; Bluff: A2s-A5s,J9s,T8s+,97s+,86s+,76s,65s,54s,KQo
SB: ?
BB: ?
VS BTN 45%
SB: Value: 99+,AJs+,AQo+; Bluff: A9s,A2s-A5s,KTs-KJs,QJs,JTs,T8s+,97s+,87s,76s,KQo
BB: Value: 99+,AJs+,AQo+; Bluff: 95s,85s-86s,74s+,63s+,53s+,43s,87o,76o
Vs BTN 50%
SB: Value: 88+,ATs+,AJo+,KQs; Bluff: 33-55,A9s,A2s-A5s,KTs,QTs+,J9s+,T8s+,97s+,87s,76s,KQo
BB: Value: 88+,ATs+,AJo+,KQs; Bluff: 95s-96s,84s-85s,74s-75s,63s+,53s+,43s,97o,86o+,76o
Also, i d k wat to do if i 3b AKs and get 4b by UTG, flat 4b or fold or 5b vs a GTO-ish reg?
Also, below is too tight right in 50nl? We can open wider exploitatively?
UTG 16% AA-55, AKo-AJo, KQo, AKs-A2s, KQs-K9s, QJs-Q9s, JTs-J9s, T9s-T8s, 98s, 87s, 76s
MP 19.8% AA-44, AKo-ATo, KQo-KJo, QJo, AKs-A2s, KQs-K9s, QJs-Q9s, JTs-J9s, T9s-T8s, 98s-97s, 87s, 76s, 65s
CO 24.9% AA-22, AKo-ATo, KQo-KTo, QJo-QTo, JTo, AKs-A2s, KQs-K8s, QJs-Q8s,
JTs-J8s, T9s-T8s, 98s-97s, 87s-86s, 76s, 65s, 54s
BU 45.4% AA-22, AKo-A2o, KQo-K8o, QJo-Q9o, JTo-J9o, T9o, 98o, AKs-A2s,
KQs-K2s, QJs-Q4s, JTs-J5s, T9s-T5s, 98s-95s, 87s-84s, 76s-74s, 65s-63s, 54s-
53s, 43s
SB 56.3% AA-22, AKo-A2o, KQo-K5o, QJo-Q7o, JTo-J8o, T9o-T8o, 98o-97o, 87o, 76o
AKs-A2s, KQs-K2s, QJs-Q2s, JTs-J3s, T9s-T4s, 98s-95s, 87s-84s, 76s-74s,
65s-63s, 54s-53s, 43s, 32s
Anyway, im seeking for a nl50 coach (at a low price <100/h) or any study partner. I rly suck.
March 8, 2016 | 12:34 p.m.
how is fish's 4b small lol? sick wtf sizing no idea what hand are good for 4b/f 40% of stack omfg
Feb. 1, 2016 | 4:21 p.m.
25:13
ICMized it.
If btn calls 99+,AQs+,AKo+, SB calls 88+,AQ+, BB calls 88+,AQ+, even 99 is a slightly -$EV shove. 77 is -0.1% of pricepool. so just raise/decide. prolly sigh call off SB, fold vs others, maybe consider jamming over a small 3bet.
Jan. 2, 2016 | 3:15 p.m.
23:00-24:00
u just shove pre with ur AT A7 A5 55 77 most of the time. don like c/r too light in this spot. u repping T7 57 T5 mainly..
Dec. 26, 2015 | 3:50 p.m.
I think even if u hv the required cEV equity to call, e.g. in that JTs hand (against 55+,A9s+,ATo+,KQs), u should be folding. u can plug it into ICMizer and u will realize u need more than min cEV required equity to call off profitably (even when u are not in a FT, there are some ICM considerations with 2 tables left). u prolly need like 40% ish i think. also, with ur edge in this tournament folding thin spots like these is fine.
Dec. 21, 2015 | 4:30 p.m.
22-77 would probably 4bet jam pre. how can 22-55 call a 3bet profitably at that stack depth, only 40bbs. vs a 3b range that consists of ~45% 3b/f to 4bet shove any pair is a +EV 4b jam at that depth.
Oct. 16, 2015 | 3:52 p.m.
The A4o shove is def +EV ICM shove, assuming the opener is opening around 6.8% of nuts (r/c) and 40% of trash which i think he does. indeed u can ship ATC vs that opening range (even with ICM its fine). the KJs is a +$EV nash shove but maybe better off raise/folding (and surprisingly 88 99 are ICM punts). the kjo may be a ICM punt but its hard to icmize it. 3betting hands like AJo QTs seems fine and not too wide. These are two of the nut bluff combos. the K5s QJo 3bets vs EP and MP are really light and clearly not GTO (but prolly pretty profitable since openers have high fold to 3b%)
Sept. 29, 2015 | 9:45 a.m.
the Q8o is such a profitable raise/get in. like i guess u limp a bunch of 84s 85s 89s T8s J8s + the 9T J9 TJ.. then u would prolly b/3b jam many of these combos
Sept. 2, 2015 | 12:46 p.m.
the A8o btn 23bb jam is a ICM suicide. 99+,AJs+,AQo+ (but probably r/c w these hands)
Aug. 28, 2015 | 12:44 p.m.
also, pretty sure the KTo is a clear fold. the big stack's calling range shouldn't be 5% of sth. a lot of big stacks would call with sth like 66+,ATs+,AJo+ (8%) even tho ICM wise they can't that light.
Aug. 28, 2015 | 12:35 p.m.
im shocked that KQo is a ICM suicide. i snap shove 44 in this spot all day... even 77 isn't a jam wtf? is following ICM too nitty?
Aug. 28, 2015 | 12:16 p.m.
pretty sure 45o is a +EV defend (or better than folding) against a mr from a non-nit. so 56o 67o are mandatory calls. 45o is a good candidate to 3b bluff with tho.
Aug. 20, 2015 | 12:31 p.m.
41:00 wouldn't shove the 44 since i think the flatter can easily hv 88-TT which are not folding to the squeeze
Aug. 3, 2015 | 2:39 p.m.
that shove with K2s need to work 77.7% of da time. it probably works like over 85% against the general population. but yes its so unbalanced coz u are never doing this w KK but he can't call off what so ever.
Really great video. Have you read this: https://editorialexpress.com/cgi-bin/conference/download.cgi?dbname=FEMES11&paperid=92 There are also some poker-related papers on behavioral economics, but ya quite limited.
Also, any comments of using Signal Detection Theory in poker?
June 25, 2018 | 6:53 a.m.