revieceD

Allot of reasons to check here imho. Like IFoldJacks said, this hits the raise-call-3-bet range well and you have little if any range advantage. The other reason to check is that it's rainbow without your suit, hypothetically if this was a lower flop and PIO said bet 75% of the time with AKs, this would still be the 25% you should give up with.

Hi Juan, at 26:15 on table 2 you chose to bet $57 into a $79 pot that you had 3-bet OOP, what made you choose this relatively large C-bet size? Also were you planning to follow through on all rivers?

At 10:20 when you're constructing your bluff catching range have you considered using A7 instead of T8? I think they both lose to his entire value range but A7 blocks more hands in the villain's value range such as AT and AA.

Nice video, this is the first time I've seen simple post-flop used instead of PIO-solver. I like how fast you can re-calculate things. I think I know why it folds KT of clubs and calls with KT of diamonds. If you're only going to call with KT only sometimes you should call when you hold the ten of diamonds because it blocks part of his value range, his T8 suited would have to be T8 of diamonds. Having the ten of clubs blocks AT suited but our opponent has the offsuit variety of AT in his range so this doesn't matter.

21:00 would tilt me a little, I'd need to take a break... and have a drink or 4...

24:18 counted 28 bad river cards for us!! (diamonds: 11, (2,3,7 or 8): 12, 3 queens, 6c,6s) and allot of the leftovers give our opponent 2 pair sometimes! Amazing how weak bottom 2 can be, I'd rather have KK.

Excellent video! I don't know about standard opponents betting A9 type hands on this flop though, 3-betting and checking can be a little suspicious and I suspect even slightly experienced recreational player knows now that A9 isn't good enough for 3 streets and would check at least half of the time. I find games aren't as soft as 17 years ago when I started and allot of ppl seem to know these concepts a little bit now.

Awesome video, we have allot of these in Toronto. Allot of "Copperfield dealers" here too lol!

If you're filling a seat and you're a cash player (Not asking to play on credit) you're a blessing to the host and should be looking for your own kickback as Zach pointed out. The hardest part of hosting is filling seats and keeping the game running all night, the whales don't usually like to play short handed.

The bet-check-bet line usually sucks me in for a river bet, I'll lean more towards folding now barring any live tells. Thanks for this, going to Vegas on Tuesday, this analysis was very helpful.

You have to call here, just the possibility of AK alone makes this a call, if you're right 33% of the time calling anything less than a pot size size bet is +cEV. This is also a squeeze raise which may widen his range a little. If you're deeper I can see him checking trips but with less a PSB left he should value bet any hand that he has to call with because check calling saves him no money when he's beat and misses value when he's good. Generally speaking you should call rivers when you're beating anything in your opponents value range and usually fold but sometimes call when all you beat is a bluff.

If you guys are interested as I was in the other players hole cards they're right here:
Sunday Million 17/8/14 - Online Poker Show | PokerStars

enjoy!

Interesting video and I agree betting is better than checking but I'm not sure I agree with our sizing against standard opponents. If we're usually beat when we're called then the smaller the better. As our size gets smaller more hands that we beat will go into his calling range which is why we're not checking. I understand that betting 1/2 pot is what allows us to be bluffing 25% of the time and make him indifferent to calling the river but we do have sets and 9's in our 1/2 pot bet value range for that purpose.

The only reason I can see for not betting too small is to discourage him from bluff raising us. I think against opponents that aren't aggressive enough to bluff raise small bets we can bet a size that gets called by allot of one pair hands when we have AA/AK and bet 1/2 pot with sets/9's and bluffs. This may be exploitable but this is not a situation that comes up very often and when when it does they don't always get to see our hand.

I might be missing something here, let me know.

About the last hand with trip kings I think at my usual stakes of $25 and down it's an exploitative fold, players simply don't balance their river CRAI range and like you said it's always the nuts. From a game theory POV folding every time you don't have a boat is horrendous but that's why it's exploitative.It's kind of scary to bluff in this spot because you have to have a strong read that your opponent is not only disciplined enough to fold a king but that he also thinks you're too tight to pull a move like this, it's a very specific read. I have no idea what the right play is here because I don't have enough experience at high stakes. I know the correct play against the average player at my level is to fold but every player is different and you never know what players have in their toolbox. I'd be really interested in seeing HHs where ppl have seen bluffs in this situation. I'd also like to hear the opinions of players who play higher buy ins regularly.

Congrats on your last FTOPs win, I hope to see a HH review of it eventually. I really like how you explain things. I'm happy that you're one of the instructors here, I like to learn from the best.

