nema vlad

Fold preflop seams the best play . As played you are probably losing

I think this should be a squeeze preflop . it s a big achievement to win the pot preflop with so much money in . The fact that you have a fish in the sb should be a good enough reason for him to open weider then normal . I d make it 280 pre and fold to a 4bet ( you are not geting bluffed here at 5 10 enough almost never , especialy if you have a good image ) . on the river he is not beting worse for value and i can t see any bluffs he can get with at this point ( maybe AdQ but if he turns that into bluff he will bet biger for sure ) . So you are practicaly calling 500 to win 800 (half pot when you chop with ak) . You need around 27 % equity and you have something between 10 and 25 depending how he plays his sets on previous streets , so i think you should fold even you are geting very good odds

hey mushmellow do you mind sharing your hud file ?

you say you call 88+ mp vs utg but you call 22 + when you are otb . i tend to think calling mp with more pairs is much better cuz your range should be more protected and you will get squeezed less often when calling mp cuz both yours and utg s range are v strong (  have aa kk ak in your mp range much more then when you are otb)

hi

min 10 As4 hand  .  i usualy tend to start beting any As on that flop and 3barrel when 3rd flush comes on the turn ( overbet some blank rivers) . you elect to check back in order to call some turns . what do you think about my line

i d realy discount nuted hands like sets and 2 pair because his timing and sizing ( and two pair are 94 92 and 42 witch even by fish standards are v garbage hands and they fold must of the time pre )

for the AhKh hand min 35 i stoved this range 

Board: 2d 9s 4h

Dead:   equity win tie      pots won pots tied

Hand 0: 29.079%   28.72% 00.36%         13930      176.00   { AhKh }

Hand 1: 70.921%   70.56% 00.36%         34228      176.00   { A9s, A5s, A3s, K9s, J9s, T9s, A9o, K9o, Q9o, Jd9h, T9o }

assuming we call allin on flop we win 29% * 330 = 95 . So every time we call we lose 121 (the amount we call 148-27) - 95 = 26

every time we fold we lose the 27 flop bet so both plays seam to have the same ev . i think i prefer folding because is less variance