
tbeckett
34 points
Yeah that makes sense. Once they see me playing 72o they will adjust. Thanks for your comment.
March 30, 2025 | 5:36 p.m.
I was reading an article on auto profit spots. And it said to find autoprofit spots you need to work out the required fold equity and then compare it to how much your opponent is actually folding.
Requied fold equity for my bet:
Bet size / (Bet size + Pot size)
How much my opponent is actually folding:
Actual fold equity = #Fold / #Total
If the "actual fold equity" is above my "required fold equity" it's an autoprofit spot. Which means I can bet any two cards and make money.
I just wanted to make sure I understood the underlying theory correctly. When it says I can bet any two cards. It's because I can take any hand put it in a spot and when I run it against my opponent's entire range he's folding enough for me to profit.
So lets say my opponent has 120 hands in his range, I can take 72o, put it in a spot and then I run that spot 120times (every hand in my opponents range) and if he folds the required amount I auto profit. Thien this can be done with any two cards in my range.
March 29, 2025 | 9:53 a.m.
Say I reach the river and my opponents betting 20 handsfrom his, my calling range is 5 hands. Is the effective range 5 hands??
I know I'm wrong, but I'm just struggling to visualize ranges.
March 27, 2025 | 9:50 a.m.
The maths for a bluff is:
bet/(bet+pot)
So if I make a pot size bluff it's 1/(1+1) = 1/2 = 50%
So I will need my opponent to fold 50% to make a pot size bluff profitable.
But how do you actually use this while playing??
I thought it would be about bluffing on boards that don't connect with lots of hands.
So I make a potsize bluff on K72r because I can expect villian to fold 50% of their range.
But on a board like J 10 9 I'd expect villian to be calling most of his range, so in this spot I need to bluff with a small size.
However when I watch good players video's they seem to be doing the opposite and bluffing small on the dry boards K 7 2r boards
March 22, 2025 | 11 a.m.
If someone has $1000 dollar stack and the opponent has $500. The effective stack is $500. So if there is a spot where one player has 20 hands in his range and the other has 5 hands. Could you say the effective hands are 5.
March 19, 2025 | 10:47 a.m.
"Compare to how often you should be bluffing. For pot that would be 33%."
is there a name for this where I can go read about it. I've never looked at bluffing this way.
Thanks for your reply.
March 19, 2025 | 9:16 a.m.
I love to gamble and try to take people off hands. But sometimes I think I'm doing it too much. How do I work out whether I'm bluffing too much??
March 18, 2025 | 3:52 p.m.
is betting half pot giving the opponent 2 to 1 odds?? Is it not 3 to 1 odds
March 18, 2025 | 2:45 p.m.
I think you might have confused me more.
Feb. 3, 2025 | 2:44 p.m.
Thanks for your comment
Feb. 3, 2025 | 12:36 p.m.
What does 50% fold look like?? How would I know I'm getting 50% folds
Feb. 1, 2025 | 8:21 p.m.
Couldn't I just put all his value hands, and bluffs into an equity tool, and just see what hands I can call?? Would that achieve the same thing as MDF?
Jan. 31, 2025 | 10:40 p.m.
Yeah that's to complicated for me. Thanks for writing it though, I really appreciated it.
To me surely my calling range should be based on his range. If he has loads of bluffs the wider I can call, if he's a nit the more I fold.
Surely I shouldn't be calling 60% of my range against a nit betting half pot
Jan. 31, 2025 | 12:37 p.m.
But surely what makes me call is what I believe the opponent is betting?? So my calling range is based on what I think the opponent has.
If he's a nit, I should fold most hands, If he bluffs a lot I start calling with with more hands.
Jan. 31, 2025 | 12:36 p.m.
I'm trying to get a beter understanding of the maths in poker and I'm struggling with MDF. To me MDF seems the same as pot odds. But it's obviously not because the formulas are different.
MDF:
pot size / (pot size + bet size)
Pot odds:
(bet size) / (pot size + bet size + call size)
When an opponent bets, I use pot odds and equity to work out "what hands to call with". Which to me is the same as saying "what hands to defend with". What is MDF doing that's different?? Is it ok to not worry about MDF or is it important.
Jan. 28, 2025 | 4:10 p.m.
