Gesuiec

I put him on such a tight range because villan was the initial raiser but also 4-bet. So, the range is for 4-betting hands only.

Let's give them some ranges:
UTG+1 called 3BB bet & cold called 51.5BB bet. I think he has these type of hands
{TTxx - QQxx, AKQx, AKJx, AKTx, KQJx, QJTx}

BTN reraised to 15.5BB & cold called 51.5BB bet.
{JJxx - KKxx, AKQx, AKJx, AKTx, KQJx}

On that flop, you have 22%, UTG+1 45% & BTN 35%. So yeah, unless you have very specific reads, I would check - fold here.

PreFlop: He reraised you preflop so I think he has one of these type of hands (AAxx, KKxx, QQxx, AKQJ, AKQT, KQTx) - big pairs (most of the time) or connected broadway cards. Calling here with your hand is ok if you do not mind the variance.
Flop: I think villain falls pretty good inside the given range. Against that range you are a bit ahead (51%), so I would raise and try to get it all in.

On the flop I called, hoping that he has a J with some kind of draw. The 7d on the turn completes the possible straight, so when he pots again I am almost certain he has at least a 2pair or a set.

I am more interested in the way I am thinking about this hand. My fear is that I think villain has a specific set of hands (sets + 2pairs and draws) and that this type of thinking is a bit flawed.

Perhaps I should be putting villain on more hands. Any thoughts ?

Flop: I would have bet big on the flop.
Turn: With 4 players it is very likely that someone will catch a good draw on the turn. The 8 make 9Txx possible.
River: The 3c makes the low straight possible. At PLO5 unless you have some kind of read I think villain has it most of the time.

@OP, do you have any update about the situation ?

On flop
Villain bets almost pot on flop. So he has some kind of hand: 2pairs, sets, or a drawing hand. Because you have a queen and a five then sets and 2pairs become less likely. So I would say he has a drawing hand most probably.

On turn
I don't think villain would check a set here (TTxx, 55xx, QQxx), there are too many bad cards for him left to come on the river.

He check raised so I would put him on a straight + flush draw combo. If he has a:
- naked straight draw JKxx, 9Jxx (villain has 34% equity)
- flush draw with a pair like 9dTdxx (villain has 47% equity)
- combo draw: JdKdTx (villain has 48% equity)

Unless you think villain is capable of check-raising a set here, most of the time, then I would just get it in.

Preflop
You have a pretty strong suited AA hand in position. AA type of hands is good preflop, but if you do not connect on the flop then it becomes a mediocre hand. It is way harder to play it 3way than heads up.
I would raise bigger - pot big - so I have to play it against one player on flop.

On flop
You semi-connected with the flop. Any 4 gives you a straight, but it is not the nut straight (somebody may have 56xx and will have you dominated).
SB bet small and UTG called so I would just call, hoping for an A to come.

I think raising here is bad.
- What kind of hands (that you beat) would fold here to a raise ? Perhaps KKxx, QQxx (28% equity).
- If they have 2Txx (63% equity), 23xx (68% equity), T3xx (65% equity) you don't win that often.
- If they have random drawing naked hands like Qh8hxx or KhQhxx they have 53% equity against you. Add straights to that and you end up with less equity (4h5hxx has 62% against you).

Also, if they call, are they the type of players that fold to a pot bet on turn if they miss their draw but still have a weak holding?

Turn
SB bets. You have just a pair and the board is very wet. It is possible that you are ahead, but I think that is very unlikely. So I would just fold here, because the chanses for your hand to improve are very small. And even if you spyke an ace, what do you do if it's the ace of diamonds/hearts ?

Preflop
I would 3bet that hand because it's pretty strong and you have position. Depending on your style of play, calling isn't bad either.

On flop
I like it how it played. I would have raised as-well. Raising protects your hand from flush draw and straight draws and you build a pot with top set.

By calling, villain, can now be put on a range of hands. He called your pot bet so that means he has a strong drawing hands or he just wants to bluff you on scare card.

What would he call your bet with?
- 88xx, perhaps even 33xx
- flush draw +- straight draw
I don't think he would call you with two pair or worse

On turn
Here it gets ugly. 7d completes the straight.

He check raises you. If you think:
- he is the kind of player who would bluff on a scare card
- a player that will play 88xx that way
then a call is fine.

