munkkis
5 points
Hi!
So I unfortunately don`t have hand history for this hand since my computer crashed when I tried to retrieve the hand from PS and also my HEM2 works inapropriate so I have to manually go through this.Anyway, the game is PLO25 ZOOM and in this hand everyone is full stacked 100xbb+.
UTG+1 limps, CO calls, SB calls, HERO BB w/ AcQcKhJs and I squeeze to 5xbb and everybody called.
FLOP: Tc8h6s I check and UTG+1 pots 9.86d everyone folds and I ended up folding but when I looked at odds calculator I noticed that I may have done a bad fold.UTG+1 stats were (very small sample size) 33VPIP 27 PFR 4 3bet.
Against 30% of hands on the turn I am 51.5% favorite if the turn is A-9 and there are 16 cards (we obv cant do card removal since we dont have seen any other cards) of those cards.There are 44 cards in the deck lfest and 16 cards means 36%
The pot is 9,86d he pots and if I call I get 32% so pretty much I should call here since he is jammin every Txxx here always I think.What do you guys think.
PS: to be clear Villain had 25d stack and I had 25d stack at the beginning of the hand.
Jan. 17, 2015 | 4:14 p.m.
what is the software @
26 min ? And where can I get it?
1) @40min r u jammin your whole 3bet range? Couldn`t you just 3bet to 2.25-2.35m and fold potentially when is not 4bet shoving all but his top range like all the pairs, AJo+ KQs.
2)44:30min isnt sb a bit face up with his range since he didnt even had a second to think before snap calling.I would just imagine a weaker player would do this with even like 98s+JTo+, any king and ace and would start to tank with better hand in order to isolate and protect & get value with hands like pairs and stronger range.So you will get to play in position with a decend hand with low investment to win a decent pot just stabbing the flop or getting the pot on later streets plus should he have a range I described pf you will have awful lot of showdown value.
3)49min you open K8o vs European and u had folded previously worse hands when folded to u so u r open with like 70% roughly in this spot?And we obviously know that he is flout happy and will call like 85% in bb when u open so isnt a cbet pretty standard in this spot cause he ought to put you on a narrower range than usual and your range consist of broadways and connectivity to this particular board.And since he is always firing 53o+ isnt a bet just profitable against him?
Dec. 25, 2014 | 1:47 a.m.