p0ker_n00b

I think Bodgik77 is the real star of all these videos, seems to always be in them

hahaha "back to the basics"

proceeds to X r 2nd pair for value and x raises JTo on 466r

Great content, you explain everything very well and even if someone might disagree with your decisions at least you really have good lines of reasoning to back it up.

Recently lost 50 BI's in 4 days, exclusively massive coolers. KK vs AA 9 times in ONE day! -20bb/100 over 30k hands lol

Last 600k I'm 3bb, so that was my worst downswing so far in my life. I have had a few 20 to 25 BI's downswings so far, but 50 in 4 days is just soul crushing lol - Makes you stronger though so when you do hit a 25 BI "dip" you can just laugh it off and say yeah it's totally standard, whatever.

So my 3B pot pop up looks a lot like this with a bit of 4B pot stats as well. Purrrrty. All the x's mark blanks stats so next week I will spend my entire study day creating stats to plug in.

All 3 vs regs

^ Hand # 1 I just had a feeling if he doesn't take the bait on the flop I should slip him some extra rope and it seems to have worked out. I'm blocking one combo of AJs at least, and I may be wrong but calling Tx might be the absolute nut bluffcatcher here although I feel I have to defend my AA as well vs a laggy profile in this spot. Obviously I tank called the turn to make myself look super weak ha.

^ Hand # 2 my 66 hand might look too wide but the guy had 3% 3b over 400 hands and was pretty shocked to see T8s. The board along with my 6h blocks a lot of his natural flush combo's and I pretty much never put him on 9x considering his 3b range. So I'm just targeting a sticky overpair tbh. If I run into a backdoor AKhh or AQhh or some random 9x like 98s then so be it I guess. But he didn't seem like the type to bet-call A hi's and bc he didn't donk jam the riv I just have to assume he lacks a lot of flushes. It's possible I inferred too much from the sample bc he did in fact show up with T8s, so perhaps I need to think about this spot.

^ Hand # 3 I honestly don't even know what this reg was thinking. 25NL regs for sure pretty much never have 9x in their 4 bet range in this spot. If he had 99 I expect him to cb the flop and if he goes for a x jam he would probably bet turn a little bigger to force out some random overcard equity. But their 99 combo's or T9s/J9s are severely lacking compared to the # of those combo's I have in my range as the defender.

So I think I'll grind 6 days a week, 7 hours per day 4 tabling Stars normal games. Study 4 hours per day then do one very long day of studying. I'm getting 100 hands per hour which I'm very surprised by but stars really spits them out pretty quick. I have about $6,300 total between liferoll and bankroll. Considering my visa ends in 50 days, I have no idea what is going to happen but I'll either have to pay another $1,000 for another visa or buy a ticket and head to a new country. Another stimulus check from the US govt may or may not be issued again. The political system in America is absolute fascist trash right now so nobody really knows what is going to happen.

Because I'm a huge bankroll nit and I am trying to recover from the worst variance I've ever experienced, I'm starting back at 25NL. Games look pretty soft, even the regs make LOL plays that just make no sense. It seems I'm more aware of how to exploit them now too. I would say whatever imbalances they have, they tend to exist in extremes so aggro players you can just x call most of your range and passive players you can make pretty tight folds confidently. There are also quite a few 14/11 5% 3b types that you can just auto open BTN or SB and very confidently steal their blind money.

Last night + today was my big study day. I created flop multi-reports starting with 23 texture batch for all possible 3b pre by position. 23 flop textures should be a very solid baseline to study each flop meticulously. Even within the 23 flops you have some that seem fairly similar such as A85, A73 or AK4 and AJ4 or T94, T84 so imo I can probably cut a few of them out. Maybe get it down to 18 or so. Once I learn these textures like the back of my hand then seeing other textures with slight deviations should come pretty naturally.

I overhauled my HUD pop ups, added in pre flop raise sizes, pre flop 3b sizes etc - you get some annoying spots where regs/recs open 3.5x or 4x or 3b 13.5bb's etc and it's gonna be super nice to look at the pop up to see their frequencies.

Basically I'm just trying to take it easy, win some easy money, and study 3 bet pot theory for the next 3 months. I'm not too worried about profit at this time. With optimal play, profit will come. It's still very possible I make enough the first 6 weeks that I can move back into 50NL comfortably. But who knows. Can't control variance, it doesn't really care about you.

