steenjr

I mean whats the point of balance then, I dont play with a hud so the only thing I know about this guy is his 2x open means a wide range and for his 2x c-bet that he is a rec 100% time. I dont care about the limit, i just want to play a good solid strategy, if i dont have bluffs here on the turn or river, I'll just be playing the top of my range, of course I'll adjust my ranges to the field. But that doesnt mean I'll shove when i have it and fold when i dont, thats not a reasonable strategy to me, cutting the amount of bluffs here is the way to go in my opinion, thats why my question was what are the best bluffs candidates in this river, this is a rare situation of course but I would have like some advices on how to construct ranges in the flop vs big bet sizes, but responses like "dont bluff here ever" and "you are a newbie, work harder" are empty to me.

I think that the value of the balance in theory consist on being able to construct ranges in a way that opponents will win 0 EV no matter their actions. So that means balanced ranges will win in the long run no matter what.

It all comes into how you construct your range pre-flop. In micros I believe 3-betting this type of hands is very profitable cause people is weak post flop. But in this case I would use a mix strategy cause we are in a BTN vs HJ situacion. Villain calling range in average is stronger than yours. In this flop texture trying to get away with this hand i believe is very optimistic. Better hands to c-bet would be AdKx, AdQx (32 combos), cause they have a good removal to their continuing range and doesnt block JQs JTs that hey might fold to a flop bet, then any Td9d, Th9h or JhTh, dJTd (4), any lower flush draw. So if you are betiing this flop with JcQc you are betting just too much. If you decide to barrel again the turn i would have to be a big bet to try to get him off TT 99 77 66 or any flush draw. Thats preety optimistic. My advice is that choosing the right hands to c-bet bluff or semibluff is very importante. Take into account removal effects and villians range. You probably shouldnt have 87s or 89s these are nice calls vs HJ range and we dont remove any of his 4-bet/fold range like AQo so we are going to face a 4-bet more often than BTN vs CO.

Just my thoughts I could be talking shit and if it is ... Im sorry.

It would be good if you share your own thoughts of the hand first if you had a dinamic with the player or another relevant information.

I believe that being 200 bb deep you have to be cautelous in this flop yea you want to get value from the villian weak range like AJ AQ KT but what happens if he check raise you his range all the ATs KQs KJs T9s even unsuited combos of them and he can semi - bluff you with JTd or JTs so easly if he 3-bets you to 40 bb and you call the pot will have like 100 bb and would you like to play the turn with just a pair and a gutshot (probably the diamond out doesnt count) a 9 T Q A diamond even an 8 turn are bad for you. With this exact combo I'd play check but its fine to bet 25 - 33% but most of the time just value two pairs+ and bluff with JTs FD and BFD and A5d A4d (you can find more bluffs of course) and the size wouldnt be more than 35% of the pot and in the turn you can easily bet big with trips and with some good bluffs blockers like AJ or JT and the reason is that when you bet this small you keep the weaker range of villian in the hand good thing when you got the ATs in your hand or KK.

Just my opinion BTW.

I believe that your line in the turn is good. But you have to be consecuent of what are you representing and this is a dangerous game if you bet turn in that size you will have to overbet jam every single brick river. You are representing the flush and you have to balance it with bluffs AsQx is 3 combos then you will need about 6-9 combos of value bets if you have them fine, your strategy is balanced and solid.

The problem here is ... Do you ever have a bluff here? Are you willing to make the exact same play with 99 with a spade? I dont know but I can tell you that your line is screaming " I have the flush" and he of course cannot beat that even when he calls the set in the turn (he has 22% equity against a flush and you are giving 31-33% pot odds). Would you fold to a 5 dolar donk from him when the board pairs?. My point is when you have a hand so face up is really easy to play against you smart players will fold every single time and smarter players will exploit you easily. Asking people if they think that villain has a certain hand doesnt acomplish much I'd prefer to ask about ranges and how to play them efficiently.

Hi.

Well I believe that 4betting here is probably a really low frecuence play. KQs is a great postflop hand even OOP. If you want to construct a 4-bet range I would include hands that have less playabilty with a better blockers like A5s or AJo even maybe KQo, calling is standard. In the flop check/minraise doesnt acomplish much he is gonna call with all his value range. I understand that you want to put AK in pressure but when you have the 33,77 you want to keep him on the hand cause you have the virtual nuts the worst escenario is to be agasint AJss (1 combo), with calling you defend your whole range. So x/c here is I believe the best option. In the turn 9 I probably would lead small and evaluate if he jams or x/jam with 33 77 99 and KQss and JTs. Note that the with this play you are balancing your value range (9 combos) and your bluffs (2 combos) and maybe you should add another combo like A5ss. And if he calls doesnt matter cause some of the time you will handle the hammer and some other you will be having at least 20 - 30% accuary depending on his actual hand witch is good.

In the first hand. Wouldnt be considering a 4-bet/fold range? I suppose AJo is one of the best hand to do it. In the flop why do we still think we have the best hand?. SB has a lots of KQs,QJs AQ,TT,99. I think this is a 3-bet/fold situation and balance them with the nut flush draw and sets. Since we block many of their 3-bet/c-betting range. Asxs, KJs. J10s, AKs. What could be a good turns for us? A spade so we can call/bet small turn and shove the river?. I think if a A or a J hit the turn, we would improve but we would still be behind his range if we face agression. Great video btw.

Well I dont think he wouldn't have a set when he min raises turn, every flooped set must be check-raising flop cause you have lots of combo draws in this board maybe 44 that didnt decided to fold flop. So I think that his value hands would be two pairs and ocassionaly 44. But he has a lot of combos that want to see a river also I think that the min raise in the turn could , a combo draw, or a one pair hand with a gutshot that is building the pot so if he hits he river stack AA KK QQ. Even with that Jh you still beat all JT, 97s,86s. I thik that the play would be shoving to turn so you balance your KK,AA,99,88,67 and your Jh10h, Jd10d. Yes sometimes you will get stacked by two pair or ocassionaly 67. But do the work and count the combos and you'll see you still crush his range on the turn. And in the river you have a clear call you are being offering excelent odds and you block some of the best hands he could have, raising the river doesnt really acomplish much cause he might still say "fuck it i have 2 pairs and have 2 dolars left". and call you down with two pair. I think you make so much more money calling down the river, another factor would be his river size, with a strong range he must be betting big according to your range and you dont have a weak range you call a check/raise in the turn.
The main reason I dont think he has a set is his passivity on the flop in that heavy draw board.
Cheers.