Thanks Steve. Now I understand why people are bothered about rake.
Jan. 28, 2025 | 1:43 p.m.
So the more rake, the more equity you need
Jan. 27, 2025 | 8:23 p.m.
Thanks Steve. So I workout the equity I need and then play around in pokerstove to see what my oppoent range needs to be to get 45% for AK.
When you mention rake, are you saying because some of the pot gets taken away it makes our equity worse??
If QQ-TT/AK is still a fold. I guess my opponent needs to be shoving AQ and suited Ax to start making this call.
Jan. 25, 2025 | 2:38 p.m.
When I 3bet AK and the original raiser 4bets all in. What sort of range does he need to be going all in with for AK to be a good call?? Would him shoving AA, KK, QQ, AK be enough??
Jan. 24, 2025 | 10:34 a.m.
I'm not someone who naturally understands that being in position is much better than bein OOP. But when I listen to any good player it's the first thing they say. Is being in position important because you can see free cards, and have some control over the size of the pot??
People will often say you get more information but I really don't get it?? If I slowplay some of my big hands then the opponent can never really know if I'm weak or strong.
I feel like I'm just not understanding it, and that's evident in my game because I will call 3bets out of position without a second thought. While everyone else thinks about it
Jan. 17, 2025 | 3:45 p.m.
Could you explain in more detail??
Jan. 14, 2025 | 10:34 p.m.
If a player only 3bets AA and KK would GTO just fold everything it opens or is there still reasons to call??
Jan. 14, 2025 | 6:22 p.m.
One final thing. What makes the solver not want to call those hands when we get deeper?? For some reason I thought the deeper the stacks the wider range you can play more hands
Your comments have been really helpful. You have explained it perfectly for me. Thanks for taking the time really appreciate it.
Jan. 7, 2025 | 7:09 p.m.
Sorry Steve I wasn't very clear. What I meant to say was do the q7s/j7s/q3/q2s types of hands call the 3bet. I didn't know HU 3bet defending got that wide.
Are you calling every Jx on the turn??
Instinctively I feel like I'd rather bluff with the hands with no diamonds. But it seems GTO prefers bluffing hands with less showdown value even if they have a diamond.
Jan. 7, 2025 | 10:34 a.m.
The bet on flop and turn was definitely 75%+ pot. But nefver an overbet
Do you think we will have q7s/j7s/q3/q2s types of hands?? That's interesting.
I guess if we have all those hands for value. K10 without diamond will have to become a bluff because the only other hand we reach the river with is 910. There aren't really any other bluffs??
Jan. 6, 2025 | 6:29 p.m.
I was watching some heads up on youtube and saw a hand that interested me. Effective stack was 200bb
SB opens K10hh on the button 3x
BB 3bets 4x to 12bb
SB calls
Flop : Qc 3d Js
BB bets big. SB calls again.
Turn: 2d
BB bets big. SB calls
River: 7s
BB checks
Final board is: Qc 3d Js 2d 7s
What is the correct play with K10 here?? Do you have to bluff jam river?? I mean if you check your gonna lose to loads of Ax, but what can you represent on the river??
Jan. 6, 2025 | 2:52 p.m.
Good point. Your shoving those hands because you have quite a bit of fold equity. But if it's a player who's tight you wouldn't shove
Dec. 29, 2024 | 10:04 a.m.
To improve my poker skill I will always watch higher stakes. One of the things that immediately looks different at high stakes is the ranges for shoving over 3bets, and calling all ins(we 3bet and villian shoves all in, we call).
In the later positions I will see hands like pocket 10s happily stacking off. However when I try to apply this at low stakes it just doesn't works. I was wondering how you work out when you stack off with these lower strength hands.
Is the decision just a feel play or is there maths behind it.
Dec. 2, 2024 | 4:34 p.m.
That's interesting. I don't float anything in those spots so I wasn't aware of that range lol
The reason I don't put bet sizes is because it seems there are different strategies for different sizes and I'm just trying to get a general overview which you have done perfectly.
What your saying makes a lot of sense.
Thanks Shaun
I do well when I'm hitting hands, and I absolutely destroy the regs. But if I go through a downturn it becomes a big problem.
April 13, 2025 | 8:10 a.m.