Considering I've grinded 50NL and 100NL the past 8 months, 25NL really should be a walk in the park but obv have to stay razor sharp to squeeze out every ounce of EV.

I was living on $200 a month for 3 months. That is going pretty hardcore though lol

Currently I'm living fairly comfortably on $400/month and some of that is H2N range research subscription, and I'm paying for RIO essential subscription as well. $80 a month for food, $130 for my apartment. Everything else is very low cost.

to be fair, I was not at all concerned about "theory" in any way.

I am just simply asking if the solver says our EV is 2.5 by jamming (assuming their calling range is pretty accurate), then it makes the jam OK.

All options look bad here. X jamming, X folding, X calling, Cbetting small, etc - they all feel pretty bad options - by jamming at least we get some baby pairs to fold and get value from draws - but I also know the T9x texture will hit them pretty hard.
fish was not pfr, flats the original open raise on BTN then flats my Squeeze

so considering what the maximally highest EV adjustment should be, I don't see one here lol - I'm just trying to avoid losing money and if it says jamming is +EV then it seems fine. Because as I said all other options feel icky as well.

You probably need a specific read where he showdowns with something like TT/Jx/Q9hh to rationalize calling turn - even giving 100% of BDNF draws and all 87s (like 11 combos?) , the board still smashes his entire range and if he's that aggro he could very well barrel AK.
Folding turn can't be bad here though - it's annoying to have to fold vs aggro players but sometimes the board texture simply just favors them and there isn't much you can do.

Just make detailed notes on what he showdowns with and make adjustments accordingly.

As for the 1/3 otr I wouldn't be surprised to see AK, but 1/3 riv bets from what I remember in population data are pretty much never bluffs and usually it's a middle strength hand (like AK) that wants more of your chips.

Today I spent 3 hours updating my Hand 2 Note HUD for Pokerstars. I set myself up for long term success by creating a new study routine and collected hands in HM2 to begin studying. The next 14 weeks I will be focusing exclusively on 3 bet pots. Hero 3bets and Hero defends vs 3bets. Then spend 2 weeks focusing specifically on 3bet pot situations where I may want to bluff raise and how to follow through on future streets. Or I am facing a raise on any street and how to continue in such a situation. Couple days ago I created a decision itinerary so the next 1,000 hands I study I will use this line of thinking exactly every time. So that in game during any situation my thought process will be streamlined and use the exact same model each and every time. Eventually no information will be absent from the thought process. No hiccups will occur. No spontaneity or surprises. Cold, calculated robotic thought process day in day out.

I have been alone since I landed in Thailand over a year ago.

My daily study/grind routine would typically be a 70/30 split, something like 6 hours a day of grinding split between 2 or 3 sessions - and 3 to 4 hours of study. Study I suppose could be considered anything you do with poker that is not grinding such as watching a video, chit chatting about hands in skype with a group. But I'll do 3 hours of more intense analysis, solver work, population analysis, database analysis, etc. At least that is the goal, it doesn't always happen this way =)

I kind of want to go back to stars and do something like 3 normal tables + 1 zoom table. 6 hours a day with that set up should net pretty close to 90k hands a month I think. All these chinese apps with random bans, shitty software and high rake make me wonder how much of a difference in winrate you could expect especially since onkleb is showing close to 8bb over 1 million hands at 200z and Psek1 showing over 7bb at 200NL normal tables.

^ first 200k hands immediately after arriving in Thailand. Mostly 3 tabling zoom.

^ This was when I was emotionally devastated. The girl I loved most in my life was being manipulative. Things were not working out. I eventually made the hard decision to cut her out of my life entirely and forever. Coupled with making some inexperienced financial decisions. I paid out money for private coaching. I bought 1 year sub to Hand 2 Note. I bought CREV and GTO+. I paid off some debt in America. Basically a decent chunk of my $10k starting roll got eaten up in a very short time. This just added to the stress. Needless to say I bounced back. I learned my lessons. I made some hard decisions. Poker comes first. Anything that interferes with this needs to be cut out.

