plamen

I downloaded Holdem Resources Calculator and was able to run my spot, it looks like the small pairs are a wash and in a tournament with a good structure like this are better off folded. Still would like to hear opinions if possible.

Also, I am using pretty rudimentary methods to analyze this spot: calculator and a hand v range equity calculator. I am looking for better software online -- looking at HRC, CREV and a couple of others and wondering which of these will help me analyze a spot like this.

I am not sure about flatting here at all.

I've had 2 situations like this early in tournaments, albeit smaller one. One was a $560 buy and I happily stacked off with KK from UTG against a button 5 bet jam (9 handed) for 200bb. Doubled up. Another time at a $1650 I got KK in against 77 aip for all the chips 300bb and this was the 3rd hand of the day while still short handed. Lost that one. I have also held AA vs KK in the very first hand of a tournament, and had my AA cracked.

Anyway, I just don't see folding KK here even to a 5 bet, and I don't see what good can come out of flatting. ~23% of the time the flop will come A high and we'd be shitting bricks, hating life, and forfeiting equity. The rest of the time, we could still well be against AA, or the turn or river can bring an ace, so I am fine stacking off preflop. Going all in will win us 60b a lot of the time. If we get called, we are 48% against a range of KK+ and AK.

I am by no means an expert player and would love to hear some arguments from better players.

Hey, a couple of questions. 1. what's wrong with the sizings, esp the 3b sizing. Almost 3x IP seems fine, no? The 5b sizing of a little over 2x also seems fine, except for the SB still hanging on maybe. 2. wouldn't a top level player have the wider range here?

Would love to hear your perspective!

Gross!

AA is probably the very top of your range here. However, I'm thinking that against that many villains it might be fine not to have a continuing range sometimes. You're not going to get exploited, because noone else can bluff with abandon -- the other villains are protecting you.

The hands that are ahead of you are only 22, 44 and 54s (and maybe 64s and 43s at 50% weight), so a total of ~8-12 combos. After the first flatter most all of the rest of the 'field' lol can have those hands unfortunately. Given the fact that you're blocking the nut flush, that makes their ranges more valueish.

It's hard to know what to do here. I think cbet give up, check shove against 1 player, cbet / stack off (it's hard to get credit for a strong hand on this board) might all be reasonable and pretty close. I personally don't know if I can fold AA here unless it's a hugely expensive tournament and I'm settling in for a long day. Multi way pots are tricky because they amplify the chance of someone flopping really strong. I would love to hear a more substantive analysis than mine here lol

it's a little small on the right, i'd have to watch it on a bigger screen..

Makes sense, thanks!

Hey Sam, great videos. Just curious, during the Battling Regs myth debunking part, you mention that you can turn good profit playing T9 at an aggro table where people are constantly 3-betting and 5 betting PF. Can you elaborate on that? I would think that at a very active table like that we would wanna expand our value range a little, but remain snug, esp OOP.

Don't love it. I would read the shaky hands as a sign of strength if anything, of course with no baseline it can't be much of a read. This is a weird little spot and I'm not sure what I would do. Folding, Flatting and 4-betting could all be reasonable depending on players and reads.

I assume you're on the button here?

Flatting gives you the option to GII against the blinds or the original opener, and to set mine against the 3-bettor.

Since he's new to the table, you could give him credit and just fold here as well.

If he flats, you won't like a lot of flops, and although you'll have position, you can lose a big pot. If he only jams or folds, you're hoping he folds 50% of his range to make money. I really don't know about 4-betting, maybe I'm just not super comfortable with it, but this spot does not scream 4-bet to me.

I could be way off, but I think I like fold>flat>4b here. Would be curious to hear more analysis.

Hey, Congrats on your marriage! Happy for you. I just had my honeymoon 2 months ago :)

Thanks for the response as well.

My comment pertains to 36:04. Thanks again!

Thanks man, appreciate the feedback and encouragement.

I am hearing the same from a couple of pro buddies about there being lots more 3 and 4 betting pre. I will heed this advice and try to work on those ranges.

Best of luck in Barthalona! :)

Hi Espen! Big fan, definitely the best Essential MTT videos on here IMO.

Towards the end you describe a 'liberal re-shoving range' against the big stack to your right. That includes T9s, QJ, KT. Can you elaborate on how you arrive at that range on the fly? What percentage would he have to open for that range to turn a profit. Do you have presets against a 50% or 60% or 40% opening ranges, or are you thinking through them as you go.

Do you have any advice or rules of thumb for live players to be able to construct these ranges with 15-20bb stack situations which arise pretty often?

Help me understand what happens at 5:45. You're saying that a 1/2 pot bluff has to work 67% of the time to show profit?

That's clearly wrong : if pot is 1, and we bet .5 3 times, winning 2 and losing 1 time, we profit 1+1-.5=1.5. Massively above break even.

I am also not following how this result is used in the subsequent slides.

Hey guys,

I would think that aggro regs love a spot like this to reshove and go for some FE. I have been having issues with sizing pre, but on the larger side. I would think that 28-30k is a good size, because of the flatter, and that you're 3-bet folding against either. I personally like calling, followed by shoving, followed by 3-betting. When calling obviously you get to realize your position.

In fact, I had a similar spot in a $350 satelite 2 weeks ago against a habitual limper, followed by a 3.5bb raise. I had 27.5bb on button and jammed AQs. Lost to AK.