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Hey Sam, love your vids!

At about 29:00 the AcTs hand, vs better players / more aggro players, are you worried about them c/r jamming turns with hands like KJhh/cc, KQhh/cc or any other pair + fd or fd + gutshot hands? If so, do you have a bet-fold range here on turn at all vs. players like those? I suppose this exact hand should be very much the bottom of your turn valuebetrange (you probably betfold KTo here though?) so does that mean that good players shouldn't be c/r jamming the combodraws here? Or should they and therefore balance their turn value c/r jamming range? How do you see your turn bet-call and bet-fold ranges here vs. players described above and what do you do here with different draws (like if you have A3hh in your preflop opening range do you tend to cback that more on turn compared to AJhh or the exact opposite?)? And what do you think about c/r jamming this turn with the exact hand villain has?

As in general, what's your gameplan usually in situations when you could go for somewhat thin value on turn for example to protect your hand on a wetty board and then have a possibility getting c/rd by a combodraw (either c/r shove or c/r and jam rivers depending on turn SPR)? Are these the kind of spots where if you cannot range your opponent properly you tend to be cbacking more to pot control and be more concerned about your tournament life, especially in a softer field on a Sunday? And then just go for max value in a tournament like this ?

I'm sorry for so many (stupid?) questions, I get easily carried away. There was actually many more questions I would've had about the topic but tried not to go too far. Also, I understand everything is very dynamic / villain dependant but would be cool to hear your thoughts anyways. Thanks!

Great post, thank you! Really showed the math behind it and gave me actually huge motivation to get deeper into the numbers.

I realized that for some reason this HH converter on R1O does not show antes (or more likely I did something wrong). Given there's more money in the pot the EV of shoving would be higher and that extra money in the pot also makes our SPR smaller postflop if we flat. Would you say this is more of a reason to shove preflop or just call and why? I take it that this is hugely dependant on the villain's tendencies postflop and whether he makes bad overcard calls for us like AJ/AQ or even AT (have to remember it's just 8,80d 2xturbo so we can't assume he would play optimally and also the history we have with him that he might be tend to do ICM catasrophes) but still would be nice to hear your thoughts about it.

One more thing about ICM calculating: even though everyone is shallow, I assume we can still exploit these players a bit (though the Russian guy makes our life a bit harder when he plays back at us on our left). What kind of $EV differencies we need to have between folding and making a play that either can cripple us or that has potential to get us knocked out of the tournament in order to take that spot? Of course you cannot know how big of an advantage I have over these players but let's say you were in the situation. For example, if we have a spot that has risk of busting 30% if we jam, but ICM wise shoving would be X$ more favorable than folding and flatting is not an option, what kind of number should X$ be (percentage of our stack worth would be more appropriate I guess?) and how would that change depending what kind of villains you are playing against and your positional situation in the table?

Whatever you do is great, just keep them coming. Anyways, just wanted to say hi, was waiting for a long time a new series from you since last May (dif. site) and now extremely happy that I found Runitonce.