Late comment, hopefully you still look at these Apothesois.
So as we know, the chip EV of folding in that turn spot is 15,529.
For shoving, Let's say crack is opening 40%. He's delay cbetting 30%, and in that turn spot, he's calling a shove with the top 5%. The outcomes are as follows:
You shove: he folds: your stack is 16939
You shove: he calls: you win: your stack is 26730
You shove: he calls: you lose: your stack is 5519
If he's opening 40%, delay cbetting 30%, and calling your shove with the top 5% of hands, then the frequency of the him folding outcome is 30/40 * 35/40. The frequency of the second outcome is 30/40 * 5/40. First of all, are these frequencies correct?
He folds: 16939 * (30/40) * (35/40) = 11,116.22.
He calls: 26730 * (30/40) * (5/40) * .43(equity against a 5% range on that board) = 1077.55
Late comment, hopefully you still look at these Apothesois.
So as we know, the chip EV of folding in that turn spot is 15,529.
For shoving, Let's say crack is opening 40%. He's delay cbetting 30%, and in that turn spot, he's calling a shove with the top 5%. The outcomes are as follows:
You shove: he folds: your stack is 16939
You shove: he calls: you win: your stack is 26730
You shove: he calls: you lose: your stack is 5519
If he's opening 40%, delay cbetting 30%, and calling your shove with the top 5% of hands, then the frequency of the him folding outcome is 30/40 * 35/40. The frequency of the second outcome is 30/40 * 5/40. First of all, are these frequencies correct?
He folds: 16939 * (30/40) * (35/40) = 11,116.22.
He calls: 26730 * (30/40) * (5/40) * .43(equity against a 5% range on that board) = 1077.55
Is this correct?
Nov. 8, 2018 | 4:49 p.m.