raspaz
1 points
This was a 2.2k euro event;
Hero: 36k
Villain: 28k
Blinds: 400/800/100, average is around 25k
Villain is a very strong reg who plays all the high rollers etc so I have been limping entire range bvb.
Folds to hero who limps T3hh, villain checks
Flop:
Qh3s6d
Hero bets 1050 into 2400, Villain raises to 2750, Hero calls.
Think it's pretty standard to cbet bottom pair + bdfd especially vs a bb xb range.
Turn:
Qh3s6d Qs
Hero checks, Villain checks back.
River:
Qh3s6d Qs 9c
Hero checks to villain who bets 4300 into ~8k.
Hero ?
I feel this river interacts pretty well with his random 89o combos that decide to raise flop. I also feel most non sdv gutters etc will likely barrel turn.
That being said I think we have a fairly good hand to calldown with since we dont block any bluffs and block the occasional trickily played full house combo which may xb turn to induce otr.
I didn't really consider it in game, but if we assume we x the top of our range to him otr, we could possibly xr this combo if we perceive his range to be capped at 9x for value.
Thoughts?
Nov. 11, 2015 | 7:40 a.m.
SB: $261.00 (Hero)
BB: $200.00
UTG: $264.14
MP: $201.50
CO: $412.40
Stats: 25/19, 3b: 7.6%, fold bvb: 43%, wwsf: 54, wtsd: 25
I'm not sure if it being a diamond has too much of an effect.
As an aside his sizing looks pretty chunky which might be an indication that he will be betting river fairly often (though this doesn't really matter as i don't think i'll be having a x/r range here).
Jan. 10, 2015 | 11:36 a.m.
Thoughts as to hand selection to bluff river?
Sept. 26, 2014 | 12:01 p.m.
CO: $186.36
BN: $251.12
SB: $245.08
BB: $98.28
UTG: $214.30 (Hero)
VPIP: 28, PFR: 22, 3B: 9, AF: 2.2, WWSF: 44, Hands: 9813
He plays up to 600nl iirc and is a winner in the games.
CO is a random fish-reg.
Hero raises to $4.84, HJ folds, CO calls $4.84, BN calls $4.84, SB folds, BB folds
Sept. 25, 2014 | 1:01 p.m.
Yeah I guess we aren't capped after all.
River is interesting if he 3b jams the river.
Would you expect villains to be checking back sets BvB? hmm
March 10, 2014 | 4:38 p.m.
BN: $129.80
SB: $102.90 (Hero)
VPIP: 28, PFR: 20, 3B: 10, AF: 3.4, fSBstl: 60%, BvB 3b: 8, Hands: 782
BN folds, Hero raises to $1.80, BB calls $1.30
From his perspective I look capped to < trips, so I call and keep his range the widest. He could do this with backdoor heart draws, random gutshots as well as pure air.
The thing is, i'm not perceived to have an A here very often, so should I be raising river and expect to get called by worse?
I'd like to be able to turn hands like 44 or KThh so I feel like I need to raise A9. I assume he'd bet any combos that us (22, 66) and AT+ to 3b pre and bet the flop when checked to.
Thoughts?
March 5, 2014 | 7:27 a.m.
Thanks a lot James. I feel river raises tend to be nutted at these stakes. Most villains don't have the balls to shove something like AQ (blockers to top 2 sets I guess?).
The $ amounts in your 2nd post seem accurate, but i'd say #2 is fairly heavily weighted given the player pool.
Feb. 28, 2014 | 3:21 p.m.
Thanks for all the responses guys. I felt I made a good fold assuming the villain has a decent idea of relative hand strength. Good to see you guys (mostly) agree.
Feb. 26, 2014 | 12:17 a.m.
Hey guys,
Keen to get your thoughts on this hand I played last night.
Blind level is 200/400/50. Currently 50 people left out of a 200 runner field. 17 spots cash.
CO: 12.3k - Live reg who plays a lot of local events
BTN: 11k - Loose passive middle aged asian guy
BB: 20k - Pretty much a fish (limps pre, likely a 40/0 if i had a hud running)
SB (hero): 9.2k
Dealt to hero: 66
CO opens to 850, BTN Calls, BB Calls, Hero ???
We are getting an absurd price to see a flop, but given a hand like 66 which has decent hot and cold equity vs a calling range, I think we should just shove.
Thoughts?
Feb. 21, 2014 | 2:15 p.m.
I think it depends on how often you'll turn hands like ATss into a bluff.
If you want to have a lot of bluff combos in your range I think we need to have QJ in our raising range for value.
Could be wrong though.
Feb. 21, 2014 | 2:08 p.m.
HJ: $232.60
CO: $135.72
BN: $168.78
SB: $168.78 (Hero)
BB: $128.04
Villain is a regular who plays most of the deep tables. He's on the looser side and has an extremely low f3b% of 18%.
UTG raises to $1.50, HJ folds, CO folds, BN folds, Hero calls $1.30, BB folds
I think undersets like 55 would just call because the value range i'm repping has him in pretty average shape.
Shipping AQ for value in his shoes would we suicide.
With the price we are getting we need to be good 24% of the time (ignoring rake).
Given this, if he's shoving all 55 combos it's a call. If he isn't, it's a fold.
Sorry meant bb favors.
I know we lose value from Qx, and AA blocks value hands we want him to have.
Is the value of his bluffs with these drawbacks?
Jan. 10, 2015 | 1:12 p.m.