Otherwise, if he is a passive player, I would just fold.

Also betting smallish will keep in dominated flushdraws.

Cool idea, I did not think about that.

we have some bluffs/semibluffs we would like to bet small aswell.

Also, what kind of bluffs/semibluffs will you small bet here ?

Preflop
I would have 3bet or folded.
If you just call you risk having a 5 handed flop and I don't think your hand plays very well that way. By 3beting you try to isolate UTG.

On flop
I like it how it went down. Probably have played the same.

On turn
Villain checks to the 2c. That means he is afraid of the straight or wants to check raise. I like your bet.

River
Villain bets 70c into 5.21$, so it's a an instant call with your flush.

Let's say you were a lot deeper and villain bets pot: the 9s completes the full house and the flush. Unless I know villain might play this way a small flush, I would have folded.

Villain has called a 3bet pref flop. So I would be putting him on:
- top pairs: KKxx, AAxx - assuming he did not 4bet on flop to not reveal his hand
- big pair hands: JJxx, QQxx, etc.
- double paired hands: JJTT, 8866, etc
- suited/double suited connected cards
- some random semi-weak hand because he in on the BTN and wanted to steal the blinds.

If you bet and he has KKxx, AAxx (unlikely) or 2pair (AKxx, A2xx) he will probably raise. If he has a draw (flush or straight) he will probably call or semi-bluff check raise. If he has a weak hand he will just fold.

Unless you feel comfortable getting check raised here and you know villain might semi-bluff here a lot of the time, I would just check - call a bet.

I don't think he is semi bluffing turn. Unless he is semi bluffing the flop with random double suited hands (like 5h7h9cKc or whatever - villain has 75% equity on turn).

The Qc is a very bad card for you. It completes the straight. If he puts you on a set, villain might be using the queen to put pressure on you with a drawing hand. But I think that is unlikely.

I think it's a tight spot. He either has you dominated or semi bluffing with a worse hand.

Overall, if villain is tight I would fold here. If you think villain is loose and capable of playing like this with weaker holdings, then I would call to showdown.

On flop
Villain check raises and shows a lot of strength. I see three possibilities:
- he has a draw: KQxx(42% equity), KhQhxx(52% equity), 9Qxx, 9hQhxx; and has decent equity to raise.
- he has top set: JJxx (92% equity)
- he has middle set or top set with a draw: JJXhXh (92+% equity), 22XhXh (33% equity)

On turn
Villain bets a little over half pot. The Qc make a new draw possible and completes the straight.

Unless I know villain plays flush draws sometimes very aggressive, I would fold here.

On river
Villain is all in. The Jc make his JJxx hands more unlikely. He either has a very strong hand (quads, full, etc.) or is just bluffing because he missed his flush draw.

On flop
You bet 3/4 of pot. I think he calls that with at least 2 pair (ATXX, A6XX, T6XX) or some kind of draw. Maybe KsQsXX.
I like the size of your bet. You protect your hand from the flush draw and if you get raised you can evaluate.

On turn
The 4d make a new flush draw and you bet more then 3/4 pot. I like the bet - you protect and extract value -.
I don't like he's call. I would put him on a made hand (2pair most likely) with a draw.

On river
All the draw missed. Most likely he has a 6 in his hand. I would fold.

Depending on the player there is a possibility that all his draws have missed and tried to bluff you. (Although bluffing like that in PLO4 is very bad in the long run.)

Preflop
He 3bet so I would put him on AAxx, KKxx, AKQJ, maybe QQxx. I would call.

On Flop
He bets pot. With AAxx, or any other set hand, he has 64% equity. I don't think he would pot with KKxx or QQxx. Perhaps with AQcKcx, when he has 53% equity.

I would just call on flop and evaluate on turn.
If you think he would play like this 2pairs or a non ace fluh draw, then a raise on flop it's ok.

Makes sense. Thanks guys.

I think this is a fold on turn.

When he bets so big on turn he represents a big hand or is turning his hand into a bluff. We don't beat much with the set of 5s and I would not bluff catch with it.

Makes sense. Thanks guys.

I've put him on a made straight because he suddenly woke up when the 9 hit. If i did not have the other two nines, i would have considered him having a set also. I think it's very weird to play a flush draw like that, but than again anything is possible at this stake. Thank you for the answer.