At 18:42 with AA vs the shove, I think I'd be flatting my whole calling range there. 29% of my stack is very close to my "commitment threshold", that is what I use to decide if I'm shoving my whole range or flatting my whole range. To another player does my call commit me? if the answer is yes then I shove everything because calling would look too strong. In this spot I would want to call his shove with AJo and 88 because these hands are far ahead of a 9bb shove from that position but I would want to be able to get away from them when someone covering us ships behind because they're range would crush AJo and 88. I actually think A9o, ATo, KQo, 33-77 are all ahead of his shove range but would fold these because there are other players left to act and we need to be significantly ahead. 29% may be pot committing and maybe shoving is right here but it's really really close. I think 31-32% we're not fooling anybody and 23% we could easily be folding to a re-raise, this spot seems so close.

Just wondering how light we're calling this river shove since his range is polarized to flushes and air. It seems like trip 8s is good here about as often as 33 is good here although I don't think I'd have the heart to call with 33 but logically it's kind of the same call. Also what if we had A2o with the ace of clubs blocker? His bet is so big he seems to be repping big flushes.

Thank you, I'll work on that, good to know before I start my weekend grind. Best of luck this weekend!

I just noticed your double cash this past Sunday, you must be doing something right, those are big fields! Congrats! I'm looking forward to the videos.

At 10:00 with KJo on a KT7 flop what hands are we checking the flop and calling the turn with? I thought that we needed hands like this in our check back range to protect us from getting bluffed on the turn when we check the flop since it only has 2 streets of value anyway. Is it less important to balance our range when we are 3-handed?

MP2's 3-bet % needs to be strongly considered. The 5 bet doesn't mean quite as much as a normal 5-bet since you pretty much much told him you don't want to play for stacks by flatting the 4-bet, encouraging the iso. The pots odds in this spot aren't as good as they seem though. You have $0 invested in the $7,710 side pot. The issue is that you're folding decent equity in the $4,971 main pot but you are up against 2 hands and the all in player had no folding equity and no reason to be light. I think this is a clear call vs most opponents but I could find a fold vs a 2-3% 3-bet over a large sample.

As far as isolating vs flatting, flatting will get the villain to play TT+, AK, and maybe some AQ for stacks while the iso probably reduces his range to QQ+. While you will lose to AK sometimes I think it's worth flatting since QQ is 67% vs range of extra hands you get him to play (JJ-TT,AQs+,AKo). I don't avoid variance with this much of an edge until ICM is a much bigger factor. (I'm assuming this is very far from the $$ since stacks aren't 30k+).

Really good stuff here. You've motivated me to get back into my usual healthy lifestyle. I was in tremendous shape in January working out like an animal and competing with university kids in wrestling tournaments, maybe not winning but hey I'm 38 and these kids are getting allot tougher! Things have changed for me recently, my life's got more complicated and I let things slip. The only exercise I've had in the last 6 weeks is my volunteer coaching work, I'm not getting enough sleep and started drinking coffee again after quitting caffeine for months. I've forgotten about the fitness triangle, physical, emotional and mental all depend on each other. Thanks for reminding me to take care of myself first and then let the poker take care of itself. I'm looking forward to watching the rest of your videos.

If you want to be more "Zen", I recommend "Zen and the art of poker", it's a fairly small easy reading book that you don't really have to read cover to cover. I like to just turn to a random page and read a section every now and then.

At 18:00 you mention that you're never folding the TT, you're 100bb deep vs a 35% open, I agree that this is a 3-bet get it in spot but I think this is near the bottom of our 100bb gii range with AKo, AQs, 99 seems ambitious to me. I'd also take history vs us and 4-betting numbers into account. What if this was a 20% opener? What if it was a 15% opener but you were 50bb deep?

I know I have allot of questions but I'm mostly a MTT grinder and am trying to figure out proper gii ranges at different effective stacks and vs different stats,I find I get uncertain with hands on the borderline like AQs and flat when I should be playing more aggressively.

Also I liked watching your MTT review when you were on the treadmill, great multi-tasking, too easy to get out of shape when you sit all day. I have an elliptical but I don't think that'd work, might invest in a treadmill myself. Great videos, looking forward to watching the rest, TY!

At 19:00 what do you think about leading the flop? I feel like 268 will favour the blinds range more than the late position raisers range so I think it's OK to steal the initiative in these spots. With a SPR of 6 I'm fine with any line that gets this big of a draw in on the flop and would only go for a check-raise vs opponents that had a very high c-bet % over a decent sample size. I think that when the flop goes check check and you brick the turn you miss a good opportunity to apply allot of pressure while you still have very good equity.