stepitup

Yes, you make sure you get value from bluffs in playing this way. Only reason to check raise turn is if he is a calling station or for protection otherwise you get more value from flatting. Leading the river is very exploitative and hard to balance, would work against a passive but callish player. Taking this line with a set of 5s is good for your calling range and will earn you a lot of money it will also make you harder to bluff

I have a mac and use Parallels to emulate Windows to get HM2 to work. Its been around for years and a new update that was released a few months ago made it really stable and fixed all issues I ever had with it. Its a great product pretty sure you will like it

Thought about all books/ebooks I read so far but everything is outdated compared to RIO except books about mental game, so make sure you read something fresh

I like how this hand was played even if you want to have a raising range on the turn (prefer to raise the river though). Out of all drawing hands this is probably the best one to play slow. You got so many nice run outs and gin cards to get paid off on like offsuit K or 8. Runner diamonds is a bigger part of your opponent range since he will get to the turn with any diamond combo. Which means he is much more likely to bluff on runner diamonds or value bet thin which is not the case for a river club. 

You are calling with all club combos on the flop so he will always be afraid to be up against a flush if a club hit the river which makes it a good spot to represent the flush. Some grinders are overfolding on a club river especially on lower stakes, they prefer making marginal river bets instead of having a check call range on the river being completely exploitable. So with this specific hand most run outs work out in your favor, your hand will be opposite of what it looks like. So you are both more likely getting paid when hitting and getting away with it when bluffing which is why I like the idea to put this specific hand in my calling range.

It should be fine bet folding turn here, playing NL10. If the right play was to call then you would have figured out that already by looking at his playing style, it need to be something out of the ordinary.

Only hands in his range I see that ends up on the river with no showdown value is backdoor spades. That is a very small bluffing range, however this will change drastically if he is a player that is capable of turning hands with showdown value into bluffs to fold out better hands like: Tx,Jx,QQ,KK and weak Ax.

This hand is a good example of a situation where most regs after checking the river will fold ridiculously often to a shove. He can represent really fine here by shoving so it makes a lot of sense to turn weaker hands into bluffs. This is very exploitive thinking obviously but good to keep in mind.

I lean towards check calling unless you got that range figured out already.

Reraising the flop with this hand would be a mistake. You are forcing out a lot of hands from his turn bet/fold range and all bets coming if you happend to improve. The point is that you will open up a lot of scenarios where he will make mistakes against you. This is one of those boards that will change a lot on later streets. Usually you want to get in money fast with good hands on those conditions but this hand is an exception, there are almost no bad bad turn cards. Its quite the opposite, there are many exciting run outs on this board if you take a look at it.

Without considering my check raise range being balanced on the turn:
If you improve to showdown value or better then I like check/call. Its definitely very tempting against an aggressive opponent especially hitting the flush, otherwise CR AI.

In your turn scenario it makes even more sense to slowplay the straight with the added benefit of a flush draw, less river cards to worry about. Since villain looks like an aggro fish, his river bluffing range might be huge. Just imagine if he is betting every gutter on the turn. I also see him value cut himself on a lot of river cards.

Your hand reviews videos are excellent!

This board is very coordinated so you will be up against many value combos of 2pair+. I dont like raising, the small upside of shoving is that you might force out a few Kx, Pair+draw, weaker hands and bluffs. When called you got guaranteed equity against his calling range as well. However the hands you make him fold is not really a big win except a few since your equity is so great against his weaker holdings. By calling and hitting the club on the river he will be very tempted to bluff the river with all his weak holdings (which is a bit bigger then usual, with the current dynamic of the match with him stabbing the flop more often).

Its nice for your range as well to have an ace of clubs in your check calling range on the turn.

If the river is a blank its a though call down with just a jack and you are blocking his ace of club bluffs as well. He got some bluffs but you are probably out numbered by his amount of value combos on this board. As long as you end up with stronger hands on the river as well I would not be worried to fold in this spot. 

