
tchan
5 points
I think the fold at 22:35 must be correct unless my math is wrong. RunGodlike is about 18% to make any badugi but about 9% of the time against Zap's actual hand he is already drawing dead, and also has to fade the third draw. Even if Zap is near the top of his range in this specific spot, RGL is not much better off against more mediocre 3-card hands like even 346 because Zap could already have made his badugi (the median of which is an 8 or 9). Have I made an error here?
Feb. 9, 2023 | 1:50 a.m.
Hello, very big fan of your videos. Would love to discuss hand #6 further, a couple points:
* Isn't it possible he is snowing? He could have started like 34668, caught another pair and then it is correct for him to snow. That is a strong point in favour of patting IP.
* How sure are we that -- if we are him -- breaking a 9 with a good draw underneath is correct after our IP opponent has flatted? IP is a favourite to still be drawing rather than freezing and it is a bit of an equity disaster if OOP breaks against a drawing hand. I'm not sure the implied odds make it for it especially with the bottom end like 98543.
Thank you!
28:29 I'm surprised you have no comment on the opponent drawing 2 on the turn oop in a single-raised pot. Do you believe this is just standard?
June 12, 2023 | 7:21 a.m.