reelbigbeagles
0 points
I came across this interesting scenario deep in the big 5.50 last night. About 27 left of 3796, Villain is a looser player but very smart. 3bets when OOP, never flats, 3bets lighter than most at this level and seems to be a good, aggressive player.
Anything wrong with the play up until this point? Any ideas on where to go from here?
Thanks.
PokerStars Hand #152781245109: Tournament #1553317732, $5.00+$0.50 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level XXXVIII (10000/20000) - 2016/05/03 0:33:36 ART [2016/05/02 23:33:36 ET]
Table '1553317732 149' 9-max Seat #7 is the button
Seat 1: UTG (354,499 in chips)
Seat 2: MP (171,6361 in chips)
Seat 4: HJ (460,816 in chips)
Seat 6: CO (97,486 in chips)
Seat 7: Hero (Button) (1,133,799 in chips)
Seat 8: SB (Villain) (1,958,124 in chips)
Seat 9: BB (800,212 in chips)
UTG: posts the ante 2500
MP: posts the ante 2500
HJ: posts the ante 2500
CO: posts the ante 2500
Hero: posts the ante 2500
Villain: posts the ante 2500
BB: posts the ante 2500
Villain: posts small blind 10,000
BB: posts big blind 20,000
* HOLE CARDS
Dealt to Hero [Ad Ah]
UTG: folds
MP: folds
HJ: folds
CO: folds
Hero: raises 23,469 to 43,469
Villain: raises 56,531 to 100,000
BB: folds
Hero: raises 179,879 to 279,879
Villain: calls 179,879
FLOP [3s Th Tc]
Villain: checks
Hero: checks
TURN * [3s Th Tc] [5c]
Villain: bets 280,000
Hero: ?????
May 3, 2016 | 3:16 p.m.
Id have to say you jam, SB, if he is a decent reg would be doing this with a wide rang, 95% of which you beat. I know it's been a rough day, I know what it means to need that cash, and you're so close to the money, but if the SB is as decent as you think, then in reality he would make this play with such a wide range that you'd have to take the change of being outdraw by A5 or 67. It just comes to you, really. are you trying to win or cash? if you want to win, you don;t fold here without a solid read IMHO.
Im not sure it;s such an instant fold. It depends on your read of the BB, What are you afraid of here? Well, 10 10, JJ and AA (but both unlikely with your blockers) all likely 3bet pre, as a 3way pot is not ideal, especially for tens (although it seems to be early in the tournament). That really just leaves KQ. A very plausable explanation, however his flop donk lead seems suspicious. He leads 650 into a 900 chip pot, when he is all but guaranteed to get a cbet from the UTG raiser on that boad that he could then extract for value. It's a huge donk bet, and when you check raise you show the strength that I would feel comfortable enough, if I held KQ there, to flat and led you lead the turn as he would get to play the pot in position against you. This would seem to me to be more of a double draw, like Q8clubs or something along that line. Maybe even J 10, which would be fantastic needless to say.
April 29, 2016 | 12:36 a.m.