Your feel is right, after a fish limp it would be a mistake to fold. You are looking for good spots and this is actually a really good one with all hands mentioned OTB. Even if you are dominated once in a while you will never lose more to the reg then you win from the fish.

Another video well explained, gj!

I have been playing poker professionally for nine years now. In the beginning it was a lot of people with regular jobs beating poker, playing half time. A lot of professional players had horrible habits like being drunk all the time, betting on anything with no edge and playing for hours when on extreme tilt. Today a winning player would never do such things, back then people got away with it and were still winners in the long run! Nowadays a new pro is around 21 years old, got an amazing technical game, eat well and work out a lot and already developed a strong mental game. They got the whole package simply because its needed to succeed.

The point of the story is how much poker is evolving and who you are up against. To think you could play tired and still be a winning player will never work out. If you want to have a chance to climb up in stakes while being in university you need to realize what an effort is needed. You need effective hours in front of the computer, find a way to stay fresh. I have friends that succeeded doing both at the same time which is rare. What they all have in common is that they are all in good shape, very disciplined and good time management.

I agree with everything toothpaste is saying. As Ondrej is saying he got a lot of big hands in his range here. I could never argue with the play as an exploitive line since its may be the best play by far. For a balance overbetting strategy this spot doesnt make much sense. Iam looking for spots where we could attack our opponent weak range for a big rise in fold equity. I think the conditions in this spot is quite the opposite.

What do 5% come from? odds of a single Tx or higher will flop is around 76% if the conditions for overbetting are: One high card on the flop and another high card on the turn. Then its going to happend way more then 5% of the time and this is just one good scenario for overbetting.

Its true that a lot of people will probably just overbet with strong hands on NL100, it does not create much discussion though.

If you play against someone with a good overbet strategy it could be pretty tricky. A good strategy in general is to mix in overbets on boards that hit our range while the opponent range is much weaker. This will put many hands in tricky spots and the fold equity will rise significantly, you will also become a thougher opponent.

What usually happens is that you will be overfolding or find yourself hero calling against this strategy, neither option is very appealing. Another counter is to call 3bets with big hands. Then you will have a few strong hands when two broadway cards flop and be comfortable calling down. The point is to show up with bigger hands when the board is supposed to hit the opponent, so he can't force you out with his overbet strategy.

The way I would difference AK is with suits. For example AKcc got more fire power since it will sometimes pick up great equity on the turn. I might check call for the same reason since we will get to showdown more often. A single Kd or Ad is a pretty big deal as well.

This board is in favour for our opponent range. Except for pocket pairs we dont have any value combos. Still I would be more afraid of going overboard on the turn. Its a common mistake that grinders rep over pair when both the flop and the turn is in favour of the opponent. Which is very unlikely if you still got all over cards in the range.

Still my standard is to cbet this board but I definitely mix it up

Question 2: AK is in the top of your range, standard should be to stack off here. AK would be an exploitive fold in this spot. If you are going to fold here he needs to be very unbalanced towards value, with no reads my stack is always going in.

Against this player we only want to use exploitive plays and ignore balance. IP OTR he bets 75% of the time. Which mean he could betting a lot of hands that are not supposed to be called by worse. Its a very simple concept but if he never heard of it then he will keep making that mistake again and again. If he is on that level I don't mind c/c. These are the type of players I would never hero call against. Instead I would look at my direct hand value and call if my hand is strong enough, you will get surprised by the random hands he is betting. The conclusion is that AQ is not a hero call if his betting range is pretty much random.

If he got some what of a clue on the hand he should be betting the river. Then c/c is a clear mistake. Now if he is betting the right hands but cant help himself being a river station (calling with third pair etc). Then betting AQ will extract some value out of worse hands. Let say he is not capable of reraising you with air. Then you will earn some more money from worse hands and never be bluffed out on the river which is huge!

Find out what level these weak players are and exploit. People that figured this out printed all the money they wanted in 2004

I will start by putting him on a simplified range of: AxTh AxJh AxKh, KhTx KhJx,AxKh, QJo, KQo, AQo,99-AA JThh,KThh,KJhh

We are in bad shape against 12 combos which is 21% of his range: QQ,KK,AA (9 combos) JThh,KThh,KJhh (3combos)

Dominate or 15+ outs (54 combos) 79% of his range
AxTh AxJh AxKh, KhTx KhJx,AxKh (6)
99-JJ (18)
QJ,KQ,AQ (30 combos) Worth to note that 45% of his range contains of Qx in this example

Tot 66 combos

We need ~29% equity to call.

A heart on the river is a better card for his range since his 3bet range contains more Ax of hearts then your 3b calling range preflop. Which will make it more likely to get bluffed on/paid off on a river heart. Its also very nice for our range to show up with a nut flush here once in while. If not we will always have a though decision getting barrelled on four hearts, our opponent will also bet worse flushes for value in this spot.

This makes it a easy call on the turn, folding is a mistake.

I think the line make sense. You are right that its a bad card for your range. However A5s/75s/55 is in your range and I guess you want to cBet those hands at least sometimes OTT. Then your current hand KJss is a pretty good candidate to put in your betting range. If you want to C/C with a flush draw I would pick at least: Pair+fd or Axfd. To c/c with a even worse FD then it needs to be a pretty delicate situation.

16:50 Bottom left on 2K9K board

“King turn, I does not really expect him to bet ever, if he does its a little bit weird”

I see your reasoning not betting on A5ss since its hard to get a better hand to fold.
In my experience OTT some regs have a betting range of Kx XXspades JT,QT some even 9x. A check calling range of AA,QQ,JJ,TT, Ax spades even 22 make sense to put in the C/C range to make the calling range a bit stronger. Iam not really surprised at all when I meet a bet OTT. So my question is: Why are you surprised by this and how do you like to play out your range as M4ximillion OTT and OTR?

This video was not bad at all but I feel its a waste that Sauce make this into a three part serie. Iam sure most instructors could do a good analyse on the bots, we just dont need Ben for it. The 5-10 zoom videos are in a completely different league compared to this and in class of their own. I feel Sauce want to bring us some different type of videos and that is cool but three videos of this is to much when the material from Ben is very limited

Great video!, lots of new mindsets discussed that I never heard about before

28:10 bottom left
You say that you prefer leading here in a vacuum with jacks and it make sense. I feel its a interesting spot to hear what kind of C/C range, bet range and CR range (if any) you would like here that is balanced. Its actually the leading range Iam most interested in since I didnt build my range in this way.

I like the way you explain and the examples, gj!

I miss the hand reviews you used to do, however this vid was really good as well! some very sane and interesting analyses

14:25 top right

What bluffs do you want in your CR range on the turn here? Will it be draws with no SD value, like Ax, Kx,9x and FDx? Let say you CR the turn as a bluff and you get called. What cards would you like to fire the river with as a bluff?

Nice format, easier to learn something when you see the mistake first

In the hand when you have JT on 9TQ9K board (10 minute mark). You never brought up that he might fold if he had Jx in his holdings. Like J8,j9,JT,QJ,KJ or even AJ all those hands are gonna be pretty terrified if you shove. A lot of people got all those hands in their checking range on the river.

I think its a pretty big chance you made your opponent fold to a split pot to you on the river. Since you didnt bring this up (you only said he might check AJ), did you assume he is gonna shove Jx on the river?
If you are in Doommy spot on the river with a Jx hand, is your play check or shove? Let say you check and get shoved on, what are you going to do, I assume you will fold?

Well explained, looking forward to your next video

In the second hand where cogitus bet $36 on 7T8 and you check raise to $88.
It would be interesting to hear what types of hands you would like to put in your bluffing range in this spot.
Follow up question, do you think its important to have a "bluffing" hand that is good enough to shove the turn most of the time (after he call your check raise)
or are you prepared to give up on a blank turn a few percentage of the time? Since its a perfect shove size bet left. What is the worst hand you would shove a blank turn with?

Great video Parker, so much more interesting to go in depth with a few hands then just touch the surface in a bunch of different hands.