^Total stars winrate

^The b/e at 50NL on this site was the most insane cooler-variance I ever faced. KK vs AA all day every day, sets, boats, nut flushes etc coolered all day every day, etc. You know how it is. The recs have to get lucky sometimes too =)

^Everything was super easy, coasting along

^Until I wasn't lol - but this sample I learned some things too. Just bc you are doing well does not mean you are justified to become arrogant and start adding huge #'s of tables. I was 12 tabling for a bit, cut back to 10. Cut back further to 8. Now I just decided to go to 6 yesterday. So learning your limits and staying disciplined enough to follow your limits even during good times shows professionalism and maturity.

Hi I sent a message to both Saulo and Zinhao. I hope it is well received =)

Bumping this. Very interested still if anyone has any information.

SNAP call, recs are more mergy than you think and they could be doing this with AJ, QQ, JK and lots of broken st8 draws.

I would just jam turn though.

Cliff notes: Bet 10% of their stack size on the flop and you're golden for getting a 1spr on the river. Use vs the weakest regs and recs. If super deep, 3bet bigger or 4bet bigger pre flop.

Test out for yourself my 10% rule

Testing some things out I get

((Stack-pot)/2))/4=Flop Bet Size (we subtract flop stack size from villain stack size, then divide that by 2. Then we divide that by 4. This is our flop bet size.

Villain has 300bb left. Pot is 20bb OTF.
300-20=280/2=140/4=35.
Hero bets 35 OTF. Pot is now 90bb. Villain has 265BB.
265-90=175/3=58. (using turn chunk equation)
Hero bets 58, pot is now 206. Villain has 207 left.

Or...

Villain has 150bb left. Pot is 20bb OTF.
Hero bets 16. Pot is now 52 OTT. Villain has 134bb left.
134-52=84/3=28. (using turn chunk equation)
Hero bets 28 OTT. Pot is now 108. Villain has 106 left.

Or...

Villain has 50bb left. Pot is 4.5bb OTF.
((Stack-pot)/2))/4=16
50-5=45/2=22.5/4=5.5
Hero bets 5.5 OTF, pot is now 15.5. Villain has 45 remaining.
45-15=30/3 = 10 (using turn chunk equation)
Hero bets 10 ott, pot is now 35. Villain has 35 left.

Upon closer look it looks like around 11% or 12% of their Flop stack-pot size is the flop bet size we need to set up a 3 street plan.

It also seems like in the 1st example we are overbetting 35 into 20 and then betting only about 60% pot OTT, because villains stacks was exceptionally large to begin with. Perhaps as a default if their stack size is exceptionally large we can take slightly lower around 9% instead of 11% or 12%. 9% of 300 starting stack is 27 so we get...

Pot size ott is 65. Villain has 238bb left.
Using turn chunking equation we get 238-65=173/3=57
If hero bets 57 OTT (about 85% pot), pot is now 179 OTR. Villain has 181 bb left.

So if stack was exceptionally large, we slightly overbet the flop (27 into 20)
We then bet 85% OTT (Normal sized bet). We then have 1SPR on the river.

Now of course if we are exceptionally deep, 3betting or 4betting a slightly larger sizing would make sense. So the 20bb starting pot size might not be totally accurate.

Upon further testing, 10% seems to work in all situations

Vs weaker players, opening 3x, 4x, 5x BB pre flop would do great benefit to our post flop pot geometry to try to get entire stacks in.

Vs super deep stacks, 3betting to 12bb, 13bb, 14bb or betting to 30bb would help greatly to set up proper bet sizes post flop.

Ty Ty

Not like I would do it on purpose

apparently when I sorted the threads, it was not so obvious to me it was this old lol

"I did shut up, listen more, and stop whining."

K.

Listen more. Shut up more. Stop whining so much. You are not special, you are just another 5NL loser. Repeat these words in the mirror every day and you will get to 10NL.

You're acting like you are Rocky Balboa who just took down Ivan Drago in Rocky 4. You are not Rocky and beating 2NL is not equivalent to beating Ivan Drago. You're still that runt in the boxing class that keeps getting beat up by that other kid who is half your size.

GL on your journey.

Trust me, I did not write the post for you.

what about system where you can give out so many points per week, so members that post really awesome stuff and stuff that is well reasoned and well argued and others can give them a point - whoever has a lot of points are opinions that you should pay more attention to and it gives incentive for people to try harder to articulate their ideas.

Limiting the amount of points you can give someone else is obviously to prevent some troll making multiple accounts and assigning them to their